Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 26, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $42.7600 (1.62%) ($42.6400 - $42.9200) on Wed. Jan. 26, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $42.7600(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.3(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.71(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.74(0.05%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20050226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2005	40.79	42.74	42.71	42.3	42.39	42.44	42.76(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	10	14	-15	1.73	61%	0.07	-10.4	0.97%	0	0	54	NAN
2	Jan_25_2005	40.76	42.77	42.74	42.29	42.22	42.28	42.08(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	0	-23	-23	1.86	59%	0.02	4.3	0.95%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
3	Jan_24_2005	40.75	42.77	42.79	42.57	42.41	42.34	42.4(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-20	-6	-2	1.66	59%	0.07	32.1	0.94%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
4	Jan_21_2005	40.72	42.79	42.78	42.77	42.6	42.15	42.36(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-90	-31	-16	1.96	56%	0.07	54.8	0.96%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
5	Jan_20_2005	40.69	42.78	42.79	42.89	42.87	42.48	41.92(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-44	-70	-51	-24	2.24	55%	0.05	73	0.96%	0	-1.8	40	NAN

6	Jan_19_2005	40.67	42.8	42.86	43.17	43.1	43.06	42.68(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-10	-17	8	1.55	58%	0.07	103.6	0.93%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
7	Jan_18_2005	40.64	42.75	42.84	43.25	43.16	43.27	43.48(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	10	20	19	2.24	62%	0.1	111.8	0.9%	0	1.4	51	NAN
8	Jan_14_2005	40.6	42.64	42.79	43.05	43.08	43.15	43.4(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	10	25	13	2.1	59%	0.1	91	0.9%	0	1.2	58	NAN
9	Jan_13_2005	40.56	42.52	42.81	42.8	42.88	43.05	42.96(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	12	7	1.66	58%	0.07	74.1	0.91%	0	0.6	57	NAN
10	Jan_12_2005	40.53	42.43	42.82	42.69	42.74	43.02	43.32(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	50	32	19	1.83	58%	0.1	62	0.91%	0	1.2	62	NAN

11	Jan_11_2005	40.49	42.3	42.76	42.5	42.58	42.71	43.08(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	30	23	11	2.06	58%	0.1	52.4	0.92%	0	1	61	NAN
12	Jan_10_2005	40.45	42.19	42.76	42.38	42.46	42.47	42.48(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	10	-9	11	1.17	56%	0.07	40.3	0.91%	0	0.3	62	NAN
13	Jan_7_2005	40.42	42.08	42.77	42.51	42.53	42.47	42.16(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-10	-24	33	1.37	56%	0.1	32.3	0.91%	0	0.1	62	NAN
14	Jan_6_2005	40.38	42.01	42.79	42.82	42.77	42.46	42.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-50	-25	79	2.51	56%	0.1	33.5	0.92%	0	0.4	68	NAN
15	Jan_5_2005	40.34	41.96	42.78	42.97	43.04	42.61	42.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-70	-34	105	1.52	56%	0.1	36	0.93%	0	0.4	67	NAN

16	Jan_4_2005	40.3	41.89	42.75	43.04	43.19	43.09	42.44(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10	-28	134	2.75	56%	0.1	36.4	0.93%	0	0.5	69	NAN
17	Jan_3_2005	40.26	41.85	42.68	43.21	43.18	43.46	43.16(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	40	20	189	2.5	59%	0.15	42.3	0.91%	0	1.3	79	NAN
18	Dec_31_2004	40.2	41.78	42.5	43.06	43.08	43.3	43.68(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	87	40	46	208	1.48	65%	0.15	43.6	0.9%	0	2	88	NAN
19	Dec_30_2004	40.14	41.69	42.22	42.78	42.81	42.89	43.16(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	20	23	176	0.84	66%	0.1	44.3	0.93%	0	1.8	78	NAN
20	Dec_29_2004	40.1	41.61	42	42.57	42.46	42.86	42.76(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	60	19	154	1.58	64%	0.1	45.4	0.94%	0	1.5	64	NAN

21	Dec_28_2004	40.06	41.53	41.81	42.42	42.3	42.73	43.28(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	60	63	163	1.89	68%	0.15	43.9	0.92%	0	2.4	73	NAN
22	Dec_27_2004	40	41.43	41.54	42.07	42.01	42.07	42.44(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	10	30	110	1.14	65%	0.15	39.3	0.89%	0	1.7	56	NAN
23	Dec_23_2004	39.94	41.38	41.32	41.84	41.79	41.88	42.24(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	10	14	58	0.98	65%	0.1	30.1	0.9%	0	1.6	49	NAN
24	Dec_22_2004	39.9	41.32	41.16	41.58	41.67	41.95	42.12(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	50	34	23	1.42	59%	0.08	12.2	0.9%	0	1.6	49	NAN
25	Dec_21_2004	39.87	41.26	41.06	41.35	41.42	41.71	42(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	25	50	35	-4	1.5	59%		-2.6	0.95%	0	1.5	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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