Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 8, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $34.4800 (1.53%) ($34.2400 - $34.5600) on Mon. Sep. 8, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $34.4800(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.5(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.81(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.85(4.96%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2003	29.46	32.85	33.81	34.5	34.44		34.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-40	9	114	1.17	75%	0.17	90.5	1.52%	0	1.2	73	0
2	Sep_5_2003	29.41	32.63	33.66	34.24	34.47	34.25	33.96(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-20	-1	112	1.98	74%	0.31	81.1	1.51%	0	0.9	75	0
3	Sep_4_2003	29.32	32.43	33.58	34.04	34.27	34.64	34.4(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	100	15	134	1.24	75%	0.31	72.8	1.5%	0	1.3	83	0
4	Sep_3_2003	29.23	32.19	33.4	33.79	33.91	34.69	34.84(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	170	48	154	1.68	75%	0.34	65.7	1.5%	0	1.7	88	0
5	Sep_2_2003	29.13	31.93	33.17	33.46	33.45	33.91	34.8(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	78	100	50	160	2.39	75%	0.48	57	1.5%	0	1.9	89	0

6	Aug_29_2003	28.99	31.67	32.89	33.05	33.07	33.13	33.2(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	10	10	149	1.16	72%	0.28	48.7	1.38%	0	1.1	86	0
7	Aug_28_2003	28.91	31.51	32.73	33.01	32.93	32.99	32.96(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	10	-4	165	1.05	72%	0.24	46	1.38%	0	1.1	87	0
8	Aug_27_2003	28.84	31.38	32.54	33.05	33	33	33.16(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	-0	8	191	1	72%	0.24	47.6	1.38%	0	1.3	89	0
9	Aug_26_2003	28.77	31.23	32.31	32.94	33.05	32.87	33.2(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	-30	1	199	1.03	72%	0.24	46.7	1.39%	0	1.6	91	0
10	Aug_25_2003	28.7	31.1	32.06	32.83	32.98	33.01	32.72(-0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	52	20	-1	209	0.77	71%	0.24	49.5	1.39%	0	1.4	90	0

11	Aug_22_2003	28.63	31.01	31.83	32.7	32.91	33.23	33(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	90	30	226	2.3	72%	0.25	53.4	1.38%	0	1.8	86	0
12	Aug_21_2003	28.56	30.9	31.52	32.41	32.58	32.96	33.16(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	100	43	210	3.15	72%	0.25	53.2	1.39%	0	2.2	84	0
13	Aug_20_2003	28.49	30.76	31.19	31.94	32.18	32.59	32.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	179	110	165	220	2.84	69%	0.25	49.8	1.39%	0	2.2	74	0
14	Aug_19_2003	28.42	30.65	30.89	31.58	25.93	32.2	32.64(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	66	1160	42	137	2.06	69%	0.18	43.1	1.41%	0	2.6	76	0
15	Aug_18_2003	28.37	30.53	30.57	31.17	25.54	31.77	32.08(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	405	1170	455	255	2.32	67%	0.11	26.1	1.4%	0	2.5	60	0

16	Aug_15_2003	28.34	30.43	30.34	30.83	25.19	19.67	31.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	-2080	35	45	0.75	66%	0.14	0.6	1.39%	0	2.1	50	0
17	Aug_14_2003	28.3	30.37	30.18	30.5	24.9	19.3	30.84(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-452	-2130	-529	-220	0	64%	0.07	-27.7	1.37%	0	1	44	0
18	Aug_13_2003	28.28	30.37	30.12	30.32	30.42	30.72	30.84(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	80	27	-15	2.6	64%	0.11	-56.8	1.37%	0	1.1	52	0
19	Aug_12_2003	28.25	30.33	30.04	30.08	30.12	30.49	30.56(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	90	29	-41	0.84	64%	0.11	-76.2	1.37%	0	0.5	48	0
20	Aug_11_2003	28.22	30.37	30.05	29.87	29.86	30.13	30.4(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	60	23	-56	0.55	64%	0.07	-85.6	1.37%	0	0.1	50	0

21	Aug_8_2003	28.2	30.43	30.12	29.77	29.86	29.75	29.88(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	4	-61	0.48	60%	0.07	-91	1.36%	0	-0.9	47	0
22	Aug_7_2003	28.18	30.5	30.24	29.8	29.67	29.75	29.92(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-30	-7	-56	1.14	60%	0.07	-82.6	1.38%	0	-0.9	43	0
23	Aug_6_2003	28.16	30.59	30.3	29.9	29.77	29.6	29.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.55	62%	0.07	-67.4	1.38%	0	-1.3	48	0
24	Aug_5_2003	28.14	30.72	30.41	30	30.01	29.74	29.52(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-60	-23	-44	0.93	62%	0.04	-46.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	38	0
25	Aug_4_2003	28.13	30.86	30.51	30.26	30.15	29.94	29.88(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-60	-31	-42	0.57	62%		-19.1	1.38%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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