Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.3600 (0.51%) ($38.9200 - $41.6800) on Mon. Jul. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $39.3600(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.94(-8.69%)
Resistance Level   $40.7
5 Day Moving Average   $39.81(-1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.24(-2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.7(-3.29%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2004	40.8	40.7	40.24	39.81	39.83	39.63	39.36(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-30	-10	-31	1.03	40%	-0.02	-49.8	1.89%	0	-1.4	47	0
2	Jul_23_2004	40.81	40.84	40.39	40.06	40.02	39.65	39.16(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-70	-22	-30	0.79	40%	0	-38.2	1.89%	0	-1.8	38	0
3	Jul_22_2004	40.81	40.99	40.57	40.33	40.33	40.04	40.12(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-50	-12	-21	1.86	41%	0.02	-26.9	1.87%	0	-1	40	0
4	Jul_21_2004	40.8	41.06	40.55	40.35	40.49	40.38	39.68(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10	-12	-39	1.11	41%	0	-23.7	1.87%	0	-1.6	33	0
5	Jul_20_2004	40.8	41.15	40.64	40.55	40.54	40.62	40.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	10	-5	-41	0.99	43%	0.02	-16.8	1.84%	0	-0.6	39	0

6	Jul_19_2004	40.79	41.18	40.58	40.74	40.56	40.59	40.64(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10	-1	-48	0.76	42%	0.05	-2.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	38	0
7	Jul_16_2004	40.77	41.2	40.66	40.78	40.74	40.47	40.48(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-50	-4	-52	0.52	42%	0.05	-1.6	1.86%	0	-0.9	40	0
8	Jul_15_2004	40.75	41.22	40.77	40.85	40.79	40.53	40.24(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-50	-12	-55	0.84	41%	0.07	6.6	1.86%	0	-1.3	38	0
9	Jul_14_2004	40.72	41.26	40.99	40.76	40.88	41.01	40.68(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	30	3	-47	2.48	40%	0.07	4.6	1.87%	0	-0.8	45	0
10	Jul_13_2004	40.69	41.28	41.14	40.72	40.71	41.05	41.68(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	60	20	-37	2.62	40%	0.07	3.5	1.86%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Jul_12_2004	40.66	41.2	41.18	40.41	40.51	40.75	40.84(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	50	9	-48	1.09	40%	0.07	-4.3	1.85%	0	-0.5	48	0
12	Jul_9_2004	40.63	41.21	41.3	40.54	40.36	40.37	40.8(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10	-5	-41	0.81	40%	0.07	12.2	1.87%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	Jul_8_2004	40.6	41.17	41.42	40.72	40.55	40.28	39.8(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-60	-24	-33	0.96	38%	0.02	18.5	1.86%	0	-1.8	43	0
14	Jul_7_2004	40.59	41.23	41.61	41.26	41.03	40.36	40.48(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-130	-29	-8	0.87	38%	0.02	44.9	1.85%	0	-1	48	0
15	Jul_6_2004	40.58	41.26	41.72	41.62	41.46	40.82	40.12(-3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-31	-120	-43	5	1.17	38%	0.05	65.2	1.84%	0	-1.5	43	0

16	Jul_2_2004	40.56	41.23	41.85	42.05	41.97	41.7	41.48(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-50	-17	45	0.54	40%	0.07	74.4	1.79%	0	0.3	75	0
17	Jul_1_2004	40.53	41.11	41.81	42.16	42.18	42.09	41.72(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10	-6	56	1.28	40%	0.1	67.1	1.79%	0	0.6	60	0
18	Jun_30_2004	40.49	41.03	41.73	42.22	42.21	42.24	42.48(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	0	5	73	1.48	41%	0.1	73.3	1.77%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Jun_29_2004	40.45	40.89	41.57	42.03	42.14	42.28	42.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	26	30	11	69	1.09	41%	0.12	75.9	1.77%	0	1.5	62	0
20	Jun_28_2004	40.4	40.77	41.44	41.85	41.92	42.18	42.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	50	16	65	1.41	41%	0.1	81.2	1.77%	0	1.7	60	0

21	Jun_25_2004	40.36	40.63	41.21	41.63	41.63	42	42.04(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	30	60	19	62	1.32	44%	0.1	90.4	1.78%	0	1.7	70	0
22	Jun_24_2004	40.32	40.48	41.09	41.4	41.45	41.67	42.04(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	22	68	2.04	46%	0.12	95	1.81%	0	1.9	72	0
23	Jun_23_2004	40.27	40.33	40.87	41.17	41.17	41.27	41.52(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	20	6	51	2.18	47%	0.05	103	1.83%	0	1.5	59	0
24	Jun_22_2004	40.25	40.18	40.79	41.05	41.04	41.23	41.36(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	8	55	2.02	46%	0.07	116.8	1.84%	0	1.5	60	0
25	Jun_21_2004	40.22	40.04	40.74	40.97	40.96	41.07	41.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	14	62	1.25	46%		120.3	1.85%	0	1.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.