Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.3600 (-0.45%) ($26.2000 - $26.5200) on Tue. Aug. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $26.3600(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWJ(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    BNDX(2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.4(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.22(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.5(3.37%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.53% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.2%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.71%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.53%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2013	25.35	25.5	26.22	26.4	26.43	26.39	26.36(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10	4	109	1.1	44%	0.08	72.8	1.38%	0	1	83	0
2	Aug_5_2013	25.33	25.38	26.15	26.33	26.34	26.44	26.48(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	30	8	127	0.44	44%	0.04	70.5	1.38%	0	1.2	87	0
3	Aug_2_2013	25.32	25.27	26.04	26.2	26.24	26.47	26.58(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	70	16	139	0.59	44%	0.04	70	1.38%	0	1.4	89	0
4	Aug_1_2013	25.31	25.13	25.9	26.12	26.07	26.25	26.6(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	40	16	153	1.17	44%	0.08	70.3	1.38%	0	1.7	91	0
5	Jul_31_2013	25.29	24.98	25.74	26.04	25.96	26.01	26(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	43	0	6	152	1.13	40%	0.04	65.7	1.36%	0	1.2	68	0

6	Jul_30_2013	25.28	24.86	25.59	26.02	25.95	25.88	26(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-30	5	157	0.32	40%	0.04	61.1	1.38%	0	1.3	73	0
7	Jul_29_2013	25.27	24.76	25.43	25.93	25.91	25.91	25.84(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-0	3	156	0.35	44%	0.04	59	1.37%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Jul_26_2013	25.26	24.65	25.27	25.84	25.86	26.01	26.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	53	40	19	155	0.32	44%	0.04	53.7	1.41%	0	1.8	75	0
9	Jul_25_2013	25.25	24.53	25.05	25.63	25.69	25.91	26.18(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	70	25	142	0.57	44%	0.04	47.4	1.41%	0	2.2	77	0
10	Jul_24_2013	25.24	24.43	24.89	25.39	25.46	25.72	25.9(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	80	31	142	0.86	44%	0.04	38.3	1.4%	0	2.3	78	0

11	Jul_23_2013	25.23	24.34	24.71	25.1	25.21	25.48	25.54(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	90	30	127	0.25	46%	0.04	14.8	1.39%	0	2.1	77	0
12	Jul_22_2013	25.22	24.27	24.56	24.85	24.94	25.21	25.4(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	90	28	101	0.22	49%	0.04	-13.6	1.42%	0	2.4	66	0
13	Jul_19_2013	25.21	24.21	24.42	24.62	24.67	24.95	25.12(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	90	27	88	0.31	49%	0	-46.7	1.45%	0	2.3	68	0
14	Jul_18_2013	25.21	24.17	24.3	24.39	24.46	24.68	25(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	70	18	62	0.55	49%	0	-89.3	1.46%	0	2.3	61	0
15	Jul_17_2013	25.21	24.18	24.16	24.32	24.46	24.39	24.45(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	30	9	42	0.25	46%	0	-85.9	1.44%	0	0.7	49	0

16	Jul_16_2013	25.21	24.26	24.07	24.26	24.25	24.24	24.26(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-0	8	26	0.16	49%	0	-62.6	1.45%	0	0	50	0
17	Jul_15_2013	25.21	24.34	24.04	24.22	24.2	24.11	24.26(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-30	-3	12	0.25	45%	-0.08	-56.5	1.48%	0	-0.1	48	0
18	Jul_12_2013	25.23	24.4	24.04	24.2	24.15	24.27	23.96(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	0	30	0	1	0.71	45%	-0.04	-60.9	1.56%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Jul_11_2013	25.24	24.5	23.98	24.18	24.17	24.29	24.68(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	17	30	23	-0	0.39	48%	-0.08	-57.8	1.51%	0	0.2	49	0
20	Jul_10_2013	25.26	24.54	23.98	23.97	24.01	24.04	24.16(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	10	9	-41	0.44	49%	-0.08	-67.3	1.49%	0	-0.4	33	0

21	Jul_9_2013	25.28	24.63	23.94	23.85	23.87	24.06	24.02(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	60	5	-81	0.72	49%	-0.08	-71.9	1.53%	0	-0.7	26	0
22	Jul_8_2013	25.3	24.75	23.94	23.84	23.77	23.98	24.16(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	50	15	-102	0.3	49%	-0.08	-71.2	1.54%	0	-0.6	28	0
23	Jul_5_2013	25.32	24.86	23.97	23.84	23.76	23.68	23.9(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-20	5	-137	0.35	49%	-0.2	-70.8	1.53%	0	-0.9	33	0
24	Jul_3_2013	25.37	24.99	24.03	23.74	23.71	23.56	23.62(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-50	-20	-170	0.41	49%	-0.12	-71.1	1.53%	0	-1.3	25	0
25	Jul_2_2013	25.4	25.14	24.21	23.9	23.84	23.84	23.54(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10	-12	-158	0.84	49%		-68.5	1.54%	0	-1.5	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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