Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 16, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $28.8400 (0.28%) ($28.6000 - $28.9600) on Mon. Jun. 16, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $28.8400(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(70%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.84(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.46(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.76(3.89%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2003	26.67	27.76	28.46	28.84	28.84	28.81	28.84(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	-10	6	180	0.92	69%	0.15	54.6	1.05%	0	1.3	81	NAN
2	Jun_13_2003	26.63	27.67	28.32	28.74	28.79	28.86	28.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	20	10	177	0.67	69%	0.15	54.6	1.06%	0	1.4	78	NAN
3	Jun_12_2003	26.59	27.59	28.17	28.64	28.67	28.87	29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	50	22	180	1.03	69%	0.19	57.1	1.06%	0	1.9	86	NAN
4	Jun_11_2003	26.54	27.5	27.97	28.46	28.55	28.73	29.04(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	68	50	32	177	0.59	69%	0.19	57.4	1.07%	0	2.3	89	NAN
5	Jun_10_2003	26.49	27.4	27.75	28.24	28.36	28.48	28.56(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	40	26	158	1.32	66%	0.15	60.8	1.06%	0	2.1	80	NAN

6	Jun_9_2003	26.45	27.32	27.6	28.02	28.15	28.37	28.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	176	70	170	193	1.15	66%	0.15	62	1.06%	0	2	66	NAN
7	Jun_6_2003	26.41	27.25	27.48	27.84	22.78	28.24	28.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	1130	33	119	1.07	66%	0.15	66.5	1.08%	0	2.3	66	NAN
8	Jun_5_2003	26.37	27.17	27.34	27.62	22.61	27.94	28.12(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	452	1110	509	281	0.99	66%	0.15	73.6	1.09%	0	2.5	63	NAN
9	Jun_4_2003	26.33	27.12	27.17	27.39	22.39	17.32	27.92(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	27	-2130	21	44	0.87	66%	0.15	95.5	1.09%	0	2.7	56	NAN
10	Jun_3_2003	26.29	27.07	27.04	27.18	22.22	17.28	27.44(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-516	-2100	-607	-241	0	63%	0.08	130.3	1.08%	0	1.5	52	NAN

11	Jun_2_2003	26.27	27.02	27.01	27.12	27.24	27.46	27.44(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	70	22	5	1.11	63%	0.11	140.6	1.09%	0	1.6	56	NAN
12	May_30_2003	26.24	26.96	26.97	27.07	27.06	27.16	27.16(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	20	11	-3	0.76	63%	0.11	143.5	1.1%	0	0.7	52	NAN
13	May_29_2003	26.21	26.9	26.96	27.02	27.04	27.01	27(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	9	-10	12	-1	0.54	63%	0.04	109.7	1.11%	0	0.3	56	NAN
14	May_28_2003	26.2	26.83	27	26.91	26.96	26.96	26.88(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	10	1	-14	0.38	63%	0.08	87.4	1.12%	0	0.1	46	NAN
15	May_27_2003	26.18	26.76	27.03	26.91	26.83	27.08	27.12(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	60	8	-11	0.65	63%	0.11	65	1.12%	0	0.6	53	NAN

16	May_23_2003	26.15	26.66	27.02	26.87	26.73	26.96	27.2(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	128	40	152	57	1.52	63%	0.11	47.7	1.14%	0	0.7	62	NAN
17	May_22_2003	26.12	26.55	27.01	26.86	21.63	26.58	26.92(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	1020	-1	7	1.14	63%	0.08	42.6	1.14%	0	0.5	62	NAN
18	May_21_2003	26.1	26.48	26.99	26.9	21.71	26.5	26.44(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	365	970	420	200	0.31	58%	0.04	43.8	1.12%	0	-0	65	NAN
19	May_20_2003	26.09	26.43	27.07	27.1	21.9	16.69	26.68(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-2240	-23	72	0.67	58%	0.04	51.6	1.13%	0	0.3	70	NAN
20	May_19_2003	26.08	26.38	27.1	27.21	22.12	16.92	27.12(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-479	-2210	-602	-108	0	65%	0.15	58.2	1.1%	0	0.9	82	NAN

21	May_16_2003	26.04	26.3	27.05	27.19	27.24	27.11	27.12(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	148	-30	127	209	0.57	65%	0.12	60.2	1.12%	0	1	83	NAN
22	May_15_2003	26.01	26.22	26.97	27.18	22.17	27.32	27.16(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	1070	4	185	0.53	65%	0.15	59.6	1.14%	0	1.1	84	NAN
23	May_14_2003	25.97	26.12	26.83	27.1	22.13	27.38	27.4(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	440	1110	462	372	0.34	65%	0.15	55.1	1.14%	0	1.6	79	NAN
24	May_13_2003	25.93	26.01	26.66	27.05	21.96	17.02	27.24(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	-2140	11	194	0.25	65%	0.19	51.3	1.15%	0	1.6	74	NAN
25	May_12_2003	25.88	25.9	26.46	26.99	21.91	16.89	27.04(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-423	-2170	-550	-43	0	65%		44.8	1.17%	0	1.5	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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