Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.5100 (1.39%) ($28.4100 - $28.5500) on Tue. May. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $28.5100(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWP(90%)    IVE(77%)    IWD(77%)    VT(77%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    DIA(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.97(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.75(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.98(5.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.94%(55%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(53%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 3.96%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.04%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2017	25.03	26.98	27.75	27.97	28	28.29	28.51(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	80	29	132	0.83	83%	0.12	70.1	1.27%	0	1.4	76	0
2	May_15_2017	25	26.79	27.57	27.78	27.78	27.96	28.12(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	50	18	111	0.57	82%	0.2	64	1.26%	0	1.2	69	0
3	May_12_2017	24.95	26.63	27.42	27.7	27.67	27.7	27.9(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	0	3	102	0.61	82%	0.16	61.6	1.24%	0	1.2	71	0
4	May_11_2017	24.91	26.48	27.28	27.74	27.63	27.6	27.67(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	33	-20	0	131	0.9	82%	0.16	59.2	1.25%	0	1.1	81	0
5	May_10_2017	24.87	26.35	27.16	27.68	27.71	27.64	27.65(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	48	-10	12	157	0.61	82%	0.12	58	1.26%	0	1.2	80	0

6	May_9_2017	24.84	26.23	27.06	27.49	27.63	27.67	27.57(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	30	12	170	0.88	82%	0.16	53.2	1.26%	0	1.2	80	0
7	May_8_2017	24.8	26.1	26.98	27.31	27.37	27.78	27.71(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	110	27	199	0.76	82%	0.16	48.8	1.26%	0	1.5	83	0
8	May_5_2017	24.76	25.98	26.86	27.09	27.11	27.59	28.08(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	93	130	52	214	1.11	78%	0.2	44.1	1.28%	0	2.1	83	0
9	May_4_2017	24.71	25.84	26.55	26.76	26.78	26.96	27.41(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	50	29	184	1.14	76%	0.16	39.3	1.26%	0	1.8	81	0
10	May_3_2017	24.67	25.73	26.32	26.76	26.58	26.63	26.66(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	10	2	162	0.94	75%	0.08	34.3	1.23%	0	1.2	70	0

11	May_2_2017	24.65	25.66	26.15	26.57	26.55	26.59	26.71(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	10	0	159	0.7	75%	0.12	33.6	1.24%	0	1.4	68	0
12	May_1_2017	24.62	25.6	25.96	26.6	26.56	26.53	26.57(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-10	0	157	0.45	75%	0.16	35.9	1.24%	0	1.4	68	0
13	Apr_28_2017	24.58	25.55	25.79	26.59	26.62	26.51	26.45(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	-30	15	155	0.76	68%	0.12	38.5	1.27%	0	1.3	62	0
14	Apr_27_2017	24.55	25.5	25.62	26.3	26.6	26.59	26.48(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	21	116	0.41	68%	0.08	28.7	1.28%	0	1.6	61	0
15	Apr_26_2017	24.53	25.46	25.48	26.01	26.21	26.72	26.66(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	49	160	35	91	0.84	65%	0.16	19.9	1.27%	0	2	65	0

16	Apr_25_2017	24.49	25.41	25.32	25.66	25.82	26.6	26.82(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	70	230	72	64	1.14	65%	0.2	9.4	1.29%	0	2.6	64	0
17	Apr_24_2017	24.44	25.35	25.14	25.23	25.36	25.69	26.54(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	45	110	57	8	1.54	65%	0.16	-10.3	1.29%	0	2.7	61	0
18	Apr_21_2017	24.4	25.3	25	24.9	24.9	25.03	24.98(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	40	5	-67	1.02	55%	0.12	-35.2	1.02%	0	-0.9	33	0
19	Apr_20_2017	24.37	25.32	25.05	24.9	24.87	25.02	25.06(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	40	15	-74	1.18	55%	0.16	-39.9	1.02%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	Apr_19_2017	24.33	25.34	25.07	24.86	24.78	24.76	24.89(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-20	-4	-91	1.2	55%	0.12	-34.1	1.02%	0	-1.3	31	0

21	Apr_18_2017	24.3	25.36	25.13	24.93	24.82	24.71	24.66(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-40	-17	-97	1.14	55%	0.16	-20	1.02%	0	-2.1	22	0
22	Apr_17_2017	24.26	25.4	25.22	25.03	24.96	24.81	24.92(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-50	-16	-92	0.88	58%	0.17	-6.1	1.01%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Apr_13_2017	24.22	25.42	25.3	25.12	25.05	24.93	24.75(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-40	-24	-82	0.74	58%	0.17	14.7	1.01%	0	-2.6	32	0
24	Apr_12_2017	24.18	25.42	25.39	25.26	25.19	25.12	25.1(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-30	-10	-59	0.5	62%	0.17	53.2	0.99%	0	-1.5	41	0
25	Apr_11_2017	24.14	25.46	25.46	25.31	25.29	25.17	25.23(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-40	-11	-46	0.5	62%		57.1	0.99%	0	-0.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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