Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.2600 (-3.35%) ($28.0100 - $29.2000) on Mon. Aug. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $28.2600(-3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    SPY(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-24%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-1%)    VCIT(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.17(-10.93%)
Resistance Level   $30.74
5 Day Moving Average   $29.78(-5.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.48(-7.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.74(-8.07%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.9%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.96%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.32%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.8%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2015	30.71	30.74	30.48	29.78	29.71	29	28.26(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-64	-170	-53	-98	3.5	44%	-0.07	-35	1.85%	0	-3.2	28	0
2	Aug_21_2015	30.73	30.85	30.85	30.38	30.33	29.81	29.24(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-41	-120	-37	-52	1.77	47%	-0.03	-28.6	1.81%	0	-2.9	31	0
3	Aug_20_2015	30.74	30.93	31.06	30.77	30.71	30.41	29.78(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-26	-70	-27	-23	0.78	48%	-0.03	-13.7	1.8%	0	-2.7	36	0
4	Aug_19_2015	30.75	30.99	31.2	31.06	30.98	30.86	30.74(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-7	-30	-11	5	0.69	51%	0.07	6.4	1.75%	0	-0.7	55	0
5	Aug_18_2015	30.73	30.99	31.24	31.18	31.11	31.02	30.9(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-30	-7	17	0.33	51%	0.03	21.8	1.75%	0	-0.3	57	0

6	Aug_17_2015	30.72	30.99	31.22	31.29	31.15	31.11	31.22(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-9	21	0.24	51%	0.03	40	1.75%	0	0.6	56	0
7	Aug_14_2015	30.71	31.01	31.2	31.29	31.26	31.21	31.2(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-1	41	0.84	53%	0.07	60	1.75%	0	0.6	68	0
8	Aug_13_2015	30.69	30.99	31.18	31.4	31.36	31.19	31.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-40	-2	44	1.91	54%	0.03	63.6	1.77%	0	0.8	57	0
9	Aug_12_2015	30.68	30.97	31.12	31.36	31.33	31.32	31.3(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-3	38	1.47	54%	0.03	86.4	1.78%	0	1	54	0
10	Aug_11_2015	30.67	30.93	31.05	31.3	31.31	31.53	31.48(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	14	39	2.72	54%	0.07	112.4	1.78%	0	1.6	55	0

11	Aug_10_2015	30.65	30.88	30.99	31.14	31.18	31.33	31.76(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	40	16	30	0.55	54%	0.07	133.6	1.78%	0	2.6	57	0
12	Aug_7_2015	30.63	30.8	30.83	30.98	30.97	31.09	31.2(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	30	4	5	0.39	55%	0.07	180.2	1.79%	0	1.4	50	0
13	Aug_6_2015	30.61	30.77	30.77	30.93	30.93	31.03	31.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	9	3	0.37	56%	0.07	115.4	1.79%	0	0.6	53	0
14	Aug_5_2015	30.59	30.68	30.76	30.84	30.91	31.03	31.02(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10	4	-4	0.51	53%	0.1	65.4	1.8%	0	0.5	51	0
15	Aug_4_2015	30.56	30.54	30.75	30.77	30.8	30.84	30.66(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	10	-5	-8	0.47	53%	0.03	42.6	1.82%	0	0.1	53	0

16	Aug_3_2015	30.55	30.43	30.78	30.82	30.78	30.98	30.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	40	13	8	0.77	53%	0.1	31.7	1.82%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Jul_31_2015	30.52	30.31	30.79	30.65	30.72	30.77	30.96(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	20	10	4	0.7	54%	0.07	11.8	1.83%	0	0.7	60	0
18	Jul_30_2015	30.5	30.25	30.78	30.6	30.55	30.58	30.62(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	0	-6	-3	0.67	54%	0.07	4	1.84%	0	0.4	51	0
19	Jul_29_2015	30.48	30.23	30.81	30.66	30.62	30.67	30.66(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	10	0	22	0.78	54%	0.07	-0.3	1.84%	0	0.4	70	0
20	Jul_28_2015	30.46	30.18	30.8	30.72	30.73	30.52	30.92(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-50	-3	48	1.03	54%	0.07	-9.1	1.84%	0	0.8	78	0

21	Jul_27_2015	30.44	30.12	30.75	30.74	30.77	30.57	30.08(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-40	-21	68	2.43	52%	0.07	-19.7	1.81%	0	-0	75	0
22	Jul_24_2015	30.42	30.19	30.79	30.95	30.95	30.94	30.7(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-0	-3	112	0.65	54%	0.03	-10.9	1.79%	0	0.5	79	0
23	Jul_23_2015	30.41	30.21	30.78	30.95	31.04	30.94	30.94(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10	1	124	0.74	54%	0.07	-8.2	1.8%	0	0.7	58	0
24	Jul_22_2015	30.39	30.23	30.61	30.98	31.04	30.97	30.96(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-0	-0	115	0.41	54%	0.03	-2.8	1.8%	0	0.7	55	0
25	Jul_21_2015	30.38	30.27	30.34	30.89	30.99	31.1	31.04(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	9	99	0.7	54%		1.4	1.8%	0	0.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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