Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $44.7600 (-1.15%) ($44.7200 - $44.9600) on Thu. Sep. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $44.7600(-1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.17(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.74(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.42(0.77%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2005	41.64	44.42	44.74	45.17	45.22	45.04	44.76(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-20	-17	60	2.46	65%	0.12	162.5	1.01%	0	0.6	63	0
2	Sep_7_2005	41.59	44.33	44.7	45.12	45.24	45.41	45.28(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	19	76	3.74	68%	0.12	144.4	1%	0	1.4	62	0
3	Sep_6_2005	41.54	44.14	44.62	44.86	45	45.4	45.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	70	42	78	4.48	68%	0.17	101.5	1%	0	1.7	69	0
4	Sep_2_2005	41.47	43.91	44.53	44.57	44.59	45.06	45.24(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	80	41	64	3.61	68%	0.1	63.1	1%	0	1.1	57	0
5	Sep_1_2005	41.43	43.69	44.37	44.37	44.3	44.6	44.92(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	40	32	45	3.59	68%	0.1	55.6	1%	0	1	60	0

6	Aug_31_2005	41.39	43.51	44.24	44.26	44.2	44.13	44.52(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-20	7	25	3.67	68%	0.05	53.8	0.99%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Aug_30_2005	41.37	43.38	44.19	44.22	44.22	44.01	43.96(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-30	-22	27	4.14	66%	0.05	55.3	0.98%	0	0.4	63	0
8	Aug_29_2005	41.35	43.28	44.17	44.34	44.32	44.27	44.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10	-18	65	2.85	66%	0.05	61.1	0.99%	0	0.7	72	0
9	Aug_26_2005	41.33	43.14	44.18	44.48	44.44	44.43	44.24(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-0	6	133	5.86	66%	0.02	64.2	0.99%	0	0.8	76	0
10	Aug_25_2005	41.32	42.98	44.14	44.37	44.5	44.38	44.4(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	49	-10	9	169	4.3	63%	0.07	62.4	0.99%	0	1	77	0

11	Aug_24_2005	41.29	42.83	44.08	44.21	44.34	44.45	44.28(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	30	-0	187	4.15	63%	0.05	58.4	1.01%	0	1	70	0
12	Aug_23_2005	41.27	42.67	43.94	44.16	44.13	44.63	44.56(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	80	34	216	5.46	65%	0.05	57.9	1%	0	1.3	67	0
13	Aug_22_2005	41.25	42.46	43.65	43.98	43.97	44.22	44.92(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	81	40	41	202	4.46	65%	0.07	55.4	1.01%	0	1.7	68	0
14	Aug_19_2005	41.22	42.25	43.24	43.86	43.75	43.63	43.68(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	-30	-8	181	2.24	62%	0.05	57.4	0.96%	0	1.1	67	0
15	Aug_18_2005	41.2	42.12	42.96	43.88	43.85	43.71	43.6(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-20	-13	182	3.92	62%	0.05	60.9	0.96%	0	1.2	68	0

16	Aug_17_2005	41.18	42.01	42.74	43.94	43.89	43.88	44.04(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-10	9	203	5.14	64%	0.05	67.5	0.95%	0	1.6	69	0
17	Aug_16_2005	41.16	41.84	42.51	43.67	43.81	44	43.64(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	79	40	36	206	5.09	64%	0.02	66.8	0.95%	0	1.6	68	0
18	Aug_15_2005	41.15	41.7	42.32	43.24	43.51	43.9	44.32(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	107	80	72	210	3.73	68%	0.07	59.4	0.93%	0	2.4	76	0
19	Aug_12_2005	41.12	41.51	42.01	42.53	42.85	43.63	43.8(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	102	150	82	163	2.36	61%	0.02	47.7	0.93%	0	2.5	72	0
20	Aug_11_2005	41.11	41.36	41.72	41.9	42.14	43.13	43.88(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	106	180	102	116	6.29	61%	0.02	35.3	0.96%	0	3.3	69	0

21	Aug_10_2005	41.1	41.19	41.43	41.39	41.44	42.08	42.72(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	68	110	71	59	5.51	54%	0	28.9	0.91%	0	3.1	57	0
22	Aug_9_2005	41.1	41.08	41.25	41.2	41.13	41.15	41.48(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-0	13	24	2.2	48%	-0.05	29.5	0.84%	0	1.1	56	0
23	Aug_8_2005	41.12	41.06	41.17	41.28	41.2	40.81	40.76(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-22	-70	-33	10	2.17	44%	-0.07	42.4	0.81%	0	-0.9	50	0
24	Aug_5_2005	41.15	41.08	41.18	41.4	41.41	41.1	40.68(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-25	-50	-40	19	1.9	44%	-0.07	57.6	0.81%	0	-1.1	50	0
25	Aug_4_2005	41.18	41.09	41.22	41.46	41.58	41.59	41.32(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	10	-5	44	3.31	51%		64.4	0.79%	0	0.6	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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