Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.3200 (1.24%) ($39.0800 - $39.4000) on Fri. Jun. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $39.3200(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.57(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.28(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.35(2.53%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2004	40.06	38.35	39.28	39.57	39.49	39.12	39.32(1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-70	-13	105	0.93	45%	0.02	-19	1.79%	0	0.8	68	0
2	Jun_3_2004	40.05	38.39	39.15	39.63	39.65	39.43	38.84(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-40	-15	116	1.67	45%	0	-19.3	1.79%	0	0.4	61	0
3	Jun_2_2004	40.05	38.51	39.04	39.65	39.8	39.86	40(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	8	129	1.82	47%	0.05	-15.2	1.75%	0	1	61	0
4	Jun_1_2004	40.03	38.55	38.73	39.49	39.58	39.87	39.72(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	60	16	122	1.33	50%	0.02	-21.4	1.75%	0	0.8	63	0
5	May_28_2004	40.02	38.57	38.35	39.24	39.3	39.73	39.96(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	80	25	106	1.61	50%	0.02	-31.8	1.79%	0	0.9	68	0

6	May_27_2004	40.01	38.58	38.02	38.95	39.02	39.29	39.64(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	26	73	1.37	52%	0.02	-41.6	1.81%	0	0.6	50	0
7	May_26_2004	40	38.64	37.77	38.6	38.77	38.87	38.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	30	16	27	1.12	50%	-0.02	-51.1	1.82%	0	0.2	42	0
8	May_25_2004	40.01	38.74	37.66	38.34	38.44	38.75	39.2(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	60	19	-14	1.9	50%	0	-53.8	1.82%	0	0.2	38	0
9	May_24_2004	40.01	38.88	37.47	37.86	38.23	38.68	38.48(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	110	40	-59	8.78	49%	0	-55.9	1.8%	0	-0.2	38	0
10	May_21_2004	40.01	39.09	37.29	37.31	37.7	38.13	38.52(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	110	31	-119	1.6	49%	-0.05	-58.1	1.8%	0	-0.3	41	0

11	May_20_2004	40.03	39.29	37.32	36.95	37.03	37.79	37.88(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	150	22	-152	0.97	49%	-0.02	-59.1	1.8%	0	-0.6	39	0
12	May_19_2004	40.04	39.55	37.54	36.82	36.82	37.28	37.64(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	90	29	-162	3.23	49%	0	-58.6	1.8%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	May_18_2004	40.04	39.8	37.9	36.9	36.63	36.26	36.76(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-90	-12	-176	2.11	47%	-0.05	-58.6	1.78%	0	-1.3	31	0
14	May_17_2004	40.06	40.08	38.33	37.04	36.92	36.36	35.76(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-120	-31	-193	3.88	46%	-0.05	-62	1.74%	0	-1.8	22	0
15	May_14_2004	40.08	40.42	38.82	37.23	37.29	37.01	36.72(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-73	-50	-29	-203	1.79	48%	-0.07	-69.8	1.73%	0	-1.7	23	0

16	May_13_2004	40.11	40.74	39.21	37.73	37.27	37.48	37.24(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-74	0	-31	-201	2.28	48%	0	-71.6	1.73%	0	-1.7	23	0
17	May_12_2004	40.11	41.01	39.6	38.36	37.83	37.57	38(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-90	-18	-185	3.37	50%	0.02	-72.1	1.72%	0	-1.6	24	0
18	May_11_2004	40.1	41.26	39.93	39.1	38.47	37.06	37.48(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-100	-300	-71	-187	3.77	50%	0	-68.1	1.71%	0	-2.1	25	0
19	May_10_2004	40.1	41.59	40.44	39.84	39.55	38.09	36.72(-6.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-113	-280	-95	-166	5.87	48%	0	-63.5	1.69%	0	-2.9	22	0
20	May_7_2004	40.1	42	41.08	40.6	40.64	39.89	39.2(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-70	-130	-53	-122	3.41	54%	0.07	-68.9	1.49%	0	-2.2	32	0

21	May_6_2004	40.07	42.23	41.46	40.87	40.94	41.02	40.4(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	20	-20	-98	2.09	58%	0.1	-71.9	1.45%	0	-1.6	32	0
22	May_5_2004	40.03	42.4	41.74	41.02	41.03	41.4	41.72(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	60	26	-69	1.23	63%	0.13	-70.3	1.39%	0	-0.6	45	0
23	May_4_2004	39.98	42.53	41.83	40.92	40.9	40.86	41.16(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10	-5	-91	1.16	58%	0.13	-66.3	1.39%	0	-1.2	36	0
24	May_3_2004	39.93	42.69	41.96	41.19	41.05	40.65	40.52(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-36	-100	1.71	57%	0.13	-56.2	1.43%	0	-1.8	26	0
25	Apr_30_2004	39.88	42.89	42.14	41.66	41.53	40.95	40.56(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-60	-110	-46	-101	2.03	57%		-45.3	1.42%	0	-2.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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