Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 1, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.7200 (-1.79%) ($41.6400 - $42.2800) on Thu. Jul. 1, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $41.7200(-1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.16(-1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.81(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.11(1.48%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2004	40.53	41.11	41.81	42.16	42.18	42.09	41.72(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10	-6	56	1.28	40%	0.1	67.1	1.79%	0	0.6	60	NAN
2	Jun_30_2004	40.49	41.03	41.73	42.22	42.21	42.24	42.48(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	0	5	73	1.48	41%	0.1	73.3	1.77%	0	1.5	77	NAN
3	Jun_29_2004	40.45	40.89	41.57	42.03	42.14	42.28	42.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	26	30	11	69	1.09	41%	0.12	75.9	1.77%	0	1.5	62	NAN
4	Jun_28_2004	40.4	40.77	41.44	41.85	41.92	42.18	42.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	50	16	65	1.41	41%	0.1	81.2	1.77%	0	1.7	60	NAN
5	Jun_25_2004	40.36	40.63	41.21	41.63	41.63	42	42.04(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	30	60	19	62	1.32	44%	0.1	90.4	1.78%	0	1.7	70	NAN

6	Jun_24_2004	40.32	40.48	41.09	41.4	41.45	41.67	42.04(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	22	68	2.04	46%	0.12	95	1.81%	0	1.9	72	NAN
7	Jun_23_2004	40.27	40.33	40.87	41.17	41.17	41.27	41.52(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	20	6	51	2.18	47%	0.05	103	1.83%	0	1.5	59	NAN
8	Jun_22_2004	40.25	40.18	40.79	41.05	41.04	41.23	41.36(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	8	55	2.02	46%	0.07	116.8	1.84%	0	1.5	60	NAN
9	Jun_21_2004	40.22	40.04	40.74	40.97	40.96	41.07	41.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	14	62	1.25	46%	0.07	120.3	1.85%	0	1.4	57	NAN
10	Jun_18_2004	40.19	39.88	40.56	40.72	40.84	40.86	40.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	10	4	45	1.13	45%	0.05	113.6	1.86%	0	1.2	58	NAN

11	Jun_17_2004	40.17	39.72	40.37	40.73	40.62	40.85	40.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	30	6	47	0.84	48%	0.07	102.1	1.86%	0	1.2	62	NAN
12	Jun_16_2004	40.14	39.53	40.28	40.53	40.63	40.83	40.92(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	40	14	47	0.99	49%	0.02	87.1	1.92%	0	1.4	60	NAN
13	Jun_15_2004	40.13	39.28	40.15	40.5	40.51	40.4	40.96(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-20	-0	49	1.17	49%	0.05	73.4	1.93%	0	1.5	64	NAN
14	Jun_14_2004	40.11	39.07	40.04	40.49	40.46	40.44	39.96(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-4	60	1.35	47%	0.02	54.5	1.91%	0	0.7	60	NAN
15	Jun_10_2004	40.1	38.94	40.02	40.36	40.62	40.62	40.92(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	21	78	1.85	49%	0.02	38.4	1.91%	0	1.4	69	NAN

16	Jun_9_2004	40.09	38.78	39.82	39.94	40.21	40.48	39.88(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	70	1	64	1.42	47%	0.02	19.8	1.88%	0	0.8	67	NAN
17	Jun_8_2004	40.08	38.66	39.75	39.97	39.87	40.61	40.76(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	120	26	96	1.32	49%	0.02	8.5	1.86%	0	1.5	78	NAN
18	Jun_7_2004	40.07	38.46	39.53	39.76	39.69	39.95	40.92(4.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	40	31	111	2.03	49%	0.02	-8.7	1.86%	0	1.9	82	NAN
19	Jun_4_2004	40.06	38.35	39.28	39.57	39.49	39.12	39.32(1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-70	-13	105	0.93	45%	0.02	-19	1.79%	0	0.8	68	NAN
20	Jun_3_2004	40.05	38.39	39.15	39.63	39.65	39.43	38.84(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-40	-15	116	1.67	45%	0	-19.3	1.79%	0	0.4	61	NAN

21	Jun_2_2004	40.05	38.51	39.04	39.65	39.8	39.86	40(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	8	129	1.82	47%	0.05	-15.2	1.75%	0	1	61	NAN
22	Jun_1_2004	40.03	38.55	38.73	39.49	39.58	39.87	39.72(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	60	16	122	1.33	50%	0.02	-21.4	1.75%	0	0.8	63	NAN
23	May_28_2004	40.02	38.57	38.35	39.24	39.3	39.73	39.96(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	80	25	106	1.61	50%	0.02	-31.8	1.79%	0	0.9	68	NAN
24	May_27_2004	40.01	38.58	38.02	38.95	39.02	39.29	39.64(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	26	73	1.37	52%	0.02	-41.6	1.81%	0	0.6	50	NAN
25	May_26_2004	40	38.64	37.77	38.6	38.77	38.87	38.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	30	16	27	1.12	50%		-51.1	1.82%	0	0.2	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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