Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.3800 (0.45%) ($22.2200 - $22.4100) on Wed. Oct. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $22.3800(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(89%)    EWP(89%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(76%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    IPO(-3%)    DIA(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.97(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.95(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.93(2.05%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.66%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2016	22.28	21.93	21.95	21.97	22.06	22.29	22.38(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	90	25	23	0.63	37%	-0.09	8.6	1.16%	0	2	63	INF
2	Oct_18_2016	22.3	21.91	21.92	21.84	21.86	22.07	22.28(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	18	70	21	7	0.32	37%	0	-10.4	1.17%	0	1.8	54	INF
3	Oct_17_2016	22.3	21.91	21.92	21.74	21.86	21.84	21.88(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	40	5	-13	0.28	28%	-0.09	-38.5	1.15%	0	0	54	INF
4	Oct_14_2016	22.32	21.88	21.86	21.79	21.72	21.64	21.74(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-40	-4	-7	0.69	28%	-0.13	-52.1	1.14%	0	-0.7	50	INF
5	Oct_13_2016	22.35	21.87	21.89	21.84	21.81	21.59	21.56(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-70	-19	-7	1.3	28%	-0.13	-68.3	1.15%	0	-1.4	43	INF

6	Oct_12_2016	22.38	21.91	21.9	21.93	21.93	21.79	21.72(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-40	-18	-9	0.28	44%	-0.13	-80	1.15%	0	-0.9	40	INF
7	Oct_11_2016	22.41	21.93	21.9	22	22.02	22.02	21.78(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	0	-2	4	0.55	44%	-0.09	-91	1.22%	0	-0.7	45	INF
8	Oct_10_2016	22.43	21.96	21.92	21.99	22.07	22.06	22.14(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	10	8	7	0.28	48%	-0.04	-80.3	1.21%	0	0.6	58	INF
9	Oct_7_2016	22.44	21.99	21.92	21.94	21.96	22.03	21.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	30	-2	-5	0.62	60%	-0.09	-76.1	1.32%	0	-0	52	INF
10	Oct_6_2016	22.46	22.03	21.88	21.95	21.92	22.08	22.04(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	50	14	11	0.41	60%	-0.04	-56.9	1.34%	0	0	57	INF

11	Oct_5_2016	22.47	22.09	21.91	21.86	21.88	21.89	22.08(1.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	5	10	7	-1	0.44	50%	-0.09	-49.1	1.34%	0	-0	46	INF
12	Oct_4_2016	22.49	22.14	21.91	21.86	21.81	21.77	21.7(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-4	-10	0.89	46%	-0.09	-41.4	1.42%	0	-0.8	44	INF
13	Oct_3_2016	22.51	22.2	21.91	21.84	21.85	21.87	21.88(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	10	3	-18	0.38	46%	-0.09	-36.6	1.43%	0	-0.6	45	INF
14	Sep_30_2016	22.53	22.25	21.9	21.84	21.79	21.86	22.04(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	2	-39	0.77	52%	-0.09	-32.8	1.42%	0	-0.4	39	INF
15	Sep_29_2016	22.55	22.29	21.86	21.82	21.76	21.83	21.62(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	10	-6	-63	0.8	47%	-0.13	-30.7	1.44%	0	-1.2	35	INF

16	Sep_28_2016	22.58	22.34	21.93	21.96	21.82	21.71	21.96(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-50	-3	-67	0.69	58%	-0.09	-24.8	1.44%	0	-0.7	32	INF
17	Sep_27_2016	22.6	22.36	21.95	21.96	21.96	21.69	21.68(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-90	-10	-81	0.76	52%	-0.09	-24.9	1.49%	0	-1.3	33	INF
18	Sep_26_2016	22.62	22.4	22	21.98	22.06	21.94	21.78(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-30	-10	-93	0.29	52%	-0.13	-25.6	1.53%	0	-1.2	36	INF
19	Sep_23_2016	22.65	22.43	22.11	21.99	22.04	22.24	22.04(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	70	5	-56	0.33	40%	-0.09	-23.4	2.41%	0	-0.8	39	INF
20	Sep_22_2016	22.67	22.46	22.18	21.99	22	22.19	22.32(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	70	10	-57	0.49	38%	-0.09	-30.6	2.49%	0	-0.3	45	INF

21	Sep_21_2016	22.69	22.47	22.28	21.9	21.8	21.83	22.1(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-0	-1	-54	0.89	38%	-0.13	-29.2	2.52%	0	-0.8	45	INF
22	Sep_20_2016	22.72	22.49	22.38	21.92	21.85	21.81	21.64(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-20	-5	-49	0.39	40%	-0.18	-28.8	2.5%	0	-1.8	41	INF
23	Sep_19_2016	22.76	22.53	22.52	22.04	21.97	21.77	21.84(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-70	-11	-39	0.48	40%	-0.13	-28.3	2.52%	0	-1.6	45	INF
24	Sep_16_2016	22.79	22.55	22.63	22.25	22.07	21.89	21.6(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-80	-17	-24	0.71	44%	-0.18	-20.3	2.55%	0	-2.3	41	INF
25	Sep_15_2016	22.83	22.6	22.76	22.49	22.33	22.17	22.32(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-70	-12	-6	0.51	47%		-4	2.52%	0	-0.8	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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