Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.1000 (-1.8%) ($25.0800 - $25.3800) on Mon. Sep. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.81% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $25.1000(-1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.52(2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.91(4.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.47(6.95%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   35.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(52%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(57%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 2.17%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2012	21.86	23.47	23.91	24.52	24.65	25.32	25.1(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	210	21	69	0.34	54%	0.09	67.2	2.81%	0	2	69	NAN
2	Sep_7_2012	21.84	23.34	23.7	24.19	24.27	24.91	25.56(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	190	39	60	0.44	54%	0.09	65.9	2.8%	0	3	70	NAN
3	Sep_6_2012	21.82	23.17	23.45	23.64	23.78	23.98	24.76(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	80	19	26	0.69	54%	0.09	78.1	2.78%	0	2.8	68	NAN
4	Sep_5_2012	21.8	23.06	23.45	23.34	23.42	23.63	23.5(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	70	3	14	0.26	52%	-0.05	100	2.75%	0	1	65	NAN
5	Sep_4_2012	21.81	23.01	23.32	23.31	23.35	23.58	23.68(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	70	11	25	0.3	53%	-0.05	118.6	2.74%	0	1.6	68	NAN

6	Aug_31_2012	21.82	22.94	23.25	23.21	23.25	23.22	23.46(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-0	5	24	0.38	53%	-0.05	107.7	2.75%	0	1.1	67	NAN
7	Aug_30_2012	21.83	22.86	23.23	23.13	23.25	23.13	22.82(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-5	23	0.11	50%	0	71	2.74%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
8	Aug_29_2012	21.83	22.74	23.25	23.21	23.2	23.29	23.26(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	30	-2	34	0.48	50%	0	68.3	2.76%	0	0.6	68	NAN
9	Aug_28_2012	21.83	22.64	23.18	23.28	23.19	23.26	23.34(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	1	39	0.09	50%	-0.05	78.9	2.76%	0	0.8	63	NAN
10	Aug_27_2012	21.84	22.53	23.09	23.32	23.24	23.11	23.18(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-50	-0	39	0.16	50%	0.09	93.1	2.78%	0	0.7	59	NAN

11	Aug_24_2012	21.82	22.44	23.02	23.3	23.32	23.12	23.06(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-60	-5	38	0.31	50%	-0.09	102	2.78%	0	0.7	66	NAN
12	Aug_23_2012	21.84	22.35	22.97	23.33	23.3	23.37	23.22(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	20	-1	49	0.29	50%	-0.05	101.1	2.78%	0	0.9	74	NAN
13	Aug_22_2012	21.85	22.2	22.88	23.28	23.29	23.53	23.62(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	70	14	74	0.39	50%	-0.09	82.2	2.78%	0	1.2	89	NAN
14	Aug_21_2012	21.87	21.98	22.78	23.06	23.13	23.23	23.54(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	40	13	76	0.32	51%	-0.14	61.4	2.78%	0	1.2	72	NAN
15	Aug_20_2012	21.9	21.74	22.68	22.84	22.85	23.05	23.04(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	60	6	77	0.22	51%	-0.14	47	2.8%	0	1	70	NAN

16	Aug_17_2012	21.93	21.55	22.6	22.7	22.74	23.03	23.22(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	90	13	83	0.34	51%	-0.14	39.1	2.79%	0	1.2	68	NAN
17	Aug_16_2012	21.96	21.39	22.45	22.55	22.55	22.66	23(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	79	0.33	51%	-0.18	33.7	2.8%	0	1.2	68	NAN
18	Aug_15_2012	22	21.28	22.18	22.43	22.4	22.46	22.48(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	-0	71	0.49	49%	-0.18	33.8	2.79%	0	1	72	NAN
19	Aug_14_2012	22.04	21.2	22.05	22.46	22.38	22.44	22.44(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	23	10	0	93	0.13	48%	-0.23	34.5	2.83%	0	1	78	NAN
20	Aug_13_2012	22.09	21.11	21.92	22.5	22.39	22.34	22.38(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-30	1	123	1.54	48%	-0.18	36.8	2.85%	0	1.1	80	NAN

21	Aug_10_2012	22.13	21.04	21.81	22.47	22.45	22.32	22.46(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-40	3	145	0.22	48%	-0.23	36.3	2.85%	0	1.3	71	NAN
22	Aug_9_2012	22.18	20.96	21.68	22.33	22.41	22.44	22.38(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	20	14	158	0.48	47%	-0.22	34	2.85%	0	1.3	65	NAN
23	Aug_8_2012	22.23	20.87	21.47	21.88	22.2	22.59	22.62(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	170	19	129	0.78	47%	-0.18	19.5	2.87%	0	1.7	57	NAN
24	Aug_7_2012	22.27	20.79	21.12	21.58	21.64	22.37	22.68(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	240	24	97	0.39	48%	-0.27	4.5	2.88%	0	2	58	NAN
25	Aug_6_2012	22.33	20.69	20.71	21.26	21.27	21.81	22.2(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	180	24	58	0.25	48%		-13.1	2.89%	0	1.7	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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