Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.0000 (-2.36%) ($38.0000 - $38.8400) on Thu. Aug. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $38.0000(-2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.08(-7.68%)
Resistance Level   $39.79
5 Day Moving Average   $39.03(-2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.08(-2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.79(-4.5%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.86%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2004	40.78	39.79	39.08	39.03	38.99	38.61	38(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-70	-21	-59	1.32	39%	-0.07	-49.5	1.85%	0	-2.1	29	0
2	Aug_4_2004	40.81	39.89	39.3	39.22	39.21	39.07	38.92(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-30	-9	-49	1.14	42%	-0.02	-65.4	1.83%	0	-1.3	37	0
3	Aug_3_2004	40.82	39.97	39.38	39.24	39.22	39.37	39.28(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	30	1	-51	0.95	42%	0	-80	1.84%	0	-1	36	0
4	Aug_2_2004	40.82	40.02	39.51	39.25	39.14	39.36	39.6(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	30	10	-55	0.7	42%	0.02	-93.3	1.84%	0	-0.6	31	0
5	Jul_30_2004	40.81	40.11	39.6	39.2	39.07	39.08	39.36(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10	3	-62	0.75	42%	0.02	-92.3	1.85%	0	-1	39	0

6	Jul_29_2004	40.8	40.22	39.71	39.16	39.22	38.92	38.92(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-50	-13	-74	0.87	42%	0	-90.8	1.85%	0	-1.6	35	0
7	Jul_28_2004	40.8	40.4	39.84	39.4	39.35	39.07	39.04(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-50	-19	-64	1.63	40%	0	-72.2	1.85%	0	-1.5	47	0
8	Jul_27_2004	40.8	40.56	40.01	39.53	39.58	39.52	39.32(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-14	-55	2.05	40%	0	-63.4	1.89%	0	-1.3	43	0
9	Jul_26_2004	40.8	40.7	40.24	39.81	39.83	39.63	39.36(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-30	-10	-31	1.03	40%	-0.02	-49.8	1.89%	0	-1.4	47	0
10	Jul_23_2004	40.81	40.84	40.39	40.06	40.02	39.65	39.16(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-70	-22	-30	0.79	40%	0	-38.2	1.89%	0	-1.8	38	0

11	Jul_22_2004	40.81	40.99	40.57	40.33	40.33	40.04	40.12(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-50	-12	-21	1.86	41%	0.02	-26.9	1.87%	0	-1	40	0
12	Jul_21_2004	40.8	41.06	40.55	40.35	40.49	40.38	39.68(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10	-12	-39	1.11	41%	0	-23.7	1.87%	0	-1.6	33	0
13	Jul_20_2004	40.8	41.15	40.64	40.55	40.54	40.62	40.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	10	-5	-41	0.99	43%	0.02	-16.8	1.84%	0	-0.6	39	0
14	Jul_19_2004	40.79	41.18	40.58	40.74	40.56	40.59	40.64(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10	-1	-48	0.76	42%	0.05	-2.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	38	0
15	Jul_16_2004	40.77	41.2	40.66	40.78	40.74	40.47	40.48(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-50	-4	-52	0.52	42%	0.05	-1.6	1.86%	0	-0.9	40	0

16	Jul_15_2004	40.75	41.22	40.77	40.85	40.79	40.53	40.24(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-50	-12	-55	0.84	41%	0.07	6.6	1.86%	0	-1.3	38	0
17	Jul_14_2004	40.72	41.26	40.99	40.76	40.88	41.01	40.68(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	30	3	-47	2.48	40%	0.07	4.6	1.87%	0	-0.8	45	0
18	Jul_13_2004	40.69	41.28	41.14	40.72	40.71	41.05	41.68(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	60	20	-37	2.62	40%	0.07	3.5	1.86%	0	0.6	53	0
19	Jul_12_2004	40.66	41.2	41.18	40.41	40.51	40.75	40.84(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	50	9	-48	1.09	40%	0.07	-4.3	1.85%	0	-0.5	48	0
20	Jul_9_2004	40.63	41.21	41.3	40.54	40.36	40.37	40.8(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10	-5	-41	0.81	40%	0.07	12.2	1.87%	0	-0.5	51	0

21	Jul_8_2004	40.6	41.17	41.42	40.72	40.55	40.28	39.8(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-60	-24	-33	0.96	38%	0.02	18.5	1.86%	0	-1.8	43	0
22	Jul_7_2004	40.59	41.23	41.61	41.26	41.03	40.36	40.48(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-130	-29	-8	0.87	38%	0.02	44.9	1.85%	0	-1	48	0
23	Jul_6_2004	40.58	41.26	41.72	41.62	41.46	40.82	40.12(-3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-31	-120	-43	5	1.17	38%	0.05	65.2	1.84%	0	-1.5	43	0
24	Jul_2_2004	40.56	41.23	41.85	42.05	41.97	41.7	41.48(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-50	-17	45	0.54	40%	0.07	74.4	1.79%	0	0.3	75	0
25	Jul_1_2004	40.53	41.11	41.81	42.16	42.18	42.09	41.72(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10	-6	56	1.28	40%		67.1	1.79%	0	0.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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