Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.0000 (0.69%) ($40.6800 - $41.0000) on Thu. Jun. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $41.0000(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.65(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.57(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.77(0.56%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2005	42.02	40.77	40.57	40.65	40.69	40.82	41(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	21	28	1.76	41%	-0.05	-20	1%	0	0.4	53	0
2	Jun_1_2005	42.04	40.81	40.52	40.47	40.54	40.66	40.72(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	30	10	-4	3.42	41%	-0.05	-19.7	0.99%	0	-0.2	40	0
3	May_31_2005	42.06	40.83	40.47	40.46	40.42	40.55	40.48(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	20	2	-22	2.6	41%	-0.07	-15.2	1.01%	0	-0.6	40	0
4	May_27_2005	42.09	40.86	40.45	40.52	40.44	40.43	40.64(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10	9	-34	2.27	43%	-0.02	-11.4	1%	0	-0.4	36	0
5	May_26_2005	42.1	40.86	40.42	40.44	40.49	40.3	40.4(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-10	-70	2.61	43%	-0.05	-11.8	1.01%	0	-0.8	33	0

6	May_25_2005	42.12	40.88	40.44	40.49	40.48	40.46	40.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-0	-17	-85	1.95	45%	-0.07	-13.4	1.01%	0	-1.3	30	0
7	May_24_2005	42.15	40.88	40.57	40.56	40.57	40.69	40.64(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	20	17	-71	1.65	46%	-0.05	-4.4	1.01%	0	-0.5	35	0
8	May_23_2005	42.17	40.92	40.63	40.47	40.47	40.5	40.8(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	10	12	-80	2.17	46%	-0.07	-9.5	1.01%	0	-0.2	46	0
9	May_20_2005	42.2	40.93	40.71	40.38	40.29	40.45	40.24(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	20	1	-88	2.45	44%	-0.07	-2.9	0.99%	0	-1.2	39	0
10	May_19_2005	42.23	40.95	40.87	40.38	40.27	40.43	40.64(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	20	16	-71	2.86	44%	-0.05	-0.8	0.99%	0	-0.6	47	0

11	May_18_2005	42.25	40.96	40.98	40.39	40.23	40.13	40.48(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-30	-14	-64	4.73	46%	-0.07	-2.8	1%	0	-0.8	55	0
12	May_17_2005	42.28	40.94	41.11	40.59	40.37	40.12	40.2(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-60	-31	-42	3.88	46%	-0.07	-7	1%	0	-1.3	47	0
13	May_16_2005	42.31	40.97	41.22	40.81	40.7	40.32	40.36(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-70	-38	-19	3.18	44%	-0.05	-8.7	1%	0	-1	52	0
14	May_13_2005	42.33	40.97	41.32	41.1	41	40.62	40.28(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-35	-70	-47	2	3.4	45%	-0.05	-13.4	1.01%	0	-1.1	44	0
15	May_12_2005	42.35	40.95	41.4	41.42	41.32	41.07	40.64(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-16	-50	-35	40	3.58	45%	-0.02	-14.3	1.02%	0	-0.5	53	0

16	May_11_2005	42.36	40.95	41.39	41.65	41.62	41.39	41.48(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-16	62	3.88	48%	-0.02	-13.2	0.99%	0	0.8	57	0
17	May_10_2005	42.37	40.98	41.32	41.7	41.75	41.58	41.28(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-14	80	3.04	48%	0	-14.3	0.99%	0	0.5	64	0
18	May_9_2005	42.37	41.02	41.24	41.68	41.8	41.85	41.8(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	6	87	2.11	50%	0.02	-15	0.99%	0	1.1	61	0
19	May_6_2005	42.36	41.03	41.17	41.57	41.66	41.92	41.88(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	50	23	105	2.68	50%	0.02	-16.1	0.98%	0	1.1	67	0
20	May_5_2005	42.35	41.04	41.03	41.39	41.47	41.75	41.8(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	50	39	102	3.74	50%	0	-18.9	0.99%	0	1	61	0

21	May_4_2005	42.35	41.06	40.92	41.09	41.22	41.41	41.76(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	40	31	70	2.69	50%	0.02	-26.7	0.99%	0	0.9	53	0
22	May_3_2005	42.34	41.08	40.74	40.88	40.92	41.19	41.16(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	50	20	26	2.22	45%	0.02	-30.7	0.98%	0	0.1	45	0
23	May_2_2005	42.33	41.13	40.68	40.74	40.77	41.03	41.24(0.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	17	50	24	-6	1.73	45%	0.02	-31.4	0.99%	0	0.1	42	0
24	Apr_29_2005	42.32	41.15	40.53	40.72	40.62	40.66	41(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-0	11	-46	3.67	45%	0	-37.7	0.98%	0	-0.2	41	0
25	Apr_28_2005	42.32	41.19	40.46	40.62	40.66	40.52	40.28(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-20	-10	-93	3.16	42%		-45.5	0.96%	0	-1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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