Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.3400 (-3.43%) ($25.1600 - $25.6600) on Thu. Feb. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $25.3400(-3.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.02(-24.94%)
Resistance Level   $27.33
5 Day Moving Average   $26.27(-3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.5(-4.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.33(-7.28%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(59%) Average negative next day return: -2.09%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(88%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(12%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 4.77%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2013	26.15	27.33	26.5	26.27	26.31	25.98	25.34(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-80	-43	-117	1.14	46%	0	-53.7	1.54%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
2	Feb_20_2013	26.15	27.5	26.7	26.6	26.58	25.98	26.24(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	10	-9	-98	1.15	50%	0.08	-49.2	1.47%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
3	Feb_19_2013	26.13	27.63	26.81	26.72	26.71	26.64	26.8(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-20	6	-104	1.61	57%	0.19	-45	1.45%	0	-0.8	31	NAN
4	Feb_15_2013	26.08	27.72	26.82	26.68	26.72	26.52	26.42(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-50	-13	-144	0.92	57%	0.04	-46.5	1.49%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
5	Feb_14_2013	26.07	27.84	27.02	26.68	26.74	26.78	26.56(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	10	-6	-144	0.47	57%	0.08	-45.2	1.49%	0	-1.3	26	NAN

6	Feb_13_2013	26.05	27.92	27.2	26.76	26.8	26.91	27(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	30	5	-147	1.32	60%	0.08	-45.4	1.47%	0	-1	34	NAN
7	Feb_12_2013	26.03	28	27.33	26.81	26.76	26.71	26.84(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-20	-6	-154	1.19	60%	0.04	-39	1.47%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
8	Feb_11_2013	26.02	28.08	27.51	26.91	26.83	26.69	26.58(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-50	-11	-151	1.27	60%	0.04	-31.8	1.47%	0	-1.8	29	NAN
9	Feb_8_2013	26.01	28.19	27.77	26.98	27	26.81	26.82(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-50	-25	-147	0.45	56%	0.08	-25.3	1.46%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
10	Feb_7_2013	25.99	28.28	28	27.33	27.11	26.96	26.58(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-60	-33	-116	0.82	53%	0.04	-5.2	1.5%	0	-2.4	31	NAN

11	Feb_6_2013	25.98	28.34	28.23	27.69	27.5	27.19	27.22(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-100	-21	-77	0.5	56%	0.04	13.7	1.49%	0	-1.9	44	NAN
12	Feb_5_2013	25.97	28.34	28.38	27.92	27.86	27.27	27.34(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-150	-37	-65	0.81	56%	0.04	26	1.5%	0	-1.7	40	NAN
13	Feb_4_2013	25.96	28.35	28.54	28.21	28.13	27.82	26.92(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-49	-90	-51	-43	1.19	55%	0	44.1	1.5%	0	-2.3	38	NAN
14	Feb_1_2013	25.96	28.39	28.73	28.67	28.56	28.45	28.58(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-9	11	0.9	60%	0.08	74	1.32%	0	0.3	50	NAN
15	Jan_31_2013	25.94	28.31	28.74	28.78	28.75	28.43	28.4(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-80	-16	22	0.55	60%	0.08	75.5	1.34%	0	0.1	51	NAN

16	Jan_30_2013	25.92	28.26	28.72	28.85	28.89	28.67	28.38(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-50	-19	34	1.62	60%	0.12	81.6	1.34%	0	0.2	62	NAN
17	Jan_29_2013	25.89	28.19	28.74	28.9	28.96	29.06	28.78(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	30	-1	67	2.74	63%	0.15	84.1	1.34%	0	0.8	71	NAN
18	Jan_28_2013	25.85	28.08	28.7	28.92	28.87	29.11	29.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	50	18	97	1.01	66%	0.15	77.1	1.33%	0	1.5	78	NAN
19	Jan_25_2013	25.81	27.96	28.64	28.8	28.76	28.86	29.14(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	17	106	3.06	66%	0.19	70.7	1.33%	0	1.5	72	NAN
20	Jan_24_2013	25.76	27.82	28.56	28.7	28.76	28.63	28.74(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10	6	117	1.69	65%	0.19	69.1	1.33%	0	1.2	73	NAN

21	Jan_23_2013	25.71	27.71	28.45	28.57	28.63	28.66	28.62(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	5	113	0.59	59%	0.19	65.2	1.33%	0	1.1	66	NAN
22	Jan_22_2013	25.66	27.61	28.32	28.55	28.51	28.64	28.86(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	30	8	115	0.5	59%	0.23	69.7	1.38%	0	1.5	73	NAN
23	Jan_18_2013	25.6	27.5	28.15	28.46	28.42	28.59	28.62(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	9	118	0.35	54%	0.23	74.9	1.42%	0	1.4	76	NAN
24	Jan_17_2013	25.54	27.4	28.02	28.45	28.37	28.38	28.64(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10	7	127	0.4	54%	0.24	84.9	1.43%	0	1.6	68	NAN
25	Jan_16_2013	25.48	27.28	27.86	28.41	28.34	28.24	28.12(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	-30	0	130	0.47	56%		95.3	1.44%	0	1.1	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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