Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 10, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $31.8400 (-1.49%) ($31.6400 - $32.0000) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $31.8400(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(70%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.9(3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30(6.13%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   27.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.47% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2003	27.51	30	30.9	32	32.37	32.05	31.84(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	-30	1	243	1.09	72%	0.22	71.1	1.28%	0	1.4	72	NAN
2	Jul_9_2003	27.45	29.85	30.59	31.9	32.15	32.29	32.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	17	241	1.04	75%	0.26	77.2	1.26%	0	1.9	73	NAN
3	Jul_8_2003	27.38	29.66	30.24	31.4	31.82	32.69	32.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	230	77	222	1.65	75%	0.29	78	1.26%	0	2.4	75	NAN
4	Jul_7_2003	27.3	29.44	29.93	30.74	31.14	32.02	32.44(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	121	240	101	180	3.59	75%	0.29	75.9	1.29%	0	3	77	NAN
5	Jul_3_2003	27.22	29.22	29.59	30.04	30.14	30.95	31(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	80	200	65	123	5.33	71%	0.22	81.2	1.16%	0	2.3	72	NAN

6	Jul_2_2003	27.16	29.07	29.38	29.64	29.67	30.26	31.32(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	85	140	83	92	4.85	73%	0.22	82.5	1.19%	0	3.3	71	NAN
7	Jul_1_2003	27.1	28.9	29.16	29.11	29.15	29.33	29.84(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	50	29	26	1.68	68%	0.15	85.6	1.07%	0	1.7	60	NAN
8	Jun_30_2003	27.06	28.78	29.08	28.92	28.99	29.08	29.08(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	30	1	4	0.43	65%	0.15	76.4	1.03%	0	0.5	59	NAN
9	Jun_27_2003	27.02	28.7	29.06	29	28.95	28.98	28.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	0	-4	21	1.13	65%	0.11	73.1	1.04%	0	0.4	62	NAN
10	Jun_26_2003	26.99	28.62	29.06	29.06	29.06	28.91	29(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-4	36	0.69	65%	0.11	69.4	1.05%	0	0.5	63	NAN

11	Jun_25_2003	26.96	28.52	29.04	29.07	29.13	28.93	28.68(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-40	-23	47	1.06	63%	0.11	67.9	1.05%	0	0.2	62	NAN
12	Jun_24_2003	26.93	28.44	29.08	29.2	29.18	29.21	28.88(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-11	88	1.2	63%	0.11	70.9	1.05%	0	0.5	68	NAN
13	Jun_23_2003	26.9	28.36	29.06	29.25	29.26	29.33	29.48(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	20	20	132	0.81	69%	0.19	72.6	1.02%	0	1.3	85	NAN
14	Jun_20_2003	26.85	28.24	28.94	29.12	29.16	29.16	29.24(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	0	8	131	0.84	69%	0.15	70.1	1.03%	0	1.2	84	NAN
15	Jun_19_2003	26.81	28.13	28.85	29.02	29.07	29.19	29.08(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	4	143	0.35	69%	0.15	65.6	1.03%	0	1.1	85	NAN

16	Jun_18_2003	26.77	28	28.76	29.01	28.99	29.17	29.32(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	40	17	172	0.76	69%	0.19	57.6	1.03%	0	1.5	91	NAN
17	Jun_17_2003	26.72	27.87	28.62	28.95	28.9	28.95	29.12(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	10	16	188	0.78	69%	0.19	54.7	1.04%	0	1.5	91	NAN
18	Jun_16_2003	26.67	27.76	28.46	28.84	28.84	28.81	28.84(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	-10	6	180	0.92	69%	0.15	54.6	1.05%	0	1.3	81	NAN
19	Jun_13_2003	26.63	27.67	28.32	28.74	28.79	28.86	28.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	20	10	177	0.67	69%	0.15	54.6	1.06%	0	1.4	78	NAN
20	Jun_12_2003	26.59	27.59	28.17	28.64	28.67	28.87	29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	50	22	180	1.03	69%	0.19	57.1	1.06%	0	1.9	86	NAN

21	Jun_11_2003	26.54	27.5	27.97	28.46	28.55	28.73	29.04(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	68	50	32	177	0.59	69%	0.19	57.4	1.07%	0	2.3	89	NAN
22	Jun_10_2003	26.49	27.4	27.75	28.24	28.36	28.48	28.56(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	40	26	158	1.32	66%	0.15	60.8	1.06%	0	2.1	80	NAN
23	Jun_9_2003	26.45	27.32	27.6	28.02	28.15	28.37	28.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	176	70	170	193	1.15	66%	0.15	62	1.06%	0	2	66	NAN
24	Jun_6_2003	26.41	27.25	27.48	27.84	22.78	28.24	28.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	1130	33	119	1.07	66%	0.15	66.5	1.08%	0	2.3	66	NAN
25	Jun_5_2003	26.37	27.17	27.34	27.62	22.61	27.94	28.12(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	452	1110	509	281	0.99	66%		73.6	1.09%	0	2.5	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.