Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 29, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.4400 (2.72%) ($26.0400 - $26.5800) on Mon. Apr. 29, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $26.4400(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.81(2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.13(5.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.58(7.57%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(60%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(28%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(72%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.72%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2013	25.96	24.58	25.13	25.81	25.79	25.97	26.44(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	23	104	1.67	40%	0.04	63.8	1.91%	0	2	71	0
2	Apr_26_2013	25.95	24.42	24.86	25.52	25.58	25.66	25.74(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	16	85	0.67	37%	0.04	51.2	1.87%	0	1.6	70	0
3	Apr_25_2013	25.94	24.31	24.75	25.26	25.38	25.61	25.64(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	22	80	0.48	39%	0	39	1.88%	0	1.8	68	0
4	Apr_24_2013	25.94	24.19	24.66	24.93	25.08	25.5	25.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	42	140	30	77	0.84	39%	-0.04	19.8	1.89%	0	2	70	0
5	Apr_23_2013	25.95	24.1	24.55	24.6	24.69	25.15	25.62(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	140	29	72	1.84	39%	0	5	1.89%	0	2.4	72	0

6	Apr_22_2013	25.95	24.02	24.39	24.35	24.33	24.67	25(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	100	26	62	1.08	36%	0	-11.1	1.86%	0	1.9	64	0
7	Apr_19_2013	25.95	24.01	24.26	24.1	24.19	24.22	24.4(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	20	4	41	0.47	33%	-0.08	-24	1.84%	0	0.7	63	0
8	Apr_18_2013	25.97	24.02	24.2	24.17	24.11	23.99	24(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-40	-15	42	0.61	33%	-0.04	-24.9	1.84%	0	-0	55	0
9	Apr_17_2013	25.98	24.05	24.16	24.34	24.27	24.17	23.98(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-40	-12	59	2.66	36%	0	-15.2	1.83%	0	-0.1	57	0
10	Apr_16_2013	25.98	24.05	24.09	24.49	24.49	24.24	24.38(2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-70	-3	66	0.17	36%	-0.04	-13.3	1.85%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Apr_15_2013	25.99	24.07	24.01	24.44	24.56	24.38	23.76(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-40	-9	55	1.05	32%	-0.08	-21.6	1.81%	0	-0.5	47	0
12	Apr_12_2013	26.01	24.14	23.97	24.42	24.52	24.38	24.74(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	80	13	42	0.61	35%	-0.04	-21.4	1.74%	0	1	43	0
13	Apr_11_2013	26.02	24.15	23.85	24.23	24.28	24.75	24.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	140	31	21	0.71	35%	0	-29	1.76%	0	1.1	50	0
14	Apr_10_2013	26.02	24.14	23.7	23.96	23.97	24.29	24.74(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	90	34	-17	0.72	39%	0.04	-43	1.76%	0	0.9	47	0
15	Apr_9_2013	26.01	24.15	23.6	23.65	23.64	23.82	24.1(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	50	13	-57	0.64	37%	-0.04	-53.8	1.77%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Apr_8_2013	26.02	24.2	23.59	23.54	23.49	23.64	23.7(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	40	9	-74	0.35	37%	0.04	-50.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	41	0
17	Apr_5_2013	26.01	24.27	23.72	23.45	23.48	23.47	23.78(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	0	7	-85	0.65	37%	-0.04	-48.8	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0
18	Apr_4_2013	26.02	24.34	23.79	23.41	23.43	23.34	23.48(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-20	-5	-100	0.35	37%	0	-48	1.76%	0	-1.2	33	0
19	Apr_3_2013	26.02	24.42	23.92	23.4	23.43	23.48	23.18(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	10	-9	-102	0.77	37%	-0.04	-50.9	1.76%	0	-1.7	37	0
20	Apr_2_2013	26.03	24.51	24.04	23.55	23.51	23.53	23.54(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	0	-7	-101	1.05	37%	0	-48.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	36	0

21	Apr_1_2013	26.03	24.56	24.15	23.66	23.6	23.54	23.26(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-30	-20	-107	0.99	37%	0.04	-46.8	1.76%	0	-2.1	32	0
22	Mar_28_2013	26.02	24.63	24.34	24.03	23.82	23.5	23.6(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-120	-20	-81	1.61	39%	-0.04	-47.4	1.78%	0	-2	34	0
23	Mar_27_2013	26.03	24.7	24.5	24.23	24.18	23.66	23.44(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-160	-32	-72	1.11	39%	-0.04	-45.8	1.78%	0	-2.7	32	0
24	Mar_26_2013	26.04	24.79	24.63	24.51	24.49	24.14	23.9(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-100	-23	-52	0.71	40%	-0.04	-52.3	1.78%	0	-2.4	40	0
25	Mar_25_2013	26.05	24.83	24.75	24.6	24.7	24.7	24.1(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	10	-9	-38	1.07	40%		-80.5	1.78%	0	-2.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.