Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.3600 (0.2%) ($39.9600 - $40.4400) on Mon. May. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $40.3600(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $40.97
5 Day Moving Average   $40.81(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.22(-2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.97(-1.49%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2005	42.31	40.97	41.22	40.81	40.7	40.32	40.36(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-70	-38	-19	3.18	44%	-0.05	-8.7	1%	0	-1	52	0
2	May_13_2005	42.33	40.97	41.32	41.1	41	40.62	40.28(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-35	-70	-47	2	3.4	45%	-0.05	-13.4	1.01%	0	-1.1	44	0
3	May_12_2005	42.35	40.95	41.4	41.42	41.32	41.07	40.64(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-16	-50	-35	40	3.58	45%	-0.02	-14.3	1.02%	0	-0.5	53	0
4	May_11_2005	42.36	40.95	41.39	41.65	41.62	41.39	41.48(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-16	62	3.88	48%	-0.02	-13.2	0.99%	0	0.8	57	0
5	May_10_2005	42.37	40.98	41.32	41.7	41.75	41.58	41.28(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-14	80	3.04	48%	0	-14.3	0.99%	0	0.5	64	0

6	May_9_2005	42.37	41.02	41.24	41.68	41.8	41.85	41.8(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	6	87	2.11	50%	0.02	-15	0.99%	0	1.1	61	0
7	May_6_2005	42.36	41.03	41.17	41.57	41.66	41.92	41.88(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	50	23	105	2.68	50%	0.02	-16.1	0.98%	0	1.1	67	0
8	May_5_2005	42.35	41.04	41.03	41.39	41.47	41.75	41.8(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	50	39	102	3.74	50%	0	-18.9	0.99%	0	1	61	0
9	May_4_2005	42.35	41.06	40.92	41.09	41.22	41.41	41.76(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	40	31	70	2.69	50%	0.02	-26.7	0.99%	0	0.9	53	0
10	May_3_2005	42.34	41.08	40.74	40.88	40.92	41.19	41.16(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	50	20	26	2.22	45%	0.02	-30.7	0.98%	0	0.1	45	0

11	May_2_2005	42.33	41.13	40.68	40.74	40.77	41.03	41.24(0.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	17	50	24	-6	1.73	45%	0.02	-31.4	0.99%	0	0.1	42	0
12	Apr_29_2005	42.32	41.15	40.53	40.72	40.62	40.66	41(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-0	11	-46	3.67	45%	0	-37.7	0.98%	0	-0.2	41	0
13	Apr_28_2005	42.32	41.19	40.46	40.62	40.66	40.52	40.28(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-20	-10	-93	3.16	42%	-0.02	-45.5	0.96%	0	-1	35	0
14	Apr_27_2005	42.33	41.28	40.54	40.73	40.71	40.58	40.72(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-20	-3	-102	2.55	44%	0	-48.5	0.95%	0	-0.7	36	0
15	Apr_26_2005	42.33	41.34	40.62	40.58	40.7	40.8	40.48(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-30	30	1	-123	4.61	47%	-0.02	-62.7	0.95%	0	-1	36	0

16	Apr_25_2005	42.34	41.39	40.78	40.59	40.59	40.84	41.12(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	40	31	-112	2.68	49%	-0.02	-70.7	0.96%	0	-0.3	39	0
17	Apr_22_2005	42.35	41.47	40.87	40.32	40.42	40.61	40.52(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	40	25	-138	6.18	47%	-0.05	-82.5	0.93%	0	-1.1	40	0
18	Apr_21_2005	42.37	41.59	41.04	40.27	40.19	40.34	40.8(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-34	20	3	-146	4.31	49%	-0.02	-87.4	0.94%	0	-0.9	41	0
19	Apr_20_2005	42.38	41.69	41.2	40.34	40.16	40.23	39.96(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-0	-18	-150	3.77	42%	-0.02	-86	0.91%	0	-1.9	31	0
20	Apr_19_2005	42.39	41.86	41.44	40.69	40.46	40.03	40.56(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-90	-33	-122	2.86	41%	-0.02	-81.4	0.91%	0	-1.5	36	0

21	Apr_18_2005	42.4	42.01	41.61	41.02	40.83	40.09	39.76(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-94	-140	-89	-108	4.91	36%	-0.05	-71.7	0.9%	0	-2.5	31	0
22	Apr_15_2005	42.42	42.21	41.84	41.5	41.39	40.89	40.28(-2.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-76	-90	-75	-77	6.47	38%	-0.05	-66.3	0.89%	0	-2.4	24	0
23	Apr_14_2005	42.44	42.38	42.01	41.91	41.83	41.57	41.12(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-50	-44	-43	2.93	44%	0	-64.8	0.86%	0	-1.8	28	0
24	Apr_13_2005	42.44	42.5	42.11	42.18	42.11	41.9	41.72(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-40	-22	-26	3.29	47%	0.02	-59.5	0.86%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	Apr_12_2005	42.43	42.59	42.13	42.29	42.26	42.09	42.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	-30	-17	-35	3.03	50%		-56.3	0.85%	0	-0.6	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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