Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $29.5800 (2.64%) ($29.4000 - $29.6900) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $29.5800(2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.12(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.82(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.92(2.28%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.25%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2014	31.07		28.82	29.12	29.18	29.16	29.58(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	0	17	35	1.33	47%	-0.19	6.3	1.51%	0	1.4	54	INF
2	Nov_20_2014	31.13	28.92	28.71	28.92	28.98	29.03	28.82(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	20	2	-3	2.4	44%	-0.22	6.6	1.49%	0	-0.2	38	INF
3	Nov_19_2014	31.2	28.94	28.69	28.79	28.88	29.2	29.2(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	90	26	-9	0.81	44%	-0.19	15.1	1.48%	0	0.6	50	INF
4	Nov_18_2014	31.26	28.92	28.66	28.57	28.58	28.93	29.2(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	90	21	-30	0.9	44%	-0.19	6.6	1.48%	0	0.6	51	INF
5	Nov_17_2014	31.32	28.91	28.6	28.5	28.33	28.56	28.82(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	40	12	-53	0.79	44%	-0.19	5.8	1.48%	0	-0.2	40	INF

6	Nov_14_2014	31.38	28.91	28.62	28.47	28.34	28.24	28.54(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-40	4	-58	0.78	44%	-0.19	1.9	1.48%	0	-0.8	48	INF
7	Nov_13_2014	31.44	28.89	28.73	28.48	28.39	28.09	28.2(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-80	-19	-67	1.22	44%	-0.22	-1.6	1.47%	0	-1.3	39	INF
8	Nov_12_2014	31.51	28.87	28.83	28.58	28.48	28.44	28.08(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-20	-21	-63	0.99	44%	-0.25	-7.8	1.47%	0	-1.5	42	INF
9	Nov_11_2014	31.59	28.89	28.93	28.76	28.67	28.68	28.86(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10	6	-36	2.48	47%	-0.22	-16.2	1.43%	0	-0.1	52	INF
10	Nov_10_2014	31.66	28.89	29.02	28.72	28.72	28.53	28.68(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-50	-8	-37	2.13	47%	-0.22	-26	1.43%	0	-0.4	48	INF

11	Nov_7_2014	31.73	28.88	29.04	28.79	28.74	28.66	28.56(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-20	-25	-32	0.71	46%	-0.25	-36.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	53	INF
12	Nov_6_2014	31.81	28.9	29.16	29.04	28.92	28.92	28.7(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10	-4	12	1.05	46%	-0.25	-35.9	1.49%	0	-0.4	54	INF
13	Nov_5_2014	31.89	28.91	29.22	29.12	29.11	28.83	28.98(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-70	-4	39	0.64	43%	-0.22	-36.5	1.49%	0	0.1	62	INF
14	Nov_4_2014	31.96	28.97	29.2	29.14	29.1	28.92	28.66(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-50	-28	36	0.99	43%	-0.22	-41	1.56%	0	-0.5	55	INF
15	Nov_3_2014	32.03	29.01	29.25	29.36	29.29	29.39	29.04(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	20	3	70	0.94	43%	-0.22	-40.7	1.57%	0	0	53	INF

16	Oct_31_2014	32.1	29.07	29.2	29.33	29.4	29.28	29.8(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-20	7	70	3.28	43%	-0.19	-46.2	1.54%	0	1.1	58	INF
17	Oct_30_2014	32.16	29.08	29.06	29.31	29.22	29.2	29.12(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-15	56	2.45	41%	-0.22	-54.8	1.53%	0	0.1	53	INF
18	Oct_29_2014	32.23	29.13	28.93	29.34	29.38	29.53	29.08(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	40	13	55	1.27	41%	-0.25	-51.6	1.53%	0	-0.1	50	INF
19	Oct_28_2014	32.31	29.21	28.85	29.27	29.33	29.25	29.74(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10	10	25	0.53	42%	-0.22	-50.2	1.51%	0	0.6	44	INF
20	Oct_27_2014	32.38	29.28	28.73	29.14	29.15	29.23	28.9(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	20	-1	-0	0.55	39%	-0.25	-49.7	1.46%	0	-0.4	45	INF

21	Oct_24_2014	32.46	29.38	28.71	29.04	29.16	29.4	29.7(1.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	18	70	30	-17	0.42	43%	-0.18	-49.7	1.43%	0	0.3	44	INF
22	Oct_23_2014	32.52	29.47	28.6	28.78	28.86	29.08	29.26(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	60	25	-58	0.93	42%	-0.21	-55.6	1.44%	0	-0.2	41	INF
23	Oct_22_2014	32.59	29.54	28.57	28.46	28.64	28.93	28.76(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	90	23	-102	0.88	39%	-0.18	-64.9	1.42%	0	-0.6	37	INF
24	Oct_21_2014	32.65	29.68	28.7	28.35	28.28	28.64	29.06(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	80	18	-123	0.62	38%	-0.21	-70	1.43%	0	-0.5	34	INF
25	Oct_20_2014	32.72	29.78	28.73	28.28	28.07	28.35	28.44(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	50	10	-159	0.83	35%		-73.2	1.41%	0	-1.1	25	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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