Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.5600 (0.74%) ($43.4000 - $43.6000) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $43.5600(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.82(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.69(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.5(2.49%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2005	41.56	42.5	42.69	42.82	42.94	43.39	43.56(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	48	80	42	65	1.85	52%	0.1	26	0.93%	0	2.4	67	NAN
2	Feb_28_2005	41.52	42.44	42.61	42.62	42.61	43	43.24(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	44	60	40	56	3.16	52%	0.1	15.3	0.93%	0	2.2	61	NAN
3	Feb_25_2005	41.48	42.39	42.52	42.49	42.44	42.49	42.8(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	0	23	40	1.33	50%	0.07	6.8	0.93%	0	1.3	55	NAN
4	Feb_24_2005	41.45	42.37	42.45	42.36	42.39	42.22	42.32(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-11	16	1.16	48%	0.05	4.4	0.92%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
5	Feb_23_2005	41.43	42.37	42.39	42.38	42.38	42.4	42.2(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	0	-18	1	2.07	48%	0.07	6.8	0.93%	0	-0.6	43	NAN

6	Feb_22_2005	41.4	42.39	42.38	42.54	42.43	42.56	42.52(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	10	6	15	2.25	48%	0.1	0	0.92%	0	0.4	48	NAN
7	Feb_18_2005	41.36	42.38	42.34	42.59	42.51	42.36	42.6(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-30	3	17	1.93	48%	0.1	-8.5	0.92%	0	0.7	52	NAN
8	Feb_17_2005	41.32	42.37	42.34	42.55	42.57	42.31	42.16(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-13	-40	-19	5	1.91	48%	0.1	-20.5	0.92%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
9	Feb_16_2005	41.28	42.36	42.31	42.54	42.59	42.66	42.4(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	20	1	6	2.3	48%	0.1	-40.8	0.93%	0	0.1	49	NAN
10	Feb_15_2005	41.24	42.37	42.34	42.4	42.49	42.84	43(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	60	38	9	1.98	54%	0.15	-47.9	0.91%	0	1.6	51	NAN

11	Feb_14_2005	41.18	42.38	42.29	42.19	42.21	42.52	42.8(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	25	50	34	-3	3.05	54%	0.1	-54.4	0.93%	0	1.1	59	NAN
12	Feb_11_2005	41.14	42.41	42.29	42.07	41.99	42.14	42.4(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	20	14	-22	1.88	55%	0.1	-43.6	0.95%	0	-0	50	NAN
13	Feb_10_2005	41.1	42.43	42.24	42.07	41.97	41.9	42.08(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-20	1	-29	1.39	52%	0.1	-37.7	0.94%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
14	Feb_9_2005	41.06	42.49	42.27	42.06	42.03	41.85	41.72(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-22	-30	1.8	52%	0.05	-26.5	0.95%	0	-1.6	50	NAN
15	Feb_8_2005	41.04	42.56	42.38	42.27	42.08	42.03	41.96(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-20	-21	-12	1.77	52%	0.07	-9.3	0.95%	0	-1.3	42	NAN

16	Feb_7_2005	41.01	42.56	42.4	42.4	42.27	42.2	42.2(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-20	-1	-12	1.48	52%	0.07	-8.7	0.95%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
17	Feb_4_2005	40.98	42.59	42.42	42.43	42.34	42.14	42.32(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-40	-13	-27	1.67	54%	0.07	-22.3	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
18	Feb_3_2005	40.95	42.6	42.43	42.44	42.39	42.34	42.12(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10	-15	-36	2.02	54%	0.07	-29.1	0.97%	0	-1.1	42	NAN
19	Feb_2_2005	40.92	42.62	42.42	42.44	42.45	42.54	42.76(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	10	6	-41	1.26	59%	0.07	-30.3	0.95%	0	0.3	43	NAN
20	Feb_1_2005	40.89	42.6	42.4	42.51	42.41	42.45	42.6(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-0	7	-47	1.64	59%	0.07	-39.4	0.96%	0	0	45	NAN

21	Jan_31_2005	40.86	42.63	42.48	42.41	42.48	42.45	42.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10	2	-45	2.84	59%	0.05	-36.9	0.96%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
22	Jan_28_2005	40.84	42.69	42.58	42.41	42.4	42.37	42.36(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10	-13	-35	1.13	59%	0.07	-20	0.96%	0	-0.7	53	NAN
23	Jan_27_2005	40.81	42.73	42.63	42.42	42.44	42.59	42.48(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	30	15	-17	1.47	61%	0.05	-11.3	0.96%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
24	Jan_26_2005	40.79	42.74	42.71	42.3	42.39	42.44	42.76(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	10	14	-15	1.73	61%	0.07	-10.4	0.97%	0	0	54	NAN
25	Jan_25_2005	40.76	42.77	42.74	42.29	42.22	42.28	42.08(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	0	-23	-23	1.86	59%		4.3	0.95%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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