Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $30.0400 (-2.59%) ($30.0000 - $30.4400) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $30.0400(-2.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(70%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $30.51
5 Day Moving Average   $31.09(-3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.51(-4.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.51(-1.54%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.29% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2003	27.75	30.51	31.51	31.09	31.2	30.65	30.04(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-110	-50	68	1.3	63%	0.11	39.6	1.36%	0	-0.4	62	0
2	Jul_16_2003	27.72	30.48	31.66	31.45	31.48	31.39	30.84(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-32	148	1.41	68%	0.18	48.2	1.31%	0	0.3	70	0
3	Jul_15_2003	27.67	30.4	31.59	31.74	31.65	31.75	31.52(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	49	10	-5	209	0.83	72%	0.18	55.9	1.27%	0	0.8	73	0
4	Jul_14_2003	27.62	30.27	31.37	31.92	31.8	31.56	31.68(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	49	-60	-10	224	2.02	72%	0.22	61.8	1.27%	0	1	67	0
5	Jul_11_2003	27.56	30.12	31.12	32.07	31.92	31.55	31.36(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	38	-100	-27	234	1.57	69%	0.18	67.9	1.27%	0	0.9	67	0

6	Jul_10_2003	27.51	30	30.9	32	32.37	32.05	31.84(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	-30	1	243	1.09	72%	0.22	71.1	1.28%	0	1.4	72	0
7	Jul_9_2003	27.45	29.85	30.59	31.9	32.15	32.29	32.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	17	241	1.04	75%	0.26	77.2	1.26%	0	1.9	73	0
8	Jul_8_2003	27.38	29.66	30.24	31.4	31.82	32.69	32.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	230	77	222	1.65	75%	0.29	78	1.26%	0	2.4	75	0
9	Jul_7_2003	27.3	29.44	29.93	30.74	31.14	32.02	32.44(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	121	240	101	180	3.59	75%	0.29	75.9	1.29%	0	3	77	0
10	Jul_3_2003	27.22	29.22	29.59	30.04	30.14	30.95	31(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	80	200	65	123	5.33	71%	0.22	81.2	1.16%	0	2.3	72	0

11	Jul_2_2003	27.16	29.07	29.38	29.64	29.67	30.26	31.32(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	85	140	83	92	4.85	73%	0.22	82.5	1.19%	0	3.3	71	0
12	Jul_1_2003	27.1	28.9	29.16	29.11	29.15	29.33	29.84(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	50	29	26	1.68	68%	0.15	85.6	1.07%	0	1.7	60	0
13	Jun_30_2003	27.06	28.78	29.08	28.92	28.99	29.08	29.08(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	30	1	4	0.43	65%	0.15	76.4	1.03%	0	0.5	59	0
14	Jun_27_2003	27.02	28.7	29.06	29	28.95	28.98	28.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	0	-4	21	1.13	65%	0.11	73.1	1.04%	0	0.4	62	0
15	Jun_26_2003	26.99	28.62	29.06	29.06	29.06	28.91	29(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-4	36	0.69	65%	0.11	69.4	1.05%	0	0.5	63	0

16	Jun_25_2003	26.96	28.52	29.04	29.07	29.13	28.93	28.68(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-40	-23	47	1.06	63%	0.11	67.9	1.05%	0	0.2	62	0
17	Jun_24_2003	26.93	28.44	29.08	29.2	29.18	29.21	28.88(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-11	88	1.2	63%	0.11	70.9	1.05%	0	0.5	68	0
18	Jun_23_2003	26.9	28.36	29.06	29.25	29.26	29.33	29.48(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	20	20	132	0.81	69%	0.19	72.6	1.02%	0	1.3	85	0
19	Jun_20_2003	26.85	28.24	28.94	29.12	29.16	29.16	29.24(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	0	8	131	0.84	69%	0.15	70.1	1.03%	0	1.2	84	0
20	Jun_19_2003	26.81	28.13	28.85	29.02	29.07	29.19	29.08(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	4	143	0.35	69%	0.15	65.6	1.03%	0	1.1	85	0

21	Jun_18_2003	26.77	28	28.76	29.01	28.99	29.17	29.32(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	40	17	172	0.76	69%	0.19	57.6	1.03%	0	1.5	91	0
22	Jun_17_2003	26.72	27.87	28.62	28.95	28.9	28.95	29.12(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	10	16	188	0.78	69%	0.19	54.7	1.04%	0	1.5	91	0
23	Jun_16_2003	26.67	27.76	28.46	28.84	28.84	28.81	28.84(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	-10	6	180	0.92	69%	0.15	54.6	1.05%	0	1.3	81	0
24	Jun_13_2003	26.63	27.67	28.32	28.74	28.79	28.86	28.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	20	10	177	0.67	69%	0.15	54.6	1.06%	0	1.4	78	0
25	Jun_12_2003	26.59	27.59	28.17	28.64	28.67	28.87	29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	50	22	180	1.03	69%		57.1	1.06%	0	1.9	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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