Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.6400 (-2.45%) ($28.4600 - $28.8000) on Fri. Sep. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $28.6400(-2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-1%)    SKYY(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.59(-21.12%)
Resistance Level   $29.99
5 Day Moving Average   $29.14(-1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.22(-1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.99(-4.5%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.53% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.48%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.59%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.07%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.41%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.89%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2015	30.62	29.99	29.22	29.14	29.06	29.03	28.64(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-20	-20	-71	1.34	42%	-0.03	-43.9	1.87%	0	-1.3	32	INF
2	Sep_3_2015	30.63	30.12	29.28	29.36	29.3	29.33	29.36(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	0	1	-70	1.08	43%	-0.07	-38.9	1.86%	0	-0.7	35	INF
3	Sep_2_2015	30.65	30.21	29.32	29.49	29.35	29.09	29.26(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-80	-10	-82	0.99	45%	0	-34.3	1.87%	0	-0.9	34	INF
4	Sep_1_2015	30.65	30.3	29.45	29.57	29.51	29.26	28.84(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-70	-11	-84	1.68	45%	-0.07	-31.5	1.87%	0	-1.5	30	INF
5	Aug_31_2015	30.67	30.4	29.65	29.56	29.64	29.61	29.6(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	0	8	-85	1.61	47%	0	-35.6	1.85%	0	-0.9	32	INF

6	Aug_28_2015	30.67	30.47	29.8	29.29	29.52	29.75	29.72(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	80	11	-106	4.84	47%	-0.03	-40	1.85%	0	-0.8	31	INF
7	Aug_27_2015	30.68	30.53	29.94	29.19	29.22	29.67	30.02(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-18	110	13	-112	3.77	49%	0	-43	1.85%	0	-0.6	40	INF
8	Aug_26_2015	30.68	30.56	30.05	29.14	29.15	29.29	29.68(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-27	30	4	-118	1.61	47%	-0.03	-46.8	1.86%	0	-1	39	INF
9	Aug_25_2015	30.69	30.62	30.2	29.36	29.29	28.77	28.76(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-130	-28	-119	2.01	44%	-0.07	-43.6	1.85%	0	-2.1	28	INF
10	Aug_24_2015	30.71	30.74	30.48	29.78	29.71	29	28.26(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-64	-170	-53	-98	3.5	44%	-0.07	-35	1.85%	0	-3.2	28	INF

11	Aug_21_2015	30.73	30.85	30.85	30.38	30.33	29.81	29.24(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-41	-120	-37	-52	1.77	47%	-0.03	-28.6	1.81%	0	-2.9	31	INF
12	Aug_20_2015	30.74	30.93	31.06	30.77	30.71	30.41	29.78(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-26	-70	-27	-23	0.78	48%	-0.03	-13.7	1.8%	0	-2.7	36	INF
13	Aug_19_2015	30.75	30.99	31.2	31.06	30.98	30.86	30.74(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-7	-30	-11	5	0.69	51%	0.07	6.4	1.75%	0	-0.7	55	INF
14	Aug_18_2015	30.73	30.99	31.24	31.18	31.11	31.02	30.9(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-30	-7	17	0.33	51%	0.03	21.8	1.75%	0	-0.3	57	INF
15	Aug_17_2015	30.72	30.99	31.22	31.29	31.15	31.11	31.22(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-9	21	0.24	51%	0.03	40	1.75%	0	0.6	56	INF

16	Aug_14_2015	30.71	31.01	31.2	31.29	31.26	31.21	31.2(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-1	41	0.84	53%	0.07	60	1.75%	0	0.6	68	INF
17	Aug_13_2015	30.69	30.99	31.18	31.4	31.36	31.19	31.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-40	-2	44	1.91	54%	0.03	63.6	1.77%	0	0.8	57	INF
18	Aug_12_2015	30.68	30.97	31.12	31.36	31.33	31.32	31.3(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-3	38	1.47	54%	0.03	86.4	1.78%	0	1	54	INF
19	Aug_11_2015	30.67	30.93	31.05	31.3	31.31	31.53	31.48(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	14	39	2.72	54%	0.07	112.4	1.78%	0	1.6	55	INF
20	Aug_10_2015	30.65	30.88	30.99	31.14	31.18	31.33	31.76(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	40	16	30	0.55	54%	0.07	133.6	1.78%	0	2.6	57	INF

21	Aug_7_2015	30.63	30.8	30.83	30.98	30.97	31.09	31.2(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	30	4	5	0.39	55%	0.07	180.2	1.79%	0	1.4	50	INF
22	Aug_6_2015	30.61	30.77	30.77	30.93	30.93	31.03	31.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	9	3	0.37	56%	0.07	115.4	1.79%	0	0.6	53	INF
23	Aug_5_2015	30.59	30.68	30.76	30.84	30.91	31.03	31.02(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10	4	-4	0.51	53%	0.1	65.4	1.8%	0	0.5	51	INF
24	Aug_4_2015	30.56	30.54	30.75	30.77	30.8	30.84	30.66(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	10	-5	-8	0.47	53%	0.03	42.6	1.82%	0	0.1	53	INF
25	Aug_3_2015	30.55	30.43	30.78	30.82	30.78	30.98	30.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	40	13	8	0.77	53%		31.7	1.82%	0	0.5	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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