Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.1200 (1.52%) ($23.8800 - $24.7200) on Thu. Mar. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $24.1200(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(89%)    VT(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-28%)    VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-22%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.82(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.55(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.02(4.78%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(39%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(43%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(35%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.06%(65%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2016	26.25	23.02	23.55	23.82	23.84	24.05	24.12(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	60	10	95	1.85	39%	-0.23	51.9	1.87%	0	1.5	71	0
2	Mar_9_2016	26.31	22.92	23.4	23.8	23.74	23.78	23.76(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	6	97	0.87	39%	-0.27	46.8	1.85%	0	1.2	65	0
3	Mar_8_2016	26.38	22.82	23.26	23.76	23.75	23.63	23.62(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-40	2	84	0.69	38%	-0.3	33.4	1.85%	0	1.1	55	0
4	Mar_7_2016	26.46	22.74	23.14	23.71	23.66	23.7	23.68(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	10	7	80	0.82	37%	-0.26	19.2	1.87%	0	1.3	60	0
5	Mar_4_2016	26.53	22.69	23.06	23.48	23.59	23.87	23.9(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	100	23	80	0.49	38%	-0.26	2.7	1.87%	0	1.8	67	0

6	Mar_3_2016	26.6	22.66	22.9	23.23	23.28	23.63	24.04(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	110	27	74	0.51	38%	-0.23	-10.4	1.88%	0	2.2	73	0
7	Mar_2_2016	26.66	22.61	22.74	22.94	22.98	23.3	23.56(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	100	26	56	0.43	36%	-0.26	-33.1	1.86%	0	1.7	61	0
8	Mar_1_2016	26.73	22.58	22.67	22.68	22.75	22.92	23.36(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	60	20	54	0.72	36%	-0.26	-60	1.86%	0	1.5	65	0
9	Feb_29_2016	26.8	22.6	22.6	22.49	22.47	22.67	22.56(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	60	-1	40	0.79	33%	-0.3	-61.5	1.78%	0	-0.1	55	0
10	Feb_26_2016	26.88	22.68	22.56	22.57	22.46	22.58	22.64(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	11	43	0.42	33%	-0.3	-53.9	1.79%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Feb_25_2016	26.96	22.73	22.46	22.51	22.49	22.27	22.58(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-70	-1	6	0.69	33%	-0.3	-56.7	1.81%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	Feb_24_2016	27.04	22.8	22.42	22.5	22.44	22.34	22.28(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-40	-20	-17	1.06	33%	-0.29	-50.9	1.8%	0	-0.7	43	0
13	Feb_23_2016	27.12	22.9	22.35	22.65	22.61	22.71	22.4(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	30	0	-17	0.44	33%	-0.29	-42	1.8%	0	-0.6	45	0
14	Feb_22_2016	27.2	22.98	22.32	22.71	22.69	22.54	22.96(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-50	10	-35	0.39	34%	-0.22	-44.3	1.79%	0	-0	42	0
15	Feb_19_2016	27.26	23.05	22.3	22.54	22.65	22.51	22.32(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-30	-0	-72	0.39	31%	-0.26	-52.2	1.74%	0	-0.8	36	0

16	Feb_18_2016	27.33	23.15	22.41	22.38	22.58	22.84	22.52(-2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	110	10	-86	0.7	31%	-0.22	-63.2	1.74%	0	-0.7	41	0
17	Feb_17_2016	27.39	23.2	22.41	22.32	22.27	22.79	23.06(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	160	33	-97	0.42	32%	-0.18	-77.3	1.72%	0	-0.1	41	0
18	Feb_16_2016	27.44	23.27	22.47	22.02	22.09	22.31	22.68(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	80	28	-145	0.89	32%	-0.22	-89.2	1.7%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Feb_12_2016	27.5	23.37	22.59	21.9	21.82	21.75	22.14(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-54	-30	-13	-176	1.22	29%	-0.25	-92.7	1.66%	0	-1.2	37	0
20	Feb_11_2016	27.57	23.56	22.78	22.05	21.86	21.87	21.52(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-68	-20	-30	-182	1.93	26%	-0.22	-82.8	1.63%	0	-1.8	28	0

21	Feb_10_2016	27.63	23.76	23.01	22.45	22.26	21.89	22.18(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-140	-16	-155	2.13	27%	-0.25	-78.9	1.59%	0	-1.5	35	0
22	Feb_9_2016	27.7	23.95	23.21	22.66	22.53	21.85	21.56(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-75	-230	-50	-149	1.35	23%	-0.29	-76.5	1.54%	0	-2.2	38	0
23	Feb_8_2016	27.78	24.17	23.51	22.98	22.9	22.62	22.08(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-100	-47	-121	1.43	24%	-0.25	-81.5	1.53%	0	-2	35	0
24	Feb_5_2016	27.85	24.36	23.71	23.37	23.21	23.21	22.9(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-20	-17	-91	1.16	26%	-0.29	-84.9	1.48%	0	-1.5	36	0
25	Feb_4_2016	27.93	24.51	23.88	23.62	23.41	23.18	23.52(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-100	-8	-87	1.12	26%		-88.3	1.45%	0	-1.1	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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