Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $27.1600 (-0.37%) ($26.8800 - $27.3000) on Tue. May. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $27.1600(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.02(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.87(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.5(2.49%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.34%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.6%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.26%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2013	26.04	26.5	26.87	27.02	26.99	27.11	27.16(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	9	56	0.73	49%	0	117.2	1.69%	0	1.3	68	0
2	May_20_2013	26.04	26.43	26.82	26.93	26.89	27.01	27.26(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	11	53	1.44	47%	0.04	113.7	1.74%	0	1.5	62	0
3	May_17_2013	26.03	26.32	26.71	26.8	26.79	26.88	26.98(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	20	6	40	1.44	47%	0	100	1.76%	0	1	57	0
4	May_16_2013	26.03	26.19	26.65	26.76	26.69	26.78	26.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	20	6	45	0.85	47%	0.04	81.5	1.77%	0	0.8	64	0
5	May_15_2013	26.02	26.06	26.58	26.68	26.65	26.7	26.9(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	2	43	0.76	47%	0.04	66.9	1.78%	0	1	66	0

6	May_14_2013	26.01	25.92	26.49	26.71	26.61	26.7	26.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10	0	49	0.87	45%	0	62.4	1.78%	0	0.9	65	0
7	May_13_2013	26.01	25.81	26.44	26.68	26.67	26.61	26.58(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-20	2	57	0.98	45%	0	58.9	1.79%	0	0.8	64	0
8	May_10_2013	26.01	25.67	26.43	26.62	26.69	26.62	26.82(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10	3	71	1	45%	0	58.1	1.77%	0	1.2	74	0
9	May_9_2013	26.01	25.57	26.32	26.52	26.56	26.73	26.4(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	50	3	83	1.77	45%	0	62.4	1.77%	0	0.9	76	0
10	May_8_2013	26.01	25.49	26.25	26.45	26.48	26.76	27.02(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	80	25	109	0.81	48%	0	68.3	1.76%	0	1.6	87	0

11	May_7_2013	26.01	25.37	26.11	26.23	26.21	26.38	26.58(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	40	9	109	1.02	45%	0.04	72.4	1.75%	0	1.3	86	0
12	May_6_2013	26	25.24	26.01	26.18	26.09	26.21	26.26(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	20	4	120	1.07	45%	0	74.2	1.77%	0	1.1	75	0
13	May_3_2013	26	25.12	25.89	26.21	26.11	26.03	26.34(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	-30	6	133	0.86	42%	0.04	77.9	1.9%	0	1.3	80	0
14	May_2_2013	25.99	24.99	25.7	26.09	26.12	25.97	26.04(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-40	-2	120	1.14	42%	0.04	75.8	1.91%	0	1.1	62	0
15	May_1_2013	25.98	24.86	25.51	26.01	26.08	26.19	25.94(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	40	2	109	0.5	42%	0	72	1.92%	0	1.1	60	0

16	Apr_30_2013	25.98	24.72	25.33	25.95	25.96	26.27	26.3(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	80	16	106	1.8	41%	0.08	67.9	1.9%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Apr_29_2013	25.96	24.58	25.13	25.81	25.79	25.97	26.44(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	23	104	1.67	40%	0.04	63.8	1.91%	0	2	71	0
18	Apr_26_2013	25.95	24.42	24.86	25.52	25.58	25.66	25.74(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	16	85	0.67	37%	0.04	51.2	1.87%	0	1.6	70	0
19	Apr_25_2013	25.94	24.31	24.75	25.26	25.38	25.61	25.64(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	22	80	0.48	39%	0	39	1.88%	0	1.8	68	0
20	Apr_24_2013	25.94	24.19	24.66	24.93	25.08	25.5	25.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	42	140	30	77	0.84	39%	-0.04	19.8	1.89%	0	2	70	0

21	Apr_23_2013	25.95	24.1	24.55	24.6	24.69	25.15	25.62(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	140	29	72	1.84	39%	0	5	1.89%	0	2.4	72	0
22	Apr_22_2013	25.95	24.02	24.39	24.35	24.33	24.67	25(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	100	26	62	1.08	36%	0	-11.1	1.86%	0	1.9	64	0
23	Apr_19_2013	25.95	24.01	24.26	24.1	24.19	24.22	24.4(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	20	4	41	0.47	33%	-0.08	-24	1.84%	0	0.7	63	0
24	Apr_18_2013	25.97	24.02	24.2	24.17	24.11	23.99	24(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-40	-15	42	0.61	33%	-0.04	-24.9	1.84%	0	-0	55	0
25	Apr_17_2013	25.98	24.05	24.16	24.34	24.27	24.17	23.98(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-40	-12	59	2.66	36%		-15.2	1.83%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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