Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 5, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $29.5200 (-1.2%) ($29.4000 - $29.8800) on Tue. Aug. 5, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $29.5200(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.56(-13.41%)
Resistance Level   $30.72
5 Day Moving Average   $30(-1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.41(-2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.72(-3.91%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2003	28.14	30.72	30.41	30	30.01	29.74	29.52(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-60	-23	-44	0.93	62%	0.04	-46.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
2	Aug_4_2003	28.13	30.86	30.51	30.26	30.15	29.94	29.88(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-60	-31	-42	0.57	62%	0.07	-19.1	1.38%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
3	Aug_1_2003	28.11	30.99	30.55	30.52	30.44	30.27	30.04(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-50	-20	-35	0.53	64%	0.11	10.1	1.4%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
4	Jul_31_2003	28.08	31.04	30.61	30.74	30.74	30.37	30.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-80	-13	-26	1.05	64%	0.07	31.5	1.4%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
5	Jul_30_2003	28.06	31.04	30.58	30.77	30.86	30.61	30.16(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-50	-24	-51	0.47	65%	0.11	50.4	1.4%	0	-1.3	35	NAN

6	Jul_29_2003	28.03	31.09	30.65	30.86	30.97	30.61	30.8(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	40	6	-52	0.48	69%	0.11	59.2	1.38%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
7	Jul_28_2003	28	31.01	30.71	30.78	30.88	31.11	31.2(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	60	24	-63	0.65	69%	0.14	46.9	1.37%	0	0.2	36	NAN
8	Jul_25_2003	27.96	30.91	30.75	30.59	30.65	30.83	31.12(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	50	16	-92	4.12	66%	0.14	35	1.37%	0	0.2	35	NAN
9	Jul_24_2003	27.92	30.82	30.76	30.48	30.48	30.65	30.56(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	40	13	-99	1.09	65%	0.11	29.3	1.37%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
10	Jul_23_2003	27.89	30.73	30.88	30.38	30.42	30.47	30.64(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	20	6	-106	1.08	65%	0.14	22.2	1.37%	0	-0.1	46	NAN

11	Jul_22_2003	27.85	30.66	31.04	30.42	30.32	30.31	30.4(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10	-17	-83	1.8	65%	0.11	21.1	1.37%	0	-0.2	57	NAN
12	Jul_21_2003	27.82	30.62	31.23	30.64	30.51	30.37	30.24(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-40	-20	-27	0.75	65%	0.11	28.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	61	NAN
13	Jul_18_2003	27.79	30.58	31.45	30.93	30.86	30.32	30.56(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-130	-27	37	0.75	65%	0.14	36	1.36%	0	-0	64	NAN
14	Jul_17_2003	27.75	30.51	31.51	31.09	31.2	30.65	30.04(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-110	-50	68	1.3	63%	0.11	39.6	1.36%	0	-0.4	62	NAN
15	Jul_16_2003	27.72	30.48	31.66	31.45	31.48	31.39	30.84(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-32	148	1.41	68%	0.18	48.2	1.31%	0	0.3	70	NAN

16	Jul_15_2003	27.67	30.4	31.59	31.74	31.65	31.75	31.52(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	49	10	-5	209	0.83	72%	0.18	55.9	1.27%	0	0.8	73	NAN
17	Jul_14_2003	27.62	30.27	31.37	31.92	31.8	31.56	31.68(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	49	-60	-10	224	2.02	72%	0.22	61.8	1.27%	0	1	67	NAN
18	Jul_11_2003	27.56	30.12	31.12	32.07	31.92	31.55	31.36(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	38	-100	-27	234	1.57	69%	0.18	67.9	1.27%	0	0.9	67	NAN
19	Jul_10_2003	27.51	30	30.9	32	32.37	32.05	31.84(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	-30	1	243	1.09	72%	0.22	71.1	1.28%	0	1.4	72	NAN
20	Jul_9_2003	27.45	29.85	30.59	31.9	32.15	32.29	32.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	17	241	1.04	75%	0.26	77.2	1.26%	0	1.9	73	NAN

21	Jul_8_2003	27.38	29.66	30.24	31.4	31.82	32.69	32.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	230	77	222	1.65	75%	0.29	78	1.26%	0	2.4	75	NAN
22	Jul_7_2003	27.3	29.44	29.93	30.74	31.14	32.02	32.44(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	121	240	101	180	3.59	75%	0.29	75.9	1.29%	0	3	77	NAN
23	Jul_3_2003	27.22	29.22	29.59	30.04	30.14	30.95	31(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	80	200	65	123	5.33	71%	0.22	81.2	1.16%	0	2.3	72	NAN
24	Jul_2_2003	27.16	29.07	29.38	29.64	29.67	30.26	31.32(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	85	140	83	92	4.85	73%	0.22	82.5	1.19%	0	3.3	71	NAN
25	Jul_1_2003	27.1	28.9	29.16	29.11	29.15	29.33	29.84(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	50	29	26	1.68	68%		85.6	1.07%	0	1.7	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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