Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.0600 (1.95%) ($24.4800 - $25.2000) on Wed. Feb. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $25.0600(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.57(-29.89%)
Resistance Level   $26.53
5 Day Moving Average   $25.05(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.53(-5.54%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.22% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 4.1%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.75%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.25%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -8.32%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.75%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.92%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2013	26.15	26.53	25.78	25.05	25.2	24.72	25.06(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-53	-120	-26	-133	0.77	42%	0.04	-83.4	1.68%	0	-1.3	34	0
2	Feb_26_2013	26.14	26.72	25.96	25.29	25.35	25.11	24.58(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-68	-60	-46	-132	1.46	39%	-0.04	-76.5	1.68%	0	-1.8	29	0
3	Feb_25_2013	26.15	26.95	26.17	25.73	25.83	25.67	24.4(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-30	-21	-95	3.31	39%	-0.04	-65.1	1.68%	0	-2.2	32	0
4	Feb_22_2013	26.16	27.19	26.43	26.14	26.11	25.59	25.88(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-140	-23	-94	0.59	48%	0.04	-58.9	1.55%	0	-1.2	30	0
5	Feb_21_2013	26.15	27.33	26.5	26.27	26.31	25.98	25.34(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-80	-43	-117	1.14	46%	0	-53.7	1.54%	0	-1.8	27	0

6	Feb_20_2013	26.15	27.5	26.7	26.6	26.58	25.98	26.24(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	10	-9	-98	1.15	50%	0.08	-49.2	1.47%	0	-1.3	31	0
7	Feb_19_2013	26.13	27.63	26.81	26.72	26.71	26.64	26.8(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-20	6	-104	1.61	57%	0.19	-45	1.45%	0	-0.8	31	0
8	Feb_15_2013	26.08	27.72	26.82	26.68	26.72	26.52	26.42(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-50	-13	-144	0.92	57%	0.04	-46.5	1.49%	0	-1.3	24	0
9	Feb_14_2013	26.07	27.84	27.02	26.68	26.74	26.78	26.56(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	10	-6	-144	0.47	57%	0.08	-45.2	1.49%	0	-1.3	26	0
10	Feb_13_2013	26.05	27.92	27.2	26.76	26.8	26.91	27(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	30	5	-147	1.32	60%	0.08	-45.4	1.47%	0	-1	34	0

11	Feb_12_2013	26.03	28	27.33	26.81	26.76	26.71	26.84(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-20	-6	-154	1.19	60%	0.04	-39	1.47%	0	-1.3	34	0
12	Feb_11_2013	26.02	28.08	27.51	26.91	26.83	26.69	26.58(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-50	-11	-151	1.27	60%	0.04	-31.8	1.47%	0	-1.8	29	0
13	Feb_8_2013	26.01	28.19	27.77	26.98	27	26.81	26.82(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-50	-25	-147	0.45	56%	0.08	-25.3	1.46%	0	-1.8	34	0
14	Feb_7_2013	25.99	28.28	28	27.33	27.11	26.96	26.58(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-60	-33	-116	0.82	53%	0.04	-5.2	1.5%	0	-2.4	31	0
15	Feb_6_2013	25.98	28.34	28.23	27.69	27.5	27.19	27.22(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-100	-21	-77	0.5	56%	0.04	13.7	1.49%	0	-1.9	44	0

16	Feb_5_2013	25.97	28.34	28.38	27.92	27.86	27.27	27.34(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-150	-37	-65	0.81	56%	0.04	26	1.5%	0	-1.7	40	0
17	Feb_4_2013	25.96	28.35	28.54	28.21	28.13	27.82	26.92(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-49	-90	-51	-43	1.19	55%	0	44.1	1.5%	0	-2.3	38	0
18	Feb_1_2013	25.96	28.39	28.73	28.67	28.56	28.45	28.58(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-9	11	0.9	60%	0.08	74	1.32%	0	0.3	50	0
19	Jan_31_2013	25.94	28.31	28.74	28.78	28.75	28.43	28.4(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-80	-16	22	0.55	60%	0.08	75.5	1.34%	0	0.1	51	0
20	Jan_30_2013	25.92	28.26	28.72	28.85	28.89	28.67	28.38(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-50	-19	34	1.62	60%	0.12	81.6	1.34%	0	0.2	62	0

21	Jan_29_2013	25.89	28.19	28.74	28.9	28.96	29.06	28.78(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	30	-1	67	2.74	63%	0.15	84.1	1.34%	0	0.8	71	0
22	Jan_28_2013	25.85	28.08	28.7	28.92	28.87	29.11	29.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	50	18	97	1.01	66%	0.15	77.1	1.33%	0	1.5	78	0
23	Jan_25_2013	25.81	27.96	28.64	28.8	28.76	28.86	29.14(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	17	106	3.06	66%	0.19	70.7	1.33%	0	1.5	72	0
24	Jan_24_2013	25.76	27.82	28.56	28.7	28.76	28.63	28.74(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10	6	117	1.69	65%	0.19	69.1	1.33%	0	1.2	73	0
25	Jan_23_2013	25.71	27.71	28.45	28.57	28.63	28.66	28.62(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	5	113	0.59	59%		65.2	1.33%	0	1.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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