Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $34.8400 (0.11%) ($34.7600 - $35.0800) on Wed. Sep. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $34.8400(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.79(3.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.4(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.19(8.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.72% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2003	29.23	32.19	33.4	33.79	33.91	34.69	34.84(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	170	48	154	1.68	75%	0.34	65.7	1.5%	0	1.7	88	NAN
2	Sep_2_2003	29.13	31.93	33.17	33.46	33.45	33.91	34.8(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	78	100	50	160	2.39	75%	0.48	57	1.5%	0	1.9	89	NAN
3	Aug_29_2003	28.99	31.67	32.89	33.05	33.07	33.13	33.2(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	10	10	149	1.16	72%	0.28	48.7	1.38%	0	1.1	86	NAN
4	Aug_28_2003	28.91	31.51	32.73	33.01	32.93	32.99	32.96(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	10	-4	165	1.05	72%	0.24	46	1.38%	0	1.1	87	NAN
5	Aug_27_2003	28.84	31.38	32.54	33.05	33	33	33.16(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	-0	8	191	1	72%	0.24	47.6	1.38%	0	1.3	89	NAN

6	Aug_26_2003	28.77	31.23	32.31	32.94	33.05	32.87	33.2(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	-30	1	199	1.03	72%	0.24	46.7	1.39%	0	1.6	91	NAN
7	Aug_25_2003	28.7	31.1	32.06	32.83	32.98	33.01	32.72(-0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	52	20	-1	209	0.77	71%	0.24	49.5	1.39%	0	1.4	90	NAN
8	Aug_22_2003	28.63	31.01	31.83	32.7	32.91	33.23	33(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	90	30	226	2.3	72%	0.25	53.4	1.38%	0	1.8	86	NAN
9	Aug_21_2003	28.56	30.9	31.52	32.41	32.58	32.96	33.16(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	100	43	210	3.15	72%	0.25	53.2	1.39%	0	2.2	84	NAN
10	Aug_20_2003	28.49	30.76	31.19	31.94	32.18	32.59	32.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	179	110	165	220	2.84	69%	0.25	49.8	1.39%	0	2.2	74	NAN

11	Aug_19_2003	28.42	30.65	30.89	31.58	25.93	32.2	32.64(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	66	1160	42	137	2.06	69%	0.18	43.1	1.41%	0	2.6	76	NAN
12	Aug_18_2003	28.37	30.53	30.57	31.17	25.54	31.77	32.08(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	405	1170	455	255	2.32	67%	0.11	26.1	1.4%	0	2.5	60	NAN
13	Aug_15_2003	28.34	30.43	30.34	30.83	25.19	19.67	31.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	-2080	35	45	0.75	66%	0.14	0.6	1.39%	0	2.1	50	NAN
14	Aug_14_2003	28.3	30.37	30.18	30.5	24.9	19.3	30.84(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-452	-2130	-529	-220	0	64%	0.07	-27.7	1.37%	0	1	44	NAN
15	Aug_13_2003	28.28	30.37	30.12	30.32	30.42	30.72	30.84(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	80	27	-15	2.6	64%	0.11	-56.8	1.37%	0	1.1	52	NAN

16	Aug_12_2003	28.25	30.33	30.04	30.08	30.12	30.49	30.56(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	90	29	-41	0.84	64%	0.11	-76.2	1.37%	0	0.5	48	NAN
17	Aug_11_2003	28.22	30.37	30.05	29.87	29.86	30.13	30.4(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	60	23	-56	0.55	64%	0.07	-85.6	1.37%	0	0.1	50	NAN
18	Aug_8_2003	28.2	30.43	30.12	29.77	29.86	29.75	29.88(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	4	-61	0.48	60%	0.07	-91	1.36%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
19	Aug_7_2003	28.18	30.5	30.24	29.8	29.67	29.75	29.92(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-30	-7	-56	1.14	60%	0.07	-82.6	1.38%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
20	Aug_6_2003	28.16	30.59	30.3	29.9	29.77	29.6	29.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.55	62%	0.07	-67.4	1.38%	0	-1.3	48	NAN

21	Aug_5_2003	28.14	30.72	30.41	30	30.01	29.74	29.52(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-60	-23	-44	0.93	62%	0.04	-46.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
22	Aug_4_2003	28.13	30.86	30.51	30.26	30.15	29.94	29.88(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-60	-31	-42	0.57	62%	0.07	-19.1	1.38%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
23	Aug_1_2003	28.11	30.99	30.55	30.52	30.44	30.27	30.04(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-50	-20	-35	0.53	64%	0.11	10.1	1.4%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
24	Jul_31_2003	28.08	31.04	30.61	30.74	30.74	30.37	30.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-80	-13	-26	1.05	64%	0.07	31.5	1.4%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
25	Jul_30_2003	28.06	31.09	30.58	30.77	30.86	30.61	30.16(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-50	-24	-51	0.47	65%		50.4	1.4%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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