Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $49.3600 (0.98%) ($49.1600 - $49.4400) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $49.3600(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.26(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.14(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.14(2.53%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2005	44.76	48.14	49.14	49.26	49.16	49.06	49.36(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-20	6	102	3.56	61%	0.2	39.4	1.17%	0	1.1	78	NAN
2	Nov_10_2005	44.67	48.07	49	49.19	49.17	48.98	48.88(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-30	-17	100	5.29	64%	0.16	44.4	1.21%	0	0.8	78	NAN
3	Nov_9_2005	44.6	48.02	48.86	49.3	49.25	49.26	49.12(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-0	-6	121	5.35	65%	0.18	54.8	1.25%	0	1	84	NAN
4	Nov_8_2005	44.52	47.93	48.69	49.33	49.29	49.36	49.4(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	10	10	134	6.95	65%	0.2	57.7	1.26%	0	1.4	69	NAN
5	Nov_7_2005	44.43	47.84	48.47	49.23	49.19	49.25	49.52(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	10	10	136	8.13	65%	0.18	55.6	1.26%	0	1.7	73	NAN

6	Nov_4_2005	44.35	47.71	48.21	49.02	49.08	49.23	49.04(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	30	16	125	9.49	61%	0.18	45.5	1.27%	0	1.5	62	NAN
7	Nov_3_2005	44.27	47.6	47.97	48.78	48.89	49.14	49.44(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	40	32	105	10.89	61%	0.2	30.5	1.28%	0	2.1	56	NAN
8	Nov_2_2005	44.18	47.45	47.63	48.34	48.48	48.94	49.24(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	80	32	66	7.45	62%	0.18	1.2	1.28%	0	2.3	58	NAN
9	Nov_1_2005	44.1	47.35	47.4	47.95	48.12	48.65	48.92(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	90	46	47	5.32	63%	0.2	-18.5	1.28%	0	2.3	58	NAN
10	Oct_31_2005	44.01	47.31	47.16	47.59	47.69	48.03	48.44(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	60	34	13	4.59	63%	0.18	-27.9	1.28%	0	1.7	53	NAN

11	Oct_28_2005	43.93	47.3	47.03	47.3	47.36	47.6	47.84(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	40	24	-4	5.89	63%	0.16	-34	1.28%	0	0.8	57	NAN
12	Oct_27_2005	43.86	47.33	47.05	47.05	47.11	47.36	47.24(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	40	24	-7	5.62	64%	0.14	-26.6	1.28%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
13	Oct_26_2005	43.8	47.44	47.09	46.8	46.86	47.11	47.32(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	40	16	-13	6.2	64%	0.14	-21.1	1.28%	0	-0.1	57	NAN
14	Oct_25_2005	43.74	47.48	47.11	46.75	46.66	46.86	47.12(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	20	15	-16	5.59	64%	0.14	-16.6	1.29%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
15	Oct_24_2005	43.68	47.49	47.17	46.66	46.56	46.61	46.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	0	2	-31	6.39	64%	0.16	-16	1.29%	0	-0.6	41	NAN

16	Oct_21_2005	43.61	47.53	47.16	46.74	46.59	46.46	46.6(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-17	-49	5.5	64%	0.11	-5.7	1.3%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
17	Oct_20_2005	43.56	47.55	47.22	47.06	46.78	46.51	46(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-60	-28	-52	8.64	63%	0.14	5.3	1.31%	0	-1.9	33	NAN
18	Oct_19_2005	43.5	47.55	47.29	47.42	47.15	46.72	47.08(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-80	-21	-58	7.59	66%	0.14	22.9	1.27%	0	-0.7	33	NAN
19	Oct_18_2005	43.44	47.55	47.33	47.5	47.37	47.05	46.68(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-34	-66	6.32	66%	0.09	33.3	1.27%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
20	Oct_17_2005	43.4	47.62	47.49	47.73	47.59	47.59	47.36(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10	-4	-35	9.18	68%	0.14	44.6	1.25%	0	-0.3	51	NAN

21	Oct_14_2005	43.34	47.58	47.6	47.63	47.72	47.7	48.16(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	0	18	-25	13.76	71%	0.18	40.7	1.23%	0	0.7	53	NAN
22	Oct_13_2005	43.26	47.51	47.64	47.41	47.49	47.58	47.8(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	20	6	-26	8.57	69%	0.19	35.4	1.23%	0	0.3	57	NAN
23	Oct_12_2005	43.18	47.44	47.79	47.41	47.34	47.75	47.52(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	70	20	-13	6.45	69%	0.16	32.8	1.24%	0	0.1	54	NAN
24	Oct_11_2005	43.11	47.36	47.86	47.14	47.08	47.4	47.8(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	40	15	-5	7.36	69%	0.16	33.5	1.24%	0	0.5	56	NAN
25	Oct_10_2005	43.04	47.27	47.82	47.24	47.07	46.94	46.88(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-14	-4	4.81	67%		38	1.22%	0	-0.4	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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