Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.4000 (-2.46%) ($25.1200 - $25.5000) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $25.4000(-2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.16(-2.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.98(-2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.78(2.5%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   36.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.57% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2012	22.06	24.78	25.98	26.16	25.97	25.65	25.4(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-110	-16	99	0.5	51%	0.09	55.1	2.73%	0	0.4	73	0
2	Sep_19_2012	22.04	24.69	25.94	26.16	26.35	25.94	26.04(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-110	-7	132	0.2	54%	0.09	64.9	2.72%	0	1	72	0
3	Sep_18_2012	22.02	24.56	25.71	26.4	26.39	26.29	25.9(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-30	-7	136	0.39	52%	0.09	70.2	2.75%	0	1	71	0
4	Sep_17_2012	22	24.42	25.5	26.35	26.42	26.75	26.68(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	100	17	152	0.67	54%	0.09	72.4	2.75%	0	1.7	78	0
5	Sep_14_2012	21.98	24.24	25.18	26.03	26.12	26.49	26.78(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	110	19	143	0.39	57%	0.14	73.9	2.76%	0	2	80	0

6	Sep_13_2012	21.95	24.04	24.79	25.79	25.72	26.08	26.62(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	90	18	131	0.53	57%	0.14	79.3	2.77%	0	2.3	77	0
7	Sep_12_2012	21.92	23.83	24.45	25.42	25.54	25.75	26(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	70	26	115	0.35	57%	0.14	78.8	2.77%	0	2.1	69	0
8	Sep_11_2012	21.89	23.64	24.17	24.92	25.13	25.36	25.66(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	90	18	87	0.57	54%	0.14	70.9	2.76%	0	2.2	68	0
9	Sep_10_2012	21.86	23.47	23.91	24.52	24.65	25.32	25.1(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	210	21	69	0.34	54%	0.09	67.2	2.81%	0	2	69	0
10	Sep_7_2012	21.84	23.34	23.7	24.19	24.27	24.91	25.56(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	190	39	60	0.44	54%	0.09	65.9	2.8%	0	3	70	0

11	Sep_6_2012	21.82	23.17	23.45	23.64	23.78	23.98	24.76(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	80	19	26	0.69	54%	0.09	78.1	2.78%	0	2.8	68	0
12	Sep_5_2012	21.8	23.06	23.45	23.34	23.42	23.63	23.5(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	70	3	14	0.26	52%	-0.05	100	2.75%	0	1	65	0
13	Sep_4_2012	21.81	23.01	23.32	23.31	23.35	23.58	23.68(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	70	11	25	0.3	53%	-0.05	118.6	2.74%	0	1.6	68	0
14	Aug_31_2012	21.82	22.94	23.25	23.21	23.25	23.22	23.46(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-0	5	24	0.38	53%	-0.05	107.7	2.75%	0	1.1	67	0
15	Aug_30_2012	21.83	22.86	23.23	23.13	23.25	23.13	22.82(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-5	23	0.11	50%	0	71	2.74%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Aug_29_2012	21.83	22.74	23.25	23.21	23.2	23.29	23.26(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	30	-2	34	0.48	50%	0	68.3	2.76%	0	0.6	68	0
17	Aug_28_2012	21.83	22.64	23.18	23.28	23.19	23.26	23.34(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	1	39	0.09	50%	-0.05	78.9	2.76%	0	0.8	63	0
18	Aug_27_2012	21.84	22.53	23.09	23.32	23.24	23.11	23.18(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-50	-0	39	0.16	50%	0.09	93.1	2.78%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Aug_24_2012	21.82	22.44	23.02	23.3	23.32	23.12	23.06(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-60	-5	38	0.31	50%	-0.09	102	2.78%	0	0.7	66	0
20	Aug_23_2012	21.84	22.35	22.97	23.33	23.3	23.37	23.22(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	20	-1	49	0.29	50%	-0.05	101.1	2.78%	0	0.9	74	0

21	Aug_22_2012	21.85	22.2	22.88	23.28	23.29	23.53	23.62(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	70	14	74	0.39	50%	-0.09	82.2	2.78%	0	1.2	89	0
22	Aug_21_2012	21.87	21.98	22.78	23.06	23.13	23.23	23.54(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	40	13	76	0.32	51%	-0.14	61.4	2.78%	0	1.2	72	0
23	Aug_20_2012	21.9	21.74	22.68	22.84	22.85	23.05	23.04(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	60	6	77	0.22	51%	-0.14	47	2.8%	0	1	70	0
24	Aug_17_2012	21.93	21.55	22.6	22.7	22.74	23.03	23.22(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	90	13	83	0.34	51%	-0.14	39.1	2.79%	0	1.2	68	0
25	Aug_16_2012	21.96	21.39	22.45	22.55	22.55	22.66	23(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	79	0.33	51%		33.7	2.8%	0	1.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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