Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $33.0000 (-0.48%) ($32.9200 - $33.5600) on Fri. Aug. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $33.0000(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.7(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.83(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.01(6.42%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.58% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2003	28.63	31.01	31.83	32.7	32.91	33.23	33(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	90	30	226	2.3	72%	0.25	53.4	1.38%	0	1.8	86	NAN
2	Aug_21_2003	28.56	30.9	31.52	32.41	32.58	32.96	33.16(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	100	43	210	3.15	72%	0.25	53.2	1.39%	0	2.2	84	NAN
3	Aug_20_2003	28.49	30.76	31.19	31.94	32.18	32.59	32.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	179	110	165	220	2.84	69%	0.25	49.8	1.39%	0	2.2	74	NAN
4	Aug_19_2003	28.42	30.65	30.89	31.58	25.93	32.2	32.64(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	66	1160	42	137	2.06	69%	0.18	43.1	1.41%	0	2.6	76	NAN
5	Aug_18_2003	28.37	30.53	30.57	31.17	25.54	31.77	32.08(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	405	1170	455	255	2.32	67%	0.11	26.1	1.4%	0	2.5	60	NAN

6	Aug_15_2003	28.34	30.43	30.34	30.83	25.19	19.67	31.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	-2080	35	45	0.75	66%	0.14	0.6	1.39%	0	2.1	50	NAN
7	Aug_14_2003	28.3	30.37	30.18	30.5	24.9	19.3	30.84(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-452	-2130	-529	-220	0	64%	0.07	-27.7	1.37%	0	1	44	NAN
8	Aug_13_2003	28.28	30.37	30.12	30.32	30.42	30.72	30.84(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	80	27	-15	2.6	64%	0.11	-56.8	1.37%	0	1.1	52	NAN
9	Aug_12_2003	28.25	30.33	30.04	30.08	30.12	30.49	30.56(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	90	29	-41	0.84	64%	0.11	-76.2	1.37%	0	0.5	48	NAN
10	Aug_11_2003	28.22	30.37	30.05	29.87	29.86	30.13	30.4(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	60	23	-56	0.55	64%	0.07	-85.6	1.37%	0	0.1	50	NAN

11	Aug_8_2003	28.2	30.43	30.12	29.77	29.86	29.75	29.88(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	4	-61	0.48	60%	0.07	-91	1.36%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
12	Aug_7_2003	28.18	30.5	30.24	29.8	29.67	29.75	29.92(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-30	-7	-56	1.14	60%	0.07	-82.6	1.38%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
13	Aug_6_2003	28.16	30.59	30.3	29.9	29.77	29.6	29.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.55	62%	0.07	-67.4	1.38%	0	-1.3	48	NAN
14	Aug_5_2003	28.14	30.72	30.41	30	30.01	29.74	29.52(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-60	-23	-44	0.93	62%	0.04	-46.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
15	Aug_4_2003	28.13	30.86	30.51	30.26	30.15	29.94	29.88(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-60	-31	-42	0.57	62%	0.07	-19.1	1.38%	0	-1.2	35	NAN

16	Aug_1_2003	28.11	30.99	30.55	30.52	30.44	30.27	30.04(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-50	-20	-35	0.53	64%	0.11	10.1	1.4%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
17	Jul_31_2003	28.08	31.04	30.61	30.74	30.74	30.37	30.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-80	-13	-26	1.05	64%	0.07	31.5	1.4%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
18	Jul_30_2003	28.06	31.04	30.58	30.77	30.86	30.61	30.16(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-50	-24	-51	0.47	65%	0.11	50.4	1.4%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
19	Jul_29_2003	28.03	31.09	30.65	30.86	30.97	30.61	30.8(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	40	6	-52	0.48	69%	0.11	59.2	1.38%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
20	Jul_28_2003	28	31.01	30.71	30.78	30.88	31.11	31.2(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	60	24	-63	0.65	69%	0.14	46.9	1.37%	0	0.2	36	NAN

21	Jul_25_2003	27.96	30.91	30.75	30.59	30.65	30.83	31.12(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	50	16	-92	4.12	66%	0.14	35	1.37%	0	0.2	35	NAN
22	Jul_24_2003	27.92	30.82	30.76	30.48	30.48	30.65	30.56(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	40	13	-99	1.09	65%	0.11	29.3	1.37%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
23	Jul_23_2003	27.89	30.73	30.88	30.38	30.42	30.47	30.64(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	20	6	-106	1.08	65%	0.14	22.2	1.37%	0	-0.1	46	NAN
24	Jul_22_2003	27.85	30.66	31.04	30.42	30.32	30.31	30.4(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10	-17	-83	1.8	65%	0.11	21.1	1.37%	0	-0.2	57	NAN
25	Jul_21_2003	27.82	30.62	31.23	30.64	30.51	30.37	30.24(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-40	-20	-27	0.75	65%		28.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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