Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.3600 (-1.51%) ($31.3100 - $31.7400) on Mon. Jan. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $31.3600(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-3%)    XLE(-2%)    DIA(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.48(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.22(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.67(2.25%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.66%(86%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.5%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2014	29.71	30.67	31.22	31.48	31.48	31.61	31.36(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	30	6	82	1.34	40%	0.13	74.8	1.14%	0	1	70	0
2	Jan_10_2014	29.67	30.56	31.17	31.42	31.45	31.57	31.84(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	30	26	103	1	45%	0.17	65.7	1.13%	0	1.7	79	0
3	Jan_9_2014	29.62	30.43	31.06	31.2	31.31	31.36	31.52(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	20	15	96	1.17	47%	0.14	55.6	1.14%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Jan_8_2014	29.58	30.34	30.97	31.03	31.16	31.33	31.22(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	50	7	97	0.55	47%	0.17	50.8	1.15%	0	1.2	80	0
5	Jan_7_2014	29.53	30.27	30.9	31.02	31.04	31.26	31.46(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	18	115	0.68	47%	0.14	51.5	1.14%	0	1.6	75	0

6	Jan_6_2014	29.49	30.17	30.76	30.94	30.99	30.99	31.04(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	0	10	123	0.4	45%	0.1	44.9	1.13%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Jan_3_2014	29.46	30.08	30.64	30.94	30.99	30.82	30.76(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-30	-7	128	0.37	45%	0.14	36.1	1.14%	0	1	77	0
8	Jan_2_2014	29.42	30.02	30.54	30.94	30.97	30.99	30.66(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	10	-6	138	0.44	47%	0.17	30.9	1.14%	0	1	69	0
9	Dec_31_2013	29.37	29.96	30.43	30.9	30.98	31.13	31.18(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	21	146	0.47	53%	0.14	27.6	1.13%	0	1.9	66	0
10	Dec_30_2013	29.33	29.9	30.28	30.75	30.8	30.95	31.06(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	40	21	129	0.3	53%	0.14	19.6	1.17%	0	2	66	0

11	Dec_27_2013	29.29	29.87	30.08	30.54	30.63	30.83	30.84(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	50	25	106	0.42	51%	0.1	12.5	1.17%	0	1.8	66	0
12	Dec_26_2013	29.26	29.84	29.9	30.34	30.41	30.64	30.78(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	60	27	87	0.34	51%	0.24	7	1.19%	0	1.8	70	0
13	Dec_24_2013	29.19	29.81	29.75	30.13	30.15	30.43	30.62(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	70	31	65	0.33	51%	0.17	-4.3	1.19%	0	1.7	60	0
14	Dec_23_2013	29.14	29.81	29.66	29.88	29.91	30.17	30.44(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	60	26	43	0.41	51%	0.1	-22.7	1.18%	0	1.4	58	0
15	Dec_20_2013	29.11	29.79	29.58	29.74	29.69	29.88	30.04(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	23	25	0.4	50%	0.14	-27.2	1.17%	0	0.5	48	0

16	Dec_19_2013	29.07	29.79	29.53	29.55	29.62	29.64	29.84(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	10	19	-12	0.27	50%	0.14	-34.8	1.17%	0	0.1	39	0
17	Dec_18_2013	29.03	29.8	29.46	29.39	29.46	29.5	29.7(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	20	3	-55	0.71	54%	0.14	-48.2	1.17%	0	-0.2	41	0
18	Dec_17_2013	28.99	29.83	29.44	29.32	29.46	29.59	29.4(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	60	3	-70	0.33	54%	0.1	-51.8	1.24%	0	-0.9	38	0
19	Dec_16_2013	28.96	29.89	29.47	29.32	29.35	29.41	29.72(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	10	11	-71	0.41	54%	0.14	-45.6	1.23%	0	-0.3	43	0
20	Dec_13_2013	28.92	29.91	29.49	29.4	29.39	29.12	29.1(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-70	-16	-92	0.34	51%	0.1	-45.6	1.21%	0	-1.6	30	0

21	Dec_12_2013	28.89	29.97	29.64	29.5	29.54	29.29	29.02(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-60	-19	-82	0.41	51%	0.1	-41.3	1.21%	0	-2	34	0
22	Dec_11_2013	28.86	30.04	29.78	29.52	29.63	29.66	29.34(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	20	-8	-70	0.44	54%	0.14	-51.7	1.21%	0	-1.6	44	0
23	Dec_10_2013	28.82	30.09	29.89	29.58	29.59	29.79	29.8(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	50	12	-57	0.32	56%	0.14	-56.4	1.21%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Dec_9_2013	28.78	30.12	29.93	29.55	29.49	29.6	29.76(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	6	-68	0.61	58%	0.17	-67.7	1.21%	0	-0.9	40	0
25	Dec_6_2013	28.73	30.15	30.01	29.6	29.47	29.39	29.58(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-30	-16	-66	0.37	58%		-73.6	1.23%	0	-1.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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