Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $23.6200 (0.34%) ($23.3000 - $23.7400) on Wed. Aug. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.78% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $23.6200(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(89%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.39% (StdDev 2.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.28(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.88(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.2(6.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.27% (three month std-dev: 2.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.52%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.45%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.41%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2012	21.85	22.2	22.88	23.28	23.29	23.53	23.62(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	70	14	74	0.39	50%	-0.09	82.2	2.78%	0	1.2	89	NAN
2	Aug_21_2012	21.87	21.98	22.78	23.06	23.13	23.23	23.54(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	40	13	76	0.32	51%	-0.14	61.4	2.78%	0	1.2	72	NAN
3	Aug_20_2012	21.9	21.74	22.68	22.84	22.85	23.05	23.04(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	60	6	77	0.22	51%	-0.14	47	2.8%	0	1	70	NAN
4	Aug_17_2012	21.93	21.55	22.6	22.7	22.74	23.03	23.22(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	90	13	83	0.34	51%	-0.14	39.1	2.79%	0	1.2	68	NAN
5	Aug_16_2012	21.96	21.39	22.45	22.55	22.55	22.66	23(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	79	0.33	51%	-0.18	33.7	2.8%	0	1.2	68	NAN

6	Aug_15_2012	22	21.28	22.18	22.43	22.4	22.46	22.48(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	-0	71	0.49	49%	-0.18	33.8	2.79%	0	1	72	NAN
7	Aug_14_2012	22.04	21.2	22.05	22.46	22.38	22.44	22.44(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	23	10	0	93	0.13	48%	-0.23	34.5	2.83%	0	1	78	NAN
8	Aug_13_2012	22.09	21.11	21.92	22.5	22.39	22.34	22.38(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-30	1	123	1.54	48%	-0.18	36.8	2.85%	0	1.1	80	NAN
9	Aug_10_2012	22.13	21.04	21.81	22.47	22.45	22.32	22.46(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-40	3	145	0.22	48%	-0.23	36.3	2.85%	0	1.3	71	NAN
10	Aug_9_2012	22.18	20.96	21.68	22.33	22.41	22.44	22.38(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	20	14	158	0.48	47%	-0.22	34	2.85%	0	1.3	65	NAN

11	Aug_8_2012	22.23	20.87	21.47	21.88	22.2	22.59	22.62(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	170	19	129	0.78	47%	-0.18	19.5	2.87%	0	1.7	57	NAN
12	Aug_7_2012	22.27	20.79	21.12	21.58	21.64	22.37	22.68(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	240	24	97	0.39	48%	-0.27	4.5	2.88%	0	2	58	NAN
13	Aug_6_2012	22.33	20.69	20.71	21.26	21.27	21.81	22.2(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	180	24	58	0.25	48%	-0.22	-13.1	2.89%	0	1.7	56	NAN
14	Aug_3_2012	22.38	20.63	20.42	21.08	21.04	20.91	21.76(7.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-50	8	28	0.45	48%	-0.27	-27.5	2.89%	0	1.4	54	NAN
15	Aug_2_2012	22.44	20.59	20.22	20.97	20.96	20.73	20.16(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-80	-10	4	0.44	42%	-0.31	-30.3	2.71%	0	-0.5	44	NAN

16	Aug_1_2012	22.51	20.67	20.3	20.98	21.14	21.17	21.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	30	18	19	0.11	44%	-0.27	-23.9	2.69%	0	0.5	52	NAN
17	Jul_31_2012	22.57	20.74	20.27	20.56	20.88	21.18	21.08(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	150	26	-7	0.22	44%	-0.27	-22.1	2.71%	0	0.4	48	NAN
18	Jul_30_2012	22.63	20.81	20.24	20.06	20.34	21.11	21.32(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	310	32	-36	0.26	44%	-0.22	-24.3	2.71%	0	0.5	51	NAN
19	Jul_27_2012	22.68	20.86	20.18	19.66	19.72	20.58	21.2(4.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	310	34	-62	0.48	44%	-0.26	-27.9	2.71%	0	0.3	48	NAN
20	Jul_26_2012	22.74	20.84	20.14	19.4	19.27	19.56	20.22(6.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	90	7	-93	0.4	41%	-0.31	-35.4	2.64%	0	-0.6	42	NAN

21	Jul_25_2012	22.81	20.87	20.19	19.56	19.22	18.87	18.98(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-180	-23	-112	0.17	39%	-0.31	-37.7	2.5%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
22	Jul_24_2012	22.88	20.95	20.42	19.94	19.7	18.98	18.56(-3.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-54	-290	-36	-109	0.43	39%	-0.39	-36.7	2.53%	0	-2.4	13	NAN
23	Jul_23_2012	22.97	21.06	20.69	20.42	20.21	19.57	19.32(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-50	-250	-35	-96	0.45	40%	-0.35	-31.8	2.49%	0	-2.1	19	NAN
24	Jul_20_2012	23.05	21.17	20.9	20.75	20.65	20.43	19.9(-5.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-90	-20	-84	0.64	41%	-0.35	-25.1	2.51%	0	-1.7	21	NAN
25	Jul_19_2012	23.13	21.23	21.03	20.98	20.89	20.86	21.02(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-20	2	-62	0.22	43%		-17.8	2.43%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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