Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $29.9200 (1.36%) ($29.8000 - $30.1200) on Wed. Oct. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $29.9200(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(1%)    BNDX(2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.58(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.21(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.84(3.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.07%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.11%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2013	26.56	28.84	29.21	29.58	29.7	29.81	29.92(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	40	15	70	1.42	71%	0.11	92.7	1.31%	0	1.6	65	NAN
2	Oct_8_2013	26.53	28.73	29.11	29.48	29.53	29.66	29.52(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	10	61	1.18	70%	0.11	96.3	1.31%	0	1.1	57	NAN
3	Oct_7_2013	26.5	28.62	29.04	29.37	29.43	29.6	29.66(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	50	28	71	0.45	70%	0.08	92.9	1.31%	0	1.4	70	NAN
4	Oct_4_2013	26.48	28.5	28.95	29.08	29.2	29.4	29.6(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	60	26	59	0.89	70%	0.11	84.4	1.31%	0	1.4	71	NAN
5	Oct_3_2013	26.45	28.36	28.85	28.85	28.84	29.26	29.22(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	100	18	51	0.56	70%	0.11	74.5	1.32%	0	1.1	71	NAN

6	Oct_2_2013	26.42	28.23	28.8	28.77	28.65	29	29.4(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	70	29	67	0.58	67%	0.08	67.5	1.31%	0	1.3	74	NAN
7	Oct_1_2013	26.4	28.08	28.75	28.69	28.53	28.42	28.96(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-40	4	68	0.84	67%	0.11	65.8	1.33%	0	1	66	NAN
8	Sep_30_2013	26.37	27.96	28.66	28.67	28.6	28.31	28.24(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-80	-23	70	1.19	65%	0.04	65.3	1.31%	0	0.3	67	NAN
9	Sep_27_2013	26.36	27.86	28.64	28.78	28.8	28.64	28.42(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-40	-14	94	0.71	62%	0.08	56.3	1.32%	0	0.6	69	NAN
10	Sep_26_2013	26.34	27.77	28.57	28.84	28.87	28.89	28.82(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	10	-2	118	0.41	64%	0.08	51.4	1.34%	0	1.1	80	NAN

11	Sep_25_2013	26.32	27.65	28.45	28.83	28.86	28.96	29.02(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	30	5	141	0.33	64%	0.11	51.1	1.33%	0	1.4	85	NAN
12	Sep_24_2013	26.29	27.51	28.33	28.82	28.82	28.86	28.86(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	54	10	15	169	0.46	64%	0.08	48.2	1.34%	0	1.4	86	NAN
13	Sep_23_2013	26.27	27.41	28.18	28.66	28.71	28.76	28.78(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	20	14	167	0.54	64%	0.11	44.9	1.34%	0	1.5	79	NAN
14	Sep_20_2013	26.24	27.34	28.02	28.48	28.51	28.77	28.7(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	70	20	173	1.94	59%	0.08	40.3	1.35%	0	1.6	82	NAN
15	Sep_19_2013	26.22	27.27	27.83	28.26	28.31	28.66	28.8(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	90	33	161	1.29	55%	0.11	35.5	1.42%	0	1.9	76	NAN

16	Sep_18_2013	26.19	27.16	27.61	28.02	27.99	28.25	28.98(3.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	53	60	26	135	1.68	55%	0.11	25.3	1.47%	0	2.5	76	NAN
17	Sep_17_2013	26.16	27.05	27.34	27.78	27.76	27.96	28.04(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	50	18	123	1.31	54%	0.08	15.9	1.41%	0	1.7	73	NAN
18	Sep_16_2013	26.14	27.05	27.19	27.62	27.68	27.73	27.86(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	20	16	105	1.08	54%	0.08	8.2	1.42%	0	1.6	60	NAN
19	Sep_13_2013	26.12	27	27.02	27.5	27.5	27.55	27.64(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	10	8	70	0.54	54%	0.08	7	1.45%	0	1.2	48	NAN
20	Sep_12_2013	26.1	26.99	26.89	27.33	27.4	27.62	27.56(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	60	21	46	0.52	52%	0.08	1	1.47%	0	1.1	49	NAN

21	Sep_11_2013	26.08	26.98	26.79	27.12	27.18	27.45	27.82(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	80	30	29	0.33	52%	0.08	-2	1.48%	0	1.6	58	NAN
22	Sep_10_2013	26.06	26.98	26.62	26.83	26.87	27.18	27.24(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	90	21	-10	0.74	50%	0.08	-7.3	1.47%	0	0.5	51	NAN
23	Sep_9_2013	26.04	26.98	26.57	26.7	26.62	26.91	27.25(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	70	27	-22	0.77	50%	0.12	-7.8	1.48%	0	0.6	50	NAN
24	Sep_6_2013	26.01	26.96	26.59	26.47	26.47	26.55	26.76(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	20	14	-54	0.48	48%	0.12	-13.2	1.46%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
25	Sep_5_2013	25.98	26.98	26.65	26.4	26.36	26.32	26.52(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-20	-3	-69	0.36	48%		-12.2	1.46%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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