Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.4800 (0.54%) ($22.4200 - $22.5900) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $22.4800(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(89%)    EWP(89%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(76%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    IPO(-8%)    DIA(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.18(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.98(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.96(2.37%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(61%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 1.92%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2016	23.25	21.96	21.98	22.18	22.27	22.43	22.48(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	60	11	21	0.94	44%	-0.09	48.3	2.6%	0	2	59	0
2	Aug_10_2016	23.27	21.94	21.92	22	22.1	22.27	22.36(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	70	12	11	0.63	44%	-0.09	70.5	2.6%	0	1.8	57	0
3	Aug_9_2016	23.29	21.92	21.89	21.82	21.89	22.1	22.18(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	80	10	1	0.57	44%	-0.13	82.3	2.61%	0	1.2	53	0
4	Aug_8_2016	23.32	21.91	21.85	21.69	21.71	21.93	22.02(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	70	7	-8	0.24	44%	-0.13	78.1	2.61%	0	0.4	53	0
5	Aug_5_2016	23.35	21.87	21.85	21.66	21.6	21.67	21.88(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-5	10	-1	-16	0.78	44%	-0.13	59.4	2.61%	0	0	46	0

6	Aug_4_2016	23.38	21.84	21.82	21.76	21.64	21.49	21.54(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-70	-6	-15	0.28	44%	-0.17	39.3	2.6%	0	-0.7	38	0
7	Aug_3_2016	23.42	21.78	21.86	21.84	21.85	21.52	21.5(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-100	-11	-15	0.44	42%	-0.13	31.2	2.6%	0	-0.5	36	0
8	Aug_2_2016	23.45	21.74	21.91	21.96	21.95	21.8	21.52(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-50	-11	-8	0.43	42%	-0.17	33.6	2.62%	0	-0.4	44	0
9	Aug_1_2016	23.49	21.71	21.95	22.02	22.08	22.18	21.88(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	40	3	1	0.46	42%	-0.13	41.9	2.61%	0	0.3	48	0
10	Jul_29_2016	23.52	21.7	21.97	21.99	22.04	22.11	22.38(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	30	7	8	0.79	42%	-0.08	48.4	2.62%	0	1.2	72	0

11	Jul_28_2016	23.54	21.66	21.94	21.9	21.9	21.99	21.94(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	30	1	9	0.42	42%	-0.08	23.7	2.61%	0	0.5	71	0
12	Jul_27_2016	23.56	21.62	21.96	21.89	21.91	21.96	22.06(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	10	20	4	29	0.67	42%	-0.08	6.8	2.61%	0	0.8	82	0
13	Jul_26_2016	23.58	21.56	21.94	21.87	21.88	21.81	21.84(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-2	39	0.43	43%	-0.08	-20	2.6%	0	0.5	71	0
14	Jul_25_2016	23.6	21.48	21.96	21.88	21.88	21.86	21.74(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-4	52	0.46	43%	-0.08	-44	2.61%	0	0.4	66	0
15	Jul_22_2016	23.62	21.43	21.92	21.94	21.91	21.86	21.9(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	10	-2	54	0.23	43%	-0.08	-58.1	2.62%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Jul_21_2016	23.64	21.53	21.85	21.99	21.94	21.96	21.92(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-0	-0	53	0.56	43%	-0.08	-32.2	2.62%	0	0.4	52	0
17	Jul_20_2016	23.66	21.59	21.7	22.04	21.97	21.87	21.96(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-40	-1	48	0.41	43%	-0.04	-25.8	2.62%	0	0.4	59	0
18	Jul_19_2016	23.67	21.67	21.57	22.02	22.04	21.92	21.88(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-40	-5	45	0.79	43%	-0.04	-16.6	2.62%	0	0.2	62	0
19	Jul_18_2016	23.68	21.76	21.46	22.05	22.08	22.08	22.06(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	0	3	58	0.48	43%	0	-10.4	2.62%	0	0.2	69	0
20	Jul_15_2016	23.68	21.81	21.41	21.9	22.09	22.17	22.12(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	50	11	62	0.54	43%	-0.04	-13.6	2.63%	0	0.2	62	0

21	Jul_14_2016	23.69	21.83	21.36	21.69	21.89	22.08	22.16(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	90	19	28	1.3	43%	0	-24.3	2.63%	0	0.3	38	0
22	Jul_13_2016	23.69	21.84	21.25	21.3	21.6	22	21.9(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	170	20	-14	0.81	45%	0	-40.2	2.62%	0	0	44	0
23	Jul_12_2016	23.69	21.86	21.13	21.04	21.21	21.7	22.02(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	190	23	-59	1.4	45%	-0.04	-53.9	2.64%	0	0.1	41	0
24	Jul_11_2016	23.7	21.89	20.94	20.8	20.82	21.2	21.28(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	130	8	-116	1.41	43%	-0.04	-64.3	2.61%	0	-0.5	38	0
25	Jul_8_2016	23.71	21.98	20.88	20.87	20.73	20.72	21.1(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-20	-1	-142	2.45	46%		-65.1	2.61%	0	-0.7	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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