Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.4200 (1.92%) ($25.1400 - $25.4600) on Thu. Nov. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $25.4200(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.05(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.37(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.22(0.79%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2012	23.19	25.22	25.37	25.05	25.1	25.2	25.42(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	30	8	-2	0.15	58%	0.22	19.6	2.04%	0	0.4	60	0
2	Oct_31_2012	23.14	25.19	25.42	24.97	25.06	25.02	24.94(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-0	-6	1	0.21	58%	0.39	11.6	2.03%	0	-0.5	56	0
3	Oct_26_2012	23.05	25.18	25.45	25.14	25.03	25	25.02(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-20	-7	11	0.14	67%	0.17	10.4	2.08%	0	-0.3	50	0
4	Oct_25_2012	23.01	25.18	25.44	25.21	25.21	25.09	24.86(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-30	-10	8	0.27	67%	0.13	2.7	2.22%	0	-0.5	45	0
5	Oct_24_2012	22.98	25.14	25.45	25.46	25.35	25.06	25.02(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-90	-19	17	0.09	62%	0.22	11.7	2.23%	0	-0.2	51	0

6	Oct_23_2012	22.93	25.13	25.42	25.74	25.59	25.34	25.02(-2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-90	-17	33	0.18	59%	0.17	14.8	2.29%	0	-0.2	54	0
7	Oct_22_2012	22.89	25.14	25.39	25.93	25.92	25.64	25.76(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-80	-0	50	0.15	62%	0.26	18.1	2.29%	0	1.1	61	0
8	Oct_19_2012	22.83	25.14	25.32	25.8	25.93	25.84	25.4(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10	-2	46	0.91	57%	0.22	3.1	2.39%	0	0.5	61	0
9	Oct_18_2012	22.78	25.12	25.33	25.68	25.81	26.21	26.1(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	120	16	61	0.24	59%	0.26	-13	2.36%	0	1.8	73	0
10	Oct_17_2012	22.72	25.08	25.22	25.43	25.51	26.03	26.44(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	36	150	30	54	0.56	59%	0.26	-36.1	2.36%	0	2.5	62	0

11	Oct_16_2012	22.66	25.05	25.04	25.06	25.17	25.41	25.94(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	80	21	31	0.43	59%	0.13	-60	2.35%	0	1.8	62	0
12	Oct_15_2012	22.63	25.03	24.92	24.8	24.9	25	25.14(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	40	3	6	0.19	57%	0.22	-62.9	2.32%	0	0.2	49	0
13	Oct_12_2012	22.58	25.1	24.86	24.79	24.83	24.94	24.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	40	-2	-5	0.14	57%	0.18	-44.6	2.32%	0	-0.4	42	0
14	Oct_11_2012	22.54	25.19	24.8	24.92	24.87	24.8	24.82(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-30	-2	-11	0.25	57%	0.18	-29.3	2.34%	0	-0.5	43	0
15	Oct_10_2012	22.5	25.28	24.81	24.98	25.01	24.73	24.58(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-70	-7	-14	0.32	57%	0.13	-16.4	2.34%	0	-0.9	42	0

16	Oct_9_2012	22.47	25.35	24.82	25.02	25.11	24.94	24.64(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-40	-9	-26	0.18	57%	0.18	0	2.35%	0	-1	36	0
17	Oct_8_2012	22.43	25.4	24.87	25.05	25.12	25.3	25.1(-1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	60	5	-26	0.08	57%	0.18	13.9	2.33%	0	-0.4	41	0
18	Oct_5_2012	22.39	25.4	24.91	24.94	25.09	25.28	25.46(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	70	20	-37	0.35	50%	0.22	20.4	2.35%	0	0.1	37	0
19	Oct_4_2012	22.34	25.41	24.9	24.66	24.87	24.94	25.1(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	50	4	-68	0.16	50%	0.22	26.1	2.43%	0	-0.4	32	0
20	Oct_3_2012	22.29	25.4	24.92	24.63	24.87	24.9	24.78(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	70	3	-81	0.1	50%	0.18	30.6	2.44%	0	-0.7	31	0

21	Oct_2_2012	22.25	25.35	25.04	24.6	24.68	24.8	24.8(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	40	5	-83	0.4	50%	0.14	28.8	2.45%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Oct_1_2012	22.22	25.31	25.14	24.68	24.61	24.46	24.54(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-11	-85	0.38	50%	0.09	33.3	2.44%	0	-0.8	42	0
23	Sep_28_2012	22.2	25.27	25.35	24.88	24.79	24.56	24.06(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-80	-16	-60	0.31	56%	0.05	39.2	2.64%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Sep_27_2012	22.19	25.23	25.62	25.17	25.08	24.76	24.98(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-100	-10	-36	0.33	59%	0.14	41.7	2.6%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	Sep_26_2012	22.16	25.15	25.79	25.25	25.29	25.02	24.62(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-70	-18	-21	0.69	59%		40	2.6%	0	-0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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