Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.3000 (-0.53%) ($26.0800 - $26.3800) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $26.3000(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.95(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.33(3.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.72(6.39%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.8% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(55%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 2.58%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(52%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 3.62%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2013	25.98	24.72	25.33	25.95	25.96	26.27	26.3(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	80	16	106	1.8	41%	0.08	67.9	1.9%	0	1.7	64	NAN
2	Apr_29_2013	25.96	24.58	25.13	25.81	25.79	25.97	26.44(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	23	104	1.67	40%	0.04	63.8	1.91%	0	2	71	NAN
3	Apr_26_2013	25.95	24.42	24.86	25.52	25.58	25.66	25.74(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	16	85	0.67	37%	0.04	51.2	1.87%	0	1.6	70	NAN
4	Apr_25_2013	25.94	24.31	24.75	25.26	25.38	25.61	25.64(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	22	80	0.48	39%	0	39	1.88%	0	1.8	68	NAN
5	Apr_24_2013	25.94	24.19	24.66	24.93	25.08	25.5	25.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	42	140	30	77	0.84	39%	-0.04	19.8	1.89%	0	2	70	NAN

6	Apr_23_2013	25.95	24.1	24.55	24.6	24.69	25.15	25.62(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	140	29	72	1.84	39%	0	5	1.89%	0	2.4	72	NAN
7	Apr_22_2013	25.95	24.02	24.39	24.35	24.33	24.67	25(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	100	26	62	1.08	36%	0	-11.1	1.86%	0	1.9	64	NAN
8	Apr_19_2013	25.95	24.01	24.26	24.1	24.19	24.22	24.4(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	20	4	41	0.47	33%	-0.08	-24	1.84%	0	0.7	63	NAN
9	Apr_18_2013	25.97	24.02	24.2	24.17	24.11	23.99	24(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-40	-15	42	0.61	33%	-0.04	-24.9	1.84%	0	-0	55	NAN
10	Apr_17_2013	25.98	24.05	24.16	24.34	24.27	24.17	23.98(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-40	-12	59	2.66	36%	0	-15.2	1.83%	0	-0.1	57	NAN

11	Apr_16_2013	25.98	24.05	24.09	24.49	24.49	24.24	24.38(2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-70	-3	66	0.17	36%	-0.04	-13.3	1.85%	0	0.5	54	NAN
12	Apr_15_2013	25.99	24.07	24.01	24.44	24.56	24.38	23.76(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-40	-9	55	1.05	32%	-0.08	-21.6	1.81%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
13	Apr_12_2013	26.01	24.14	23.97	24.42	24.52	24.38	24.74(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	80	13	42	0.61	35%	-0.04	-21.4	1.74%	0	1	43	NAN
14	Apr_11_2013	26.02	24.15	23.85	24.23	24.28	24.75	24.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	140	31	21	0.71	35%	0	-29	1.76%	0	1.1	50	NAN
15	Apr_10_2013	26.02	24.14	23.7	23.96	23.97	24.29	24.74(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	90	34	-17	0.72	39%	0.04	-43	1.76%	0	0.9	47	NAN

16	Apr_9_2013	26.01	24.15	23.6	23.65	23.64	23.82	24.1(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	50	13	-57	0.64	37%	-0.04	-53.8	1.77%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
17	Apr_8_2013	26.02	24.2	23.59	23.54	23.49	23.64	23.7(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	40	9	-74	0.35	37%	0.04	-50.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
18	Apr_5_2013	26.01	24.27	23.72	23.45	23.48	23.47	23.78(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	0	7	-85	0.65	37%	-0.04	-48.8	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	NAN
19	Apr_4_2013	26.02	24.34	23.79	23.41	23.43	23.34	23.48(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-20	-5	-100	0.35	37%	0	-48	1.76%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
20	Apr_3_2013	26.02	24.42	23.92	23.4	23.43	23.48	23.18(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	10	-9	-102	0.77	37%	-0.04	-50.9	1.76%	0	-1.7	37	NAN

21	Apr_2_2013	26.03	24.51	24.04	23.55	23.51	23.53	23.54(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	0	-7	-101	1.05	37%	0	-48.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	36	NAN
22	Apr_1_2013	26.03	24.56	24.15	23.66	23.6	23.54	23.26(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-30	-20	-107	0.99	37%	0.04	-46.8	1.76%	0	-2.1	32	NAN
23	Mar_28_2013	26.02	24.63	24.34	24.03	23.82	23.5	23.6(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-120	-20	-81	1.61	39%	-0.04	-47.4	1.78%	0	-2	34	NAN
24	Mar_27_2013	26.03	24.7	24.5	24.23	24.18	23.66	23.44(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-160	-32	-72	1.11	39%	-0.04	-45.8	1.78%	0	-2.7	32	NAN
25	Mar_26_2013	26.04	24.79	24.63	24.51	24.49	24.14	23.9(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-100	-23	-52	0.71	40%		-52.3	1.78%	0	-2.4	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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