Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.5600 (0.36%) ($21.7700 - $22.6000) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $22.5600(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(89%)    VT(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-28%)    VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.77(-25.66%)
Resistance Level   $23.8
5 Day Moving Average   $22.66(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.49(-3.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.8(-5.21%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.49%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.8%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2016	23.87	23.8	23.49	22.66	22.46	22.38	22.56(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-50	-29	-160	1.74	35%	-0.04	-40.4	1.48%	0	-1.6	24	0
2	Jun_15_2016	23.88	23.86	23.65	23.02	22.76	22.43	22.48(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-140	-40	-140	0.99	35%	-0.08	-33.6	1.49%	0	-1.9	24	0
3	Jun_14_2016	23.9	23.92	23.83	23.48	23.23	22.55	22.28(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-69	-240	-56	-107	1.4	35%	-0.08	-23.5	1.48%	0	-2.5	30	0
4	Jun_13_2016	23.92	24.02	24.04	23.94	23.82	23.09	22.68(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-55	-230	-55	-55	0.97	37%	-0.08	-5.1	1.47%	0	-2.6	44	0
5	Jun_10_2016	23.94	24.08	24.24	24.26	24.29	23.91	23.3(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-25	-110	-32	-4	0.87	48%	-0.04	8.4	1.57%	0	-1.8	49	0

6	Jun_9_2016	23.95	24.12	24.38	24.42	24.47	24.55	24.36(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	30	1	41	0.37	54%	0.04	18.5	1.48%	0	0.6	66	0
7	Jun_8_2016	23.94	24.1	24.4	24.36	24.39	24.67	24.76(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	80	20	61	0.48	57%	0	9.9	1.47%	0	1.7	73	0
8	Jun_7_2016	23.94	24.08	24.34	24.24	24.22	24.39	24.6(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	50	16	59	0.97	57%	0.04	-2	1.47%	0	1.4	73	0
9	Jun_6_2016	23.93	24.08	24.24	24.18	24.09	24.11	24.26(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10	-2	42	1	57%	-0.04	-24.1	1.46%	0	0.6	55	0
10	Jun_3_2016	23.94	24.04	24.18	24.23	24.16	24.05	24.1(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-40	-9	44	0.66	60%	-0.08	-35.5	1.46%	0	0.2	58	0

11	Jun_2_2016	23.96	24.05	24.13	24.34	24.27	24.07	24.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-70	-14	45	0.54	60%	-0.04	-39.7	1.48%	0	0.1	51	0
12	Jun_1_2016	23.97	24.07	24.08	24.34	24.42	24.26	24.16(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-50	-9	50	0.45	63%	-0.08	-41.3	1.49%	0	0.3	51	0
13	May_31_2016	23.99	24.08	24.02	24.43	24.53	24.47	24.3(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-0	7	44	0.79	60%	-0.17	-46.2	1.51%	0	0.6	48	0
14	May_27_2016	24.03	24.13	23.99	24.28	24.43	24.58	24.5(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	60	13	32	0.51	63%	-0.04	-37.7	1.54%	0	0.7	57	0
15	May_26_2016	24.04	24.16	23.9	24.12	24.19	24.59	24.62(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	120	27	15	0.81	63%	-0.08	-39.4	1.55%	0	0.8	53	0

16	May_25_2016	24.06	24.19	23.84	23.9	23.94	24.27	24.58(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	22	100	31	-7	0.46	63%	-0.08	-45.2	1.55%	0	0.6	52	0
17	May_24_2016	24.08	24.22	23.77	23.7	23.7	23.8	24.16(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	30	16	-38	0.55	62%	-0.12	-50.8	1.55%	0	-0.1	43	0
18	May_23_2016	24.11	24.26	23.78	23.56	23.58	23.62	23.56(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	10	-4	-64	0.51	55%	-0.04	-54.9	1.52%	0	-1.1	30	0
19	May_20_2016	24.12	24.32	23.82	23.64	23.59	23.6	23.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-0	-0	-73	0.52	58%	-0.17	-53.3	1.58%	0	-1	24	0
20	May_19_2016	24.16	24.39	23.88	23.65	23.66	23.55	23.52(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-30	-8	-92	0.83	58%	-0.17	-48.8	1.59%	0	-1.4	20	0

21	May_18_2016	24.2	24.47	23.95	23.76	23.74	23.58	23.56(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-50	-13	-100	1.24	55%	-0.21	-41.6	1.59%	0	-1.5	22	0
22	May_17_2016	24.25	24.55	24.05	23.86	23.87	23.76	23.5(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-36	-30	-14	-103	1.36	55%	-0.21	-32.8	1.62%	0	-1.8	23	0
23	May_16_2016	24.3	24.62	24.16	23.86	23.98	23.89	23.96(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-30	-4	-95	1.5	60%	0	-17.4	1.61%	0	-1.3	28	0
24	May_13_2016	24.3	24.66	24.28	24.02	24.04	23.98	23.72(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10	-9	-89	0.86	60%	-0.21	-9.4	1.64%	0	-1.9	37	0
25	May_12_2016	24.35	24.7	24.45	24.14	24.08	24.06	24.04(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10	-4	-74	0.84	63%		4.3	1.64%	0	-1.4	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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