Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.4600 (-0.39%) ($30.4400 - $30.7200) on Tue. Apr. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $30.4600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(77%)    IVE(75%)    SPY(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.16(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.06(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.53(3.15%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(88%) Average negative next day return: -0.04%(13%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -3.02%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 0.9%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2015	28.49	29.53	30.06	30.16	30.29	30.54	30.46(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	70	15	65	1.01	59%	0.07	39.6	1.59%	0	1.4	72	0
2	Apr_6_2015	28.47	29.46	30.01	30.06	30.04	30.35	30.58(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	70	18	73	0.39	59%	0.07	32.1	1.59%	0	1.7	71	0
3	Apr_2_2015	28.45	29.36	29.91	29.91	29.9	30.05	30.2(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	15	71	0.66	53%	0.11	20.1	1.71%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Apr_1_2015	28.42	29.32	29.77	29.81	29.79	29.74	29.98(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10	-1	58	0.9	53%	0.04	14.7	1.71%	0	1.2	63	0
5	Mar_31_2015	28.41	29.28	29.68	29.83	29.74	29.76	29.6(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-0	-9	61	0.88	53%	0.04	12.5	1.72%	0	0.6	63	0

6	Mar_30_2015	28.4	29.27	29.6	29.83	29.89	29.84	29.96(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-20	2	79	3	53%	0.04	13.8	1.72%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Mar_27_2015	28.39	29.27	29.49	29.94	29.96	29.72	29.8(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-50	-6	74	0.84	51%	0.04	14.6	1.72%	0	1	57	0
8	Mar_26_2015	28.38	29.25	29.37	29.91	30	29.94	29.72(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-0	1	74	1.12	51%	0.04	10.3	1.74%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Mar_25_2015	28.37	29.23	29.28	29.71	29.98	30.19	30.08(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	80	18	64	0.87	51%	0.07	2.2	1.73%	0	1.6	55	0
10	Mar_24_2015	28.35	29.21	29.14	29.49	29.63	30.06	30.16(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	120	26	47	1.17	51%	0.04	-7.2	1.74%	0	1.8	57	0

11	Mar_23_2015	28.34	29.19	28.95	29.21	29.25	29.76	29.92(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	130	30	19	1.13	51%	0	-16.4	1.74%	0	1.5	53	0
12	Mar_20_2015	28.34	29.18	28.86	29	28.94	29.2	29.66(3.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	19	60	27	-5	1.32	51%	0	-19.7	1.72%	0	0.9	46	0
13	Mar_19_2015	28.34	29.19	28.76	28.76	28.74	28.73	28.74(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	-0	1	-44	1.54	48%	0	-21.7	1.69%	0	-0.9	38	0
14	Mar_18_2015	28.34	29.22	28.81	28.79	28.68	28.68	28.98(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10	0	-45	1.8	48%	-0.04	-5.8	1.69%	0	-0.5	42	0
15	Mar_17_2015	28.35	29.25	28.83	28.72	28.71	28.75	28.74(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	10	5	-54	0.62	48%	0	4.2	1.7%	0	-1	38	0

16	Mar_16_2015	28.35	29.27	28.9	28.65	28.69	28.68	28.86(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	0	-0	-68	1.11	50%	-0.04	16.2	1.69%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Mar_13_2015	28.36	29.28	28.99	28.7	28.6	28.67	28.48(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	10	-5	-66	1.94	48%	-0.04	30.5	1.71%	0	-1.6	35	0
18	Mar_12_2015	28.37	29.3	29.12	28.75	28.73	28.69	28.88(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10	0	-65	1.03	46%	0.04	39.4	1.71%	0	-0.9	35	0
19	Mar_11_2015	28.36	29.25	29.19	28.85	28.76	28.53	28.66(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-70	-14	-62	1.6	46%	-0.04	34.8	1.74%	0	-1	44	0
20	Mar_10_2015	28.37	29.23	29.3	28.96	28.94	28.77	28.38(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-40	-18	-54	1.25	45%	0	31.9	1.74%	0	-1.3	40	0

21	Mar_9_2015	28.37	29.19	29.46	29.18	29.11	28.99	29.12(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-40	-11	-31	0.81	47%	0.04	34	1.73%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Mar_6_2015	28.36	29.13	29.53	29.32	29.21	29.11	28.72(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-40	-16	-14	1.43	47%	0.04	38.2	1.72%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Mar_5_2015	28.35	29.12	29.67	29.53	29.44	29.23	29.36(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-60	-7	17	0.92	50%	0.04	48.2	1.71%	0	0.3	61	0
24	Mar_4_2015	28.34	29.05	29.68	29.58	29.55	29.32	29.24(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-60	-15	35	0.9	49%	0.04	53.6	1.73%	0	0.2	71	0
25	Mar_3_2015	28.33	29.03	29.71	29.68	29.67	29.64	29.44(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-9	61	1.23	49%		62.3	1.74%	0	0.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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