Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $21.8800 (-2.23%) ($21.8400 - $22.2000) on Mon. Aug. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $21.8800(-2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(89%)    EWP(89%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(76%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    IPO(-8%)    IBUY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.02(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.95(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.71(0.78%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.39%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.11%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -11%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2016	23.49	21.71	21.95	22.02	22.08	22.18	21.88(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	40	3	1	0.46	42%	-0.13	41.9	2.61%	0	0.3	48	0
2	Jul_29_2016	23.52	21.7	21.97	21.99	22.04	22.11	22.38(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	30	7	8	0.79	42%	-0.08	48.4	2.62%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Jul_28_2016	23.54	21.66	21.94	21.9	21.9	21.99	21.94(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	30	1	9	0.42	42%	-0.08	23.7	2.61%	0	0.5	71	0
4	Jul_27_2016	23.56	21.62	21.96	21.89	21.91	21.96	22.06(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	10	20	4	29	0.67	42%	-0.08	6.8	2.61%	0	0.8	82	0
5	Jul_26_2016	23.58	21.56	21.94	21.87	21.88	21.81	21.84(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-2	39	0.43	43%	-0.08	-20	2.6%	0	0.5	71	0

6	Jul_25_2016	23.6	21.48	21.96	21.88	21.88	21.86	21.74(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-4	52	0.46	43%	-0.08	-44	2.61%	0	0.4	66	0
7	Jul_22_2016	23.62	21.43	21.92	21.94	21.91	21.86	21.9(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	10	-2	54	0.23	43%	-0.08	-58.1	2.62%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Jul_21_2016	23.64	21.53	21.85	21.99	21.94	21.96	21.92(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-0	-0	53	0.56	43%	-0.08	-32.2	2.62%	0	0.4	52	0
9	Jul_20_2016	23.66	21.59	21.7	22.04	21.97	21.87	21.96(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-40	-1	48	0.41	43%	-0.04	-25.8	2.62%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Jul_19_2016	23.67	21.67	21.57	22.02	22.04	21.92	21.88(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-40	-5	45	0.79	43%	-0.04	-16.6	2.62%	0	0.2	62	0

11	Jul_18_2016	23.68	21.76	21.46	22.05	22.08	22.08	22.06(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	0	3	58	0.48	43%	0	-10.4	2.62%	0	0.2	69	0
12	Jul_15_2016	23.68	21.81	21.41	21.9	22.09	22.17	22.12(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	50	11	62	0.54	43%	-0.04	-13.6	2.63%	0	0.2	62	0
13	Jul_14_2016	23.69	21.83	21.36	21.69	21.89	22.08	22.16(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	90	19	28	1.3	43%	0	-24.3	2.63%	0	0.3	38	0
14	Jul_13_2016	23.69	21.84	21.25	21.3	21.6	22	21.9(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	170	20	-14	0.81	45%	0	-40.2	2.62%	0	0	44	0
15	Jul_12_2016	23.69	21.86	21.13	21.04	21.21	21.7	22.02(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	190	23	-59	1.4	45%	-0.04	-53.9	2.64%	0	0.1	41	0

16	Jul_11_2016	23.7	21.89	20.94	20.8	20.82	21.2	21.28(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	130	8	-116	1.41	43%	-0.04	-64.3	2.61%	0	-0.5	38	0
17	Jul_8_2016	23.71	21.98	20.88	20.87	20.73	20.72	21.1(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-20	-1	-142	2.45	46%	-0.08	-65.1	2.61%	0	-0.7	41	0
18	Jul_7_2016	23.73	22.14	21.17	20.99	20.88	20.43	20.22(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-170	-15	-126	5.93	41%	-0.13	-58.9	2.61%	0	-1.4	41	0
19	Jul_6_2016	23.76	22.37	21.46	21.17	21.14	20.74	20.6(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-140	-14	-110	2.67	41%	-0.08	-53.5	2.63%	0	-1.3	43	0
20	Jul_5_2016	23.78	22.57	21.78	21.21	21.29	21.32	20.78(-3.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	20	1	-88	1.85	39%	-0.04	-52.2	2.64%	0	-1.3	45	0

21	Jul_1_2016	23.79	22.74	22.09	21.08	21.23	21.53	21.64(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	120	17	-79	1.3	41%	0	-57	2.61%	0	-0.8	47	0
22	Jun_30_2016	23.79	22.86	22.25	20.89	20.82	21.27	21.7(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-34	140	-11	-102	1.62	41%	-0.04	-62.7	2.6%	0	-0.8	44	0
23	Jun_29_2016	23.8	22.99	22.34	21.42	20.69	20.92	21.14(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-20	-13	-92	0.91	39%	0	-55.4	2.58%	0	-1.4	36	0
24	Jun_28_2016	23.8	23.14	22.49	21.83	21.45	20.38	20.8(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-400	-32	-99	1.24	39%	-0.04	-50	2.57%	0	-1.8	33	0
25	Jun_27_2016	23.81	23.32	22.66	22.47	22.11	20.47	20.12(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-85	-570	-78	-105	1.57	36%		-37.8	2.53%	0	-2.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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