Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 30, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.2400 (-0.77%) ($41.1600 - $41.6800) on Tue. Nov. 30, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $41.2400(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.29(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.36(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.02(0.54%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2004	39.67	41.02	41.36	41.29	41.41	41.56	41.24(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	4	40	2.61	59%	0	81.5	1.1%	0	0.4	58	0
2	Nov_29_2004	39.67	40.95	41.38	41.26	41.31	41.55	41.56(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	40	20	56	1.07	59%	0.03	74.3	1.09%	0	1	59	0
3	Nov_26_2004	39.66	40.86	41.32	41.2	41.16	41.26	41.48(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	6	45	0.75	59%	0.03	72.7	1.09%	0	1	54	0
4	Nov_24_2004	39.65	40.77	41.2	41.24	41.19	41.08	41.16(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-9	34	1.03	61%	0.03	73.2	1.09%	0	0.6	52	0
5	Nov_23_2004	39.64	40.7	41.1	41.38	41.31	41.06	41(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-50	-18	37	1.33	61%	0.03	75.3	1.1%	0	0.4	58	0

6	Nov_22_2004	39.63	40.61	41.07	41.43	41.49	41.31	41.12(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-30	-16	48	2.29	61%	0	71.6	1.11%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Nov_19_2004	39.63	40.52	41.03	41.51	41.54	41.57	41.24(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	10	-1	73	2.54	64%	-0.03	68.4	1.14%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Nov_18_2004	39.64	40.4	41	41.44	41.5	41.68	41.68(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	30	26	97	1.41	64%	-0.03	66.2	1.13%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Nov_17_2004	39.65	40.29	40.92	41.15	41.27	41.52	41.84(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	50	36	96	2.77	64%	0	62.5	1.14%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Nov_16_2004	39.65	40.15	40.77	40.79	40.84	41.31	41.28(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	80	26	76	1.14	62%	-0.03	54.2	1.13%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Nov_15_2004	39.66	40.05	40.65	40.65	40.57	41.03	41.52(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	53	70	42	85	1.36	62%	-0.03	50.5	1.13%	0	2	76	0
12	Nov_12_2004	39.67	39.94	40.46	40.49	40.57	40.37	40.88(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10	10	68	1.83	60%	-0.03	43.5	1.13%	0	1.4	73	0
13	Nov_11_2004	39.68	39.84	40.35	40.52	40.37	40.12	40.24(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-50	-23	69	1.94	58%	-0.03	39.9	1.13%	0	0.6	71	0
14	Nov_10_2004	39.69	39.77	40.3	40.66	40.61	40.37	40.04(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-50	-18	87	1.56	58%	-0.03	41.1	1.13%	0	0.4	59	0
15	Nov_9_2004	39.7	39.74	40.28	40.74	40.74	40.63	40.56(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-20	-5	108	2.09	61%	-0.03	39.8	1.12%	0	1.2	69	0

16	Nov_8_2004	39.71	39.68	40.14	40.64	40.72	40.85	40.72(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	13	107	1.06	61%	0	36.6	1.13%	0	1.6	67	0
17	Nov_5_2004	39.71	39.65	39.98	40.42	40.56	40.86	41.04(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	60	34	98	1.81	55%	0	30.5	1.12%	0	2.3	72	0
18	Nov_4_2004	39.71	39.58	39.76	40.15	40.2	40.59	40.96(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	43	70	32	75	1.52	55%	0	23.3	1.16%	0	2.7	74	0
19	Nov_3_2004	39.71	39.5	39.6	39.9	39.94	40.26	40.4(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	60	31	65	1.65	53%	-0.03	18.9	1.16%	0	2.1	73	0
20	Nov_2_2004	39.72	39.47	39.47	39.76	39.72	39.81	40.08(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	10	21	50	1.65	53%	0.03	33.3	1.16%	0	1.6	60	0

21	Nov_1_2004	39.71	39.45	39.39	39.57	39.56	39.62	39.6(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	7	28	0.98	51%	-0.03	38.3	1.15%	0	0.4	48	0
22	Oct_29_2004	39.72	39.45	39.36	39.46	39.45	39.63	39.72(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	30	17	16	1.78	51%	-0.03	55.3	1.16%	0	0.7	43	0
23	Oct_28_2004	39.73	39.46	39.29	39.3	39.29	39.5	39.68(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	40	15	-6	2.39	51%	0	57.6	1.16%	0	0.6	47	0
24	Oct_27_2004	39.73	39.42	39.2	39.26	39.16	39.27	39.72(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	10	14	-20	2.46	51%	-0.03	50.4	1.17%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Oct_26_2004	39.74	39.35	39.15	39.14	39.15	39.07	39.12(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10	-1	-45	2.47	47%		36.4	1.15%	0	-0.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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