Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.0000 (1.41%) ($35.8100 - $36.1400) on Tue. Apr. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $36.0000(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    VT(76%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    TIP(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.71(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.62(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.53(1.32%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.22%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2014	32.88	35.53	35.62	35.71	35.63	35.7	36(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	10	11	37	0.82	58%	0.21	57.4	1.38%	0	1.1	55	0
2	Apr_28_2014	32.81	35.49	35.52	35.72	35.6	35.41	35.5(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-50	-11	21	3.06	59%	0.18	76.1	1.39%	0	0	47	0
3	Apr_25_2014	32.75	35.47	35.46	35.77	35.74	35.57	35.44(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-40	-11	16	2.56	59%	0.21	92.2	1.39%	0	-0.1	48	0
4	Apr_24_2014	32.68	35.43	35.4	35.8	35.83	35.78	35.84(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-1	12	0.7	55%	0.18	88.5	1.39%	0	0.9	50	0
5	Apr_23_2014	32.62	35.36	35.39	35.74	35.79	35.9	35.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	30	13	18	0.95	55%	0.18	79.9	1.46%	0	0.8	54	0

6	Apr_22_2014	32.56	35.29	35.36	35.5	35.66	35.87	36.06(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	50	22	1	0.52	55%	0.22	60.8	1.45%	0	1.4	50	0
7	Apr_21_2014	32.49	35.19	35.31	35.3	35.31	35.67	35.74(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	70	20	-10	0.39	55%	0.15	44.8	1.45%	0	0.9	53	0
8	Apr_17_2014	32.44	35.1	35.29	35.1	35.11	35.45	35.6(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	70	27	-14	0.78	55%	0.15	34.6	1.45%	0	0.8	55	0
9	Apr_16_2014	32.39	35.03	35.3	34.94	34.94	34.94	35.54(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	0	4	-21	1.76	55%	0.19	33.5	1.46%	0	0.8	60	0
10	Apr_15_2014	32.33	34.96	35.28	35.01	34.92	34.76	34.54(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-40	-20	-16	1.5	53%	0.12	36	1.41%	0	-0.6	55	0

11	Apr_14_2014	32.29	34.97	35.42	35.19	35.23	34.93	35.06(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-60	-13	17	0.64	57%	0.16	47.4	1.41%	0	0.1	60	0
12	Apr_11_2014	32.24	34.93	35.46	35.33	35.33	35.07	34.78(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-50	-28	36	1.09	55%	0.12	49.5	1.42%	0	-0.2	61	0
13	Apr_10_2014	32.2	34.87	35.51	35.5	35.57	35.52	34.78(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-0	-13	68	1.48	55%	0.19	48.5	1.43%	0	-0.1	63	0
14	Apr_9_2014	32.14	34.81	35.5	35.7	35.7	35.59	35.88(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-20	3	96	0.74	59%	0.16	50.2	1.38%	0	1.3	69	0
15	Apr_8_2014	32.09	34.72	35.35	35.6	35.68	35.62	35.46(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10	-11	90	1.22	59%	0.16	52	1.38%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Apr_7_2014	32.04	34.65	35.24	35.69	35.68	35.81	35.76(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	5	103	2.05	60%	0.19	62.2	1.37%	0	1.4	61	0
17	Apr_4_2014	31.98	34.57	35.07	35.62	35.69	35.74	35.62(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	20	12	99	0.81	60%	0.19	78.4	1.37%	0	1.5	63	0
18	Apr_3_2014	31.92	34.49	34.9	35.51	35.61	35.57	35.76(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	0	11	97	0.69	60%	0.16	85.3	1.38%	0	1.9	72	0
19	Apr_2_2014	31.87	34.41	34.74	35.26	35.45	35.57	35.4(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	60	14	93	1.42	58%	0.19	90.7	1.38%	0	1.6	71	0
20	Apr_1_2014	31.81	34.32	34.6	35.05	35.22	35.65	35.92(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	49	100	36	87	1.09	60%	0.19	87.5	1.38%	0	2.5	63	0

21	Mar_31_2014	31.75	34.18	34.45	34.73	34.86	35.25	35.42(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	90	35	71	1	58%	0.16	69.4	1.39%	0	1.9	61	0
22	Mar_28_2014	31.7	34.02	34.34	34.45	34.55	34.78	35.06(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	60	28	51	0.89	58%	0.16	54.9	1.37%	0	1.7	57	0
23	Mar_27_2014	31.65	33.92	34.17	34.2	34.29	34.47	34.52(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	40	11	18	0.82	57%	0.13	45.2	1.37%	0	1	53	0
24	Mar_26_2014	31.61	33.85	34.06	34.14	34.18	34.32	34.34(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	30	12	4	0.95	57%	0.13	39.9	1.37%	0	0.8	51	0
25	Mar_25_2014	31.57	33.77	34.04	34.08	34.11	34.11	34.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	0	0	-0	1	1.25	57%		35.9	1.37%	0	0.9	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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