Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 30, 2003

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $25.6400 (1.91%) ($25.4400 - $25.7600) on Wed. Apr. 30, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $25.6400(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWY(70%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(17%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.22(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.34(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.54(0.39%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2003	25.58	25.54	25.34	25.22	25.13	25.33	25.64(1.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	11	50	19	-13	0.56	60%	0.04	0	1.15%	0	0.2	43	0
2	Apr_29_2003	25.57	25.55	25.34	25.18	25.06	24.99	25.16(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-30	-6	-45	0.58	45%	-0.08	0	1.09%	0	-0.9	31	0
3	Apr_28_2003	25.59	25.55	25.29	25.26	25.15	24.93	25.04(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-70	-20	-8	0.63	45%	-0.12	0	1.11%	0	59.6	22	0
4	Apr_25_2003	25.62	25.55	25.32	25.38	25.26	25.13	24.96(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-50	-22	-9	0.52	45%	-0.16	0	1.14%	0	60.9	32	0
5	Apr_24_2003	25.66	25.55	25.39	25.38	25.42	25.37	25.28(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-20	-2	-1	0.4	59%	-0.12	0	1.14%	0	64.8	38	0

6	Apr_23_2003	25.69	25.55	25.45	25.48	25.45	25.4	25.44(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-20	2	1	0.26	59%	-0.04	0	1.17%	0	65.2	31	0
7	Apr_22_2003	25.7	25.55	25.49	25.42	25.41	25.47	25.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	20	5	2	0.49	59%	-0.04	0	1.2%	0	64	47	0
8	Apr_21_2003	25.71	25.55	25.56	25.33	25.39	25.5	25.6(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	40	14	6	0.1	59%	-0.04	0	1.25%	0	62.4	50	0
9	Apr_17_2003	25.72	25.55	25.59	25.26	25.25	25.35	25.48(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	30	1	0	0.61	59%	-0.08	0	1.29%	0	60.7	50	0
10	Apr_16_2003	25.74	25.55	25.63	25.3	25.21	25.28	25.28(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	10	-5	-2	0.31	59%	-0.16	0	1.32%	0	57.5	50	0

11	Apr_15_2003	25.78	25.55	25.75	25.42	25.33	25.28	25.16(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-60	-12	-5	0.28	59%	-0.23	0	1.36%	0	58.5	50	0
12	Apr_14_2003	25.84	25.55	25.83	25.57	25.5	25.14	25.12(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-110	-32	-13	0.45	59%	-0.31	0	1.43%	0	62.8	50	0
13	Apr_11_2003	25.92	25.55	25.83	25.82	25.76	25.51	25.24(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-70	-25	-10	0.5	59%	-0.35	0	1.51%	0	74.2	50	0
14	Apr_10_2003	26.01	25.55	25.83	25.97	26.05	25.87	25.68(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-40	-8	-3	0.28	100%	-0.19	0	1.51%	0	102.7	50	0
15	Apr_9_2003	26.06	25.55	25.83	26.02	26.13	26	25.88(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-20	-13	-5	0.1	100%	-0.11	0	1.6%	0	107.8	50	0

16	Apr_8_2003	26.09	25.55	25.83	26.14	26.14	26.23	25.92(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2	20	-2	-1	0.18	100%	-0.11	0	1.75%	0	108	50	0
17	Apr_7_2003	26.12	25.55	25.83	26.12	26.26	26.26	26.36(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	333	20	392	157	0.47	100%	0.23	0	1.7%	0	105.4	50	0
18	Apr_4_2003	26.06	25.55	25.83	20.85	21.26	26.04	26(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	20.6	302	1630	355	142	0.06	100%	-0.08	0	1.87%	0	104	50	0
19	Apr_3_2003	26.08	25.55	25.83	15.65	21.26	26.04	25.92(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	36.7	366	-10000	431	172	0.44	100%	-0.31	0	2.3%	0	92.6	50	0
20	Apr_2_2003	26.16	25.55	25.83	10.46	21.26	26.04	26.48(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	50.1	0	-10000	0	0	0.24	100%	1.24	0	0%	0	82.8	50	0

21	Apr_1_2003	25.84	25.55	25.83	5.17	21.26	26.04	25.84(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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