Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 11, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $30.4000 (1.74%) ($30.3200 - $30.6000) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $30.4000(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.34(-13.36%)
5 Day Moving Average   $29.87(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.05(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.37(0.1%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2003	28.22	30.37	30.05	29.87	29.86	30.13	30.4(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	60	23	-56	0.55	64%	0.07	-85.6	1.37%	0	0.1	50	NAN
2	Aug_8_2003	28.2	30.43	30.12	29.77	29.86	29.75	29.88(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	4	-61	0.48	60%	0.07	-91	1.36%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
3	Aug_7_2003	28.18	30.5	30.24	29.8	29.67	29.75	29.92(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-30	-7	-56	1.14	60%	0.07	-82.6	1.38%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
4	Aug_6_2003	28.16	30.59	30.3	29.9	29.77	29.6	29.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.55	62%	0.07	-67.4	1.38%	0	-1.3	48	NAN
5	Aug_5_2003	28.14	30.72	30.41	30	30.01	29.74	29.52(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-60	-23	-44	0.93	62%	0.04	-46.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	38	NAN

6	Aug_4_2003	28.13	30.86	30.51	30.26	30.15	29.94	29.88(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-60	-31	-42	0.57	62%	0.07	-19.1	1.38%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
7	Aug_1_2003	28.11	30.99	30.55	30.52	30.44	30.27	30.04(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-50	-20	-35	0.53	64%	0.11	10.1	1.4%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
8	Jul_31_2003	28.08	31.04	30.61	30.74	30.74	30.37	30.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-80	-13	-26	1.05	64%	0.07	31.5	1.4%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
9	Jul_30_2003	28.06	31.04	30.58	30.77	30.86	30.61	30.16(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-50	-24	-51	0.47	65%	0.11	50.4	1.4%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
10	Jul_29_2003	28.03	31.09	30.65	30.86	30.97	30.61	30.8(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	40	6	-52	0.48	69%	0.11	59.2	1.38%	0	-0.4	35	NAN

11	Jul_28_2003	28	31.01	30.71	30.78	30.88	31.11	31.2(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	60	24	-63	0.65	69%	0.14	46.9	1.37%	0	0.2	36	NAN
12	Jul_25_2003	27.96	30.91	30.75	30.59	30.65	30.83	31.12(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	50	16	-92	4.12	66%	0.14	35	1.37%	0	0.2	35	NAN
13	Jul_24_2003	27.92	30.82	30.76	30.48	30.48	30.65	30.56(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	40	13	-99	1.09	65%	0.11	29.3	1.37%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
14	Jul_23_2003	27.89	30.73	30.88	30.38	30.42	30.47	30.64(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	20	6	-106	1.08	65%	0.14	22.2	1.37%	0	-0.1	46	NAN
15	Jul_22_2003	27.85	30.66	31.04	30.42	30.32	30.31	30.4(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10	-17	-83	1.8	65%	0.11	21.1	1.37%	0	-0.2	57	NAN

16	Jul_21_2003	27.82	30.62	31.23	30.64	30.51	30.37	30.24(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-40	-20	-27	0.75	65%	0.11	28.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	61	NAN
17	Jul_18_2003	27.79	30.58	31.45	30.93	30.86	30.32	30.56(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-130	-27	37	0.75	65%	0.14	36	1.36%	0	-0	64	NAN
18	Jul_17_2003	27.75	30.51	31.51	31.09	31.2	30.65	30.04(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-110	-50	68	1.3	63%	0.11	39.6	1.36%	0	-0.4	62	NAN
19	Jul_16_2003	27.72	30.48	31.66	31.45	31.48	31.39	30.84(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-32	148	1.41	68%	0.18	48.2	1.31%	0	0.3	70	NAN
20	Jul_15_2003	27.67	30.4	31.59	31.74	31.65	31.75	31.52(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	49	10	-5	209	0.83	72%	0.18	55.9	1.27%	0	0.8	73	NAN

21	Jul_14_2003	27.62	30.27	31.37	31.92	31.8	31.56	31.68(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	49	-60	-10	224	2.02	72%	0.22	61.8	1.27%	0	1	67	NAN
22	Jul_11_2003	27.56	30.12	31.12	32.07	31.92	31.55	31.36(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	38	-100	-27	234	1.57	69%	0.18	67.9	1.27%	0	0.9	67	NAN
23	Jul_10_2003	27.51	30	30.9	32	32.37	32.05	31.84(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	-30	1	243	1.09	72%	0.22	71.1	1.28%	0	1.4	72	NAN
24	Jul_9_2003	27.45	29.85	30.59	31.9	32.15	32.29	32.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	17	241	1.04	75%	0.26	77.2	1.26%	0	1.9	73	NAN
25	Jul_8_2003	27.38	29.66	30.24	31.4	31.82	32.69	32.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	230	77	222	1.65	75%		78	1.26%	0	2.4	75	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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