Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 7, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $32.4400 (4.65%) ($32.0000 - $35.7200) on Mon. Jul. 7, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $32.4400(4.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(70%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.74(5.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.93(8.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.44(10.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2003	27.3	29.44	29.93	30.74	31.14	32.02	32.44(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	121	240	101	180	3.59	75%	0.29	75.9	1.29%	0	3	77	0
2	Jul_3_2003	27.22	29.22	29.59	30.04	30.14	30.95	31(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	80	200	65	123	5.33	71%	0.22	81.2	1.16%	0	2.3	72	0
3	Jul_2_2003	27.16	29.07	29.38	29.64	29.67	30.26	31.32(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	85	140	83	92	4.85	73%	0.22	82.5	1.19%	0	3.3	71	0
4	Jul_1_2003	27.1	28.9	29.16	29.11	29.15	29.33	29.84(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	50	29	26	1.68	68%	0.15	85.6	1.07%	0	1.7	60	0
5	Jun_30_2003	27.06	28.78	29.08	28.92	28.99	29.08	29.08(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	30	1	4	0.43	65%	0.15	76.4	1.03%	0	0.5	59	0

6	Jun_27_2003	27.02	28.7	29.06	29	28.95	28.98	28.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	0	-4	21	1.13	65%	0.11	73.1	1.04%	0	0.4	62	0
7	Jun_26_2003	26.99	28.62	29.06	29.06	29.06	28.91	29(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-4	36	0.69	65%	0.11	69.4	1.05%	0	0.5	63	0
8	Jun_25_2003	26.96	28.52	29.04	29.07	29.13	28.93	28.68(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-40	-23	47	1.06	63%	0.11	67.9	1.05%	0	0.2	62	0
9	Jun_24_2003	26.93	28.44	29.08	29.2	29.18	29.21	28.88(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-11	88	1.2	63%	0.11	70.9	1.05%	0	0.5	68	0
10	Jun_23_2003	26.9	28.36	29.06	29.25	29.26	29.33	29.48(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	20	20	132	0.81	69%	0.19	72.6	1.02%	0	1.3	85	0

11	Jun_20_2003	26.85	28.24	28.94	29.12	29.16	29.16	29.24(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	0	8	131	0.84	69%	0.15	70.1	1.03%	0	1.2	84	0
12	Jun_19_2003	26.81	28.13	28.85	29.02	29.07	29.19	29.08(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	4	143	0.35	69%	0.15	65.6	1.03%	0	1.1	85	0
13	Jun_18_2003	26.77	28	28.76	29.01	28.99	29.17	29.32(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	40	17	172	0.76	69%	0.19	57.6	1.03%	0	1.5	91	0
14	Jun_17_2003	26.72	27.87	28.62	28.95	28.9	28.95	29.12(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	10	16	188	0.78	69%	0.19	54.7	1.04%	0	1.5	91	0
15	Jun_16_2003	26.67	27.76	28.46	28.84	28.84	28.81	28.84(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	-10	6	180	0.92	69%	0.15	54.6	1.05%	0	1.3	81	0

16	Jun_13_2003	26.63	27.67	28.32	28.74	28.79	28.86	28.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	20	10	177	0.67	69%	0.15	54.6	1.06%	0	1.4	78	0
17	Jun_12_2003	26.59	27.59	28.17	28.64	28.67	28.87	29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	50	22	180	1.03	69%	0.19	57.1	1.06%	0	1.9	86	0
18	Jun_11_2003	26.54	27.5	27.97	28.46	28.55	28.73	29.04(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	68	50	32	177	0.59	69%	0.19	57.4	1.07%	0	2.3	89	0
19	Jun_10_2003	26.49	27.4	27.75	28.24	28.36	28.48	28.56(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	40	26	158	1.32	66%	0.15	60.8	1.06%	0	2.1	80	0
20	Jun_9_2003	26.45	27.32	27.6	28.02	28.15	28.37	28.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	176	70	170	193	1.15	66%	0.15	62	1.06%	0	2	66	0

21	Jun_6_2003	26.41	27.25	27.48	27.84	22.78	28.24	28.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	1130	33	119	1.07	66%	0.15	66.5	1.08%	0	2.3	66	0
22	Jun_5_2003	26.37	27.17	27.34	27.62	22.61	27.94	28.12(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	452	1110	509	281	0.99	66%	0.15	73.6	1.09%	0	2.5	63	0
23	Jun_4_2003	26.33	27.12	27.17	27.39	22.39	17.32	27.92(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	27	-2130	21	44	0.87	66%	0.15	95.5	1.09%	0	2.7	56	0
24	Jun_3_2003	26.29	27.07	27.04	27.18	22.22	17.28	27.44(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-516	-2100	-607	-241	0	63%	0.08	130.3	1.08%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Jun_2_2003	26.27	27.02	27.01	27.12	27.24	27.46	27.44(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	70	22	5	1.11	63%		140.6	1.09%	0	1.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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