Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.8600 (-0.45%) ($30.8000 - $31.0400) on Mon. May. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $30.8600(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    SPY(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    JETS(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.74(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.48(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.33(1.75%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(75%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.74%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.62%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2015	28.71	30.33	30.48	30.74	30.74	30.9	30.86(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	9	60	0.97	53%	0.1	49.6	1.23%	0	1.5	59	0
2	May_1_2015	28.68	30.31	30.37	30.71	30.71	30.73	31(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	0	13	53	0.65	59%	0.1	60	1.34%	0	2	64	0
3	Apr_30_2015	28.65	30.26	30.24	30.58	30.67	30.59	30.54(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10	3	33	1.18	54%	0.1	63.7	1.34%	0	0.9	55	0
4	Apr_29_2015	28.62	30.24	30.24	30.49	30.6	30.68	30.46(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	30	6	25	1.2	58%	0.03	53.4	1.36%	0	0.7	51	0
5	Apr_28_2015	28.61	30.19	30.2	30.38	30.43	30.76	30.82(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	80	23	24	0.5	53%	0.07	33.9	1.4%	0	1.9	55	0

6	Apr_27_2015	28.59	30.15	30.13	30.18	30.2	30.51	30.74(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	23	70	28	7	1.03	53%	0.03	19	1.46%	0	2	52	0
7	Apr_24_2015	28.58	30.1	30.05	29.98	29.97	30.11	30.36(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	30	17	-20	0.65	56%	0.04	3.2	1.47%	0	0.9	44	0
8	Apr_23_2015	28.57	30.1	30.03	29.85	29.83	29.88	30.08(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	10	2	-36	1.55	52%	0.04	6.5	1.48%	0	0	48	0
9	Apr_22_2015	28.56	30.07	30.05	29.88	29.76	29.83	29.88(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	0	-5	-33	0.47	52%	0	26.9	1.51%	0	-0.7	50	0
10	Apr_21_2015	28.56	30.08	30.1	30	29.87	29.77	29.82(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-40	-4	-14	0.54	54%	0.04	63.4	1.52%	0	-0.9	56	0

11	Apr_20_2015	28.55	30.08	30.16	30.08	30.03	29.7	29.76(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-80	-12	-6	0.74	56%	0	89.2	1.53%	0	-1.2	49	0
12	Apr_17_2015	28.55	30.09	30.25	30.12	30.13	29.97	29.7(-1.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-14	-40	-19	3	0.73	56%	0.04	114	1.55%	0	-1.4	51	0
13	Apr_16_2015	28.54	30.05	30.3	30.22	30.23	30.36	30.24(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	30	2	25	1.82	61%	0	85.7	1.54%	0	0.5	60	0
14	Apr_15_2015	28.54	29.99	30.28	30.24	30.19	30.3	30.5(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	20	8	27	1.05	61%	0.04	79.7	1.57%	0	1.1	56	0
15	Apr_14_2015	28.53	29.91	30.19	30.22	30.16	30.3	30.2(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-20	-4	15	0.81	61%	0	74.3	1.57%	0	0.6	50	0

16	Apr_13_2015	28.53	29.84	30.17	30.27	30.24	30.09	29.98(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-40	-12	17	2.19	61%	0	70.7	1.57%	0	0.3	52	0
17	Apr_10_2015	28.53	29.78	30.16	30.27	30.37	30.23	30.18(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-30	-7	30	1.39	61%	0.07	67.3	1.55%	0	0.6	60	0
18	Apr_9_2015	28.51	29.71	30.12	30.39	30.47	30.4	30.32(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10	0	45	0.5	59%	0.04	62.8	1.56%	0	1	73	0
19	Apr_8_2015	28.5	29.63	30.09	30.32	30.43	30.51	30.4(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	8	56	0.55	59%	0.04	54.3	1.58%	0	1.2	69	0
20	Apr_7_2015	28.49	29.53	30.06	30.16	30.29	30.54	30.46(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	70	15	65	1.01	59%	0.07	39.6	1.59%	0	1.4	72	0

21	Apr_6_2015	28.47	29.46	30.01	30.06	30.04	30.35	30.58(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	70	18	73	0.39	59%	0.07	32.1	1.59%	0	1.7	71	0
22	Apr_2_2015	28.45	29.36	29.91	29.91	29.9	30.05	30.2(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	15	71	0.66	53%	0.11	20.1	1.71%	0	1.4	72	0
23	Apr_1_2015	28.42	29.32	29.77	29.81	29.79	29.74	29.98(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10	-1	58	0.9	53%	0.04	14.7	1.71%	0	1.2	63	0
24	Mar_31_2015	28.41	29.28	29.68	29.83	29.74	29.76	29.6(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-0	-9	61	0.88	53%	0.04	12.5	1.72%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Mar_30_2015	28.4	29.27	29.6	29.94	29.89	29.84	29.96(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-20	2	79	3	53%		13.8	1.72%	0	1.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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