Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $50.9600 (-0.08%) ($50.8000 - $51.1600) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $50.9600(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.5(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.44(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.79(2.35%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2005	46.07	49.79	50.44	50.5	50.56	50.93	50.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	50	33	87	10.51	55%	0.24	54.7	1.2%	0	1.5	61	NAN
2	Dec_1_2005	45.96	49.71	50.34	50.32	50.37	50.4	51(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	16	81	4.37	55%	0.22	65.6	1.2%	0	1.7	64	NAN
3	Nov_30_2005	45.86	49.62	50.11	50.26	50.19	50.18	49.84(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10	-15	65	4.94	54%	0.2	82.7	1.18%	0	0.3	56	NAN
4	Nov_29_2005	45.77	49.58	49.97	50.37	50.35	50.35	50.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-0	8	71	6.66	54%	0.2	97.2	1.17%	0	1.1	57	NAN
5	Nov_28_2005	45.68	49.48	49.81	50.4	50.25	50.21	50.32(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-6	61	8.55	54%	0.22	107.5	1.17%	0	1.2	56	NAN

6	Nov_25_2005	45.58	49.36	49.71	50.38	50.28	50.34	50.08(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	0	3	68	2.92	54%	0.33	108.3	1.17%	0	0.9	58	NAN
7	Nov_23_2005	45.43	49.22	49.59	50.34	50.3	50.29	50.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-0	22	71	6.05	56%	0.22	94.8	1.15%	0	1.6	59	NAN
8	Nov_22_2005	45.33	49.06	49.42	49.94	50.09	50.22	50.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	30	22	46	7.75	59%	0.11	82.7	1.16%	0	1.4	58	NAN
9	Nov_21_2005	45.28	48.9	49.31	49.49	49.72	50.3	50.52(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	100	41	32	6.5	59%	0.22	70.3	1.2%	0	1.6	62	NAN
10	Nov_18_2005	45.18	48.72	49.2	49.13	49.15	49.96	50.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	120	50	26	5.29	58%	0.22	58	1.2%	0	1.5	64	NAN

11	Nov_17_2005	45.08	48.54	49.07	48.96	48.76	49.14	49.92(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	40	43	24	6.9	58%	0.2	43.7	1.21%	0	1.3	67	NAN
12	Nov_16_2005	44.99	48.35	49.01	48.75	48.65	48.34	48.68(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-50	-7	13	4.56	52%	0.18	31.5	1.18%	0	0.3	65	NAN
13	Nov_15_2005	44.91	48.27	49.07	48.84	48.72	48.38	48.12(-1.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-24	-60	-40	23	6.75	54%	0.16	31.1	1.19%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
14	Nov_14_2005	44.84	48.21	49.16	49.1	48.97	48.97	48.72(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-14	67	7.61	56%	0.18	33	1.18%	0	0.5	69	NAN
15	Nov_11_2005	44.76	48.14	49.14	49.26	49.16	49.06	49.36(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-20	6	102	3.56	61%	0.2	39.4	1.17%	0	1.1	78	NAN

16	Nov_10_2005	44.67	48.07	49	49.19	49.17	48.98	48.88(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-30	-17	100	5.29	64%	0.16	44.4	1.21%	0	0.8	78	NAN
17	Nov_9_2005	44.6	48.02	48.86	49.3	49.25	49.26	49.12(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-0	-6	121	5.35	65%	0.18	54.8	1.25%	0	1	84	NAN
18	Nov_8_2005	44.52	47.93	48.69	49.33	49.29	49.36	49.4(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	10	10	134	6.95	65%	0.2	57.7	1.26%	0	1.4	69	NAN
19	Nov_7_2005	44.43	47.84	48.47	49.23	49.19	49.25	49.52(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	10	10	136	8.13	65%	0.18	55.6	1.26%	0	1.7	73	NAN
20	Nov_4_2005	44.35	47.71	48.21	49.02	49.08	49.23	49.04(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	30	16	125	9.49	61%	0.18	45.5	1.27%	0	1.5	62	NAN

21	Nov_3_2005	44.27	47.6	47.97	48.78	48.89	49.14	49.44(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	40	32	105	10.89	61%	0.2	30.5	1.28%	0	2.1	56	NAN
22	Nov_2_2005	44.18	47.45	47.63	48.34	48.48	48.94	49.24(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	80	32	66	7.45	62%	0.18	1.2	1.28%	0	2.3	58	NAN
23	Nov_1_2005	44.1	47.35	47.4	47.95	48.12	48.65	48.92(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	90	46	47	5.32	63%	0.2	-18.5	1.28%	0	2.3	58	NAN
24	Oct_31_2005	44.01	47.31	47.16	47.59	47.69	48.03	48.44(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	60	34	13	4.59	63%	0.18	-27.9	1.28%	0	1.7	53	NAN
25	Oct_28_2005	43.93	47.3	47.03	47.3	47.36	47.6	47.84(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	40	24	-4	5.89	63%		-34	1.28%	0	0.8	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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