Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.2800 (-0.76%) ($31.1600 - $31.5600) on Wed. Oct. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $31.2800(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(1%)    BNDX(2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.25(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.31(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.75(1.72%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.22%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.05%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.03%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.53%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.58%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2013	27.22	30.75	31.31	31.25		31.42	31.28(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	40	11	49	0.32	71%	0.18	79.6	1.28%	0	0.7	62	0
2	Oct_29_2013	27.17	30.66	31.28	31.21	31.2	31.2	31.52(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-0	9	61	0.44	71%	0.22	74.5	1.27%	0	1	70	0
3	Oct_28_2013	27.11	30.53	31.18	31.24	31.13	30.98	30.98(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-40	-16	67	0.34	70%	0.15	68.5	1.27%	0	0.5	70	0
4	Oct_25_2013	27.07	30.4	31.16	31.31	31.31	31.2	31.04(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-20	-9	93	0.56	70%	0.19	63.4	1.27%	0	0.6	68	0
5	Oct_24_2013	27.02	30.28	31.11	31.4	31.31	31.27	31.44(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-30	-5	118	0.47	73%	0.15	64.1	1.26%	0	1.1	74	0

6	Oct_23_2013	26.98	30.15	31.02	31.38	31.39	31.43	31.08(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	10	-3	139	0.4	73%	0.19	64.9	1.26%	0	0.9	75	0
7	Oct_22_2013	26.93	30.04	30.91	31.36	31.41	31.51	31.64(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	30	24	162	0.54	76%	0.15	65.3	1.24%	0	1.6	80	0
8	Oct_21_2013	26.89	29.9	30.7	31.11	31.21	31.35	31.34(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	40	14	148	0.38	76%	0.19	65.9	1.24%	0	1.5	82	0
9	Oct_18_2013	26.84	29.77	30.54	30.98	30.99	31.31	31.48(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	70	25	165	0.76	78%	0.15	69.9	1.24%	0	1.8	87	0
10	Oct_17_2013	26.8	29.63	30.34	30.79	30.79	31.07	31.36(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	60	30	169	0.41	78%	0.19	75.9	1.26%	0	2	83	0

11	Oct_16_2013	26.75	29.49	30.13	30.61	30.59	30.68	30.97(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	20	21	160	0.47	77%	0.15	87.4	1.25%	0	1.9	73	0
12	Oct_15_2013	26.71	29.39	29.97	30.4	30.46	30.51	30.42(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	20	13	148	0.79	76%	0.15	89.8	1.24%	0	1.4	66	0
13	Oct_14_2013	26.67	29.27	29.83	30.22	30.33	30.5	30.68(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	50	20	139	0.81	76%	0.15	87.3	1.24%	0	1.9	71	0
14	Oct_11_2013	26.63	29.13	29.59	30.01	30.11	30.42	30.52(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	80	24	112	0.47	72%	0.15	85.6	1.3%	0	1.9	71	0
15	Oct_10_2013	26.59	28.98	29.38	29.83	29.91	30.16	30.44(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	70	31	95	0.53	72%	0.11	86.9	1.32%	0	2	71	0

16	Oct_9_2013	26.56	28.84	29.21	29.58	29.7	29.81	29.92(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	40	15	70	1.42	71%	0.11	92.7	1.31%	0	1.6	65	0
17	Oct_8_2013	26.53	28.73	29.11	29.48	29.53	29.66	29.52(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	10	61	1.18	70%	0.11	96.3	1.31%	0	1.1	57	0
18	Oct_7_2013	26.5	28.62	29.04	29.37	29.43	29.6	29.66(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	50	28	71	0.45	70%	0.08	92.9	1.31%	0	1.4	70	0
19	Oct_4_2013	26.48	28.5	28.95	29.08	29.2	29.4	29.6(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	60	26	59	0.89	70%	0.11	84.4	1.31%	0	1.4	71	0
20	Oct_3_2013	26.45	28.36	28.85	28.85	28.84	29.26	29.22(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	100	18	51	0.56	70%	0.11	74.5	1.32%	0	1.1	71	0

21	Oct_2_2013	26.42	28.23	28.8	28.77	28.65	29	29.4(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	70	29	67	0.58	67%	0.08	67.5	1.31%	0	1.3	74	0
22	Oct_1_2013	26.4	28.08	28.75	28.69	28.53	28.42	28.96(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-40	4	68	0.84	67%	0.11	65.8	1.33%	0	1	66	0
23	Sep_30_2013	26.37	27.96	28.66	28.67	28.6	28.31	28.24(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-80	-23	70	1.19	65%	0.04	65.3	1.31%	0	0.3	67	0
24	Sep_27_2013	26.36	27.86	28.64	28.78	28.8	28.64	28.42(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-40	-14	94	0.71	62%	0.08	56.3	1.32%	0	0.6	69	0
25	Sep_26_2013	26.34	27.77	28.57	28.84	28.87	28.89	28.82(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	10	-2	118	0.41	64%		51.4	1.34%	0	1.1	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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