Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.0200 (3.48%) ($22.0000 - $22.1800) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $22.0200(3.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(89%)    EWP(89%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(76%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-20%)    IPO(-8%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.98(-54.68%)
5 Day Moving Average   $21.04(4.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.13(4.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.86(0.73%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.81% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -14.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.3%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	23.69	21.86	21.13	21.04	21.21	21.7	22.02(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	190	23	-59	1.4	45%	-0.04	-53.9	2.64%	0	0.1	41	INF
2	Jul_11_2016	23.7	21.89	20.94	20.8	20.82	21.2	21.28(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	130	8	-116	1.41	43%	-0.04	-64.3	2.61%	0	-0.5	38	INF
3	Jul_8_2016	23.71	21.98	20.88	20.87	20.73	20.72	21.1(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-20	-1	-142	2.45	46%	-0.08	-65.1	2.61%	0	-0.7	41	INF
4	Jul_7_2016	23.73	22.14	21.17	20.99	20.88	20.43	20.22(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-170	-15	-126	5.93	41%	-0.13	-58.9	2.61%	0	-1.4	41	INF
5	Jul_6_2016	23.76	22.37	21.46	21.17	21.14	20.74	20.6(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-140	-14	-110	2.67	41%	-0.08	-53.5	2.63%	0	-1.3	43	INF

6	Jul_5_2016	23.78	22.57	21.78	21.21	21.29	21.32	20.78(-3.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	20	1	-88	1.85	39%	-0.04	-52.2	2.64%	0	-1.3	45	INF
7	Jul_1_2016	23.79	22.74	22.09	21.08	21.23	21.53	21.64(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	120	17	-79	1.3	41%	0	-57	2.61%	0	-0.8	47	INF
8	Jun_30_2016	23.79	22.86	22.25	20.89	20.82	21.27	21.7(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-34	140	-11	-102	1.62	41%	-0.04	-62.7	2.6%	0	-0.8	44	INF
9	Jun_29_2016	23.8	22.99	22.34	21.42	20.69	20.92	21.14(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-20	-13	-92	0.91	39%	0	-55.4	2.58%	0	-1.4	36	INF
10	Jun_28_2016	23.8	23.14	22.49	21.83	21.45	20.38	20.8(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-400	-32	-99	1.24	39%	-0.04	-50	2.57%	0	-1.8	33	INF

11	Jun_27_2016	23.81	23.32	22.66	22.47	22.11	20.47	20.12(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-85	-570	-78	-105	1.57	36%	-0.13	-37.8	2.53%	0	-2.6	30	INF
12	Jun_24_2016	23.84	23.56	22.95	23.22	23.1	22.53	20.7(-14.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-54	-190	-50	-67	2.76	37%	-0.13	-22.9	2.53%	0	-2.9	34	INF
13	Jun_23_2016	23.87	23.76	23.23	23.74	23.87	23.74	24.34(5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	-20	24	-29	1.29	47%	0.04	-4.9	1.72%	0	0.8	51	INF
14	Jun_22_2016	23.86	23.77	23.21	23.39	23.63	23.67	23.18(-3.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	40	2	-68	1.76	41%	0	-11.9	1.63%	0	-0.8	42	INF
15	Jun_21_2016	23.86	23.82	23.35	23.25	23.36	24	24(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	210	40	-60	1.35	44%	0	-13.3	1.57%	0	0.2	47	INF

16	Jun_20_2016	23.86	23.8	23.39	22.9	22.99	23.59	23.88(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	16	190	49	-84	1.3	44%	0	-28.1	1.57%	0	0.1	45	INF
17	Jun_17_2016	23.86	23.79	23.41	22.9	22.58	22.72	23.32(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	30	13	-127	2.24	41%	-0.04	-37	1.54%	0	-0.6	36	INF
18	Jun_16_2016	23.87	23.8	23.49	22.66	22.46	22.38	22.56(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-50	-29	-160	1.74	35%	-0.04	-40.4	1.48%	0	-1.6	24	INF
19	Jun_15_2016	23.88	23.86	23.65	23.02	22.76	22.43	22.48(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-140	-40	-140	0.99	35%	-0.08	-33.6	1.49%	0	-1.9	24	INF
20	Jun_14_2016	23.9	23.92	23.83	23.48	23.23	22.55	22.28(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-69	-240	-56	-107	1.4	35%	-0.08	-23.5	1.48%	0	-2.5	30	INF

21	Jun_13_2016	23.92	24.02	24.04	23.94	23.82	23.09	22.68(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-55	-230	-55	-55	0.97	37%	-0.08	-5.1	1.47%	0	-2.6	44	INF
22	Jun_10_2016	23.94	24.08	24.24	24.26	24.29	23.91	23.3(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-25	-110	-32	-4	0.87	48%	-0.04	8.4	1.57%	0	-1.8	49	INF
23	Jun_9_2016	23.95	24.12	24.38	24.42	24.47	24.55	24.36(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	30	1	41	0.37	54%	0.04	18.5	1.48%	0	0.6	66	INF
24	Jun_8_2016	23.94	24.1	24.4	24.36	24.39	24.67	24.76(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	80	20	61	0.48	57%	0	9.9	1.47%	0	1.7	73	INF
25	Jun_7_2016	23.94	24.08	24.34	24.24	24.22	24.39	24.6(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	50	16	59	0.97	57%		-2	1.47%	0	1.4	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.