Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $22.8200 (0.97%) ($22.5200 - $22.8400) on Tue. Jul. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.8200(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.92(4.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.5(6.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.31(7.09%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.91%(27%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.41%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.92%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.1%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2012	23.78	21.31	21.5	21.92	22.05	22.58	22.82(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	190	28	59	0.22	44%	-0.17	56.5	2.57%	0	2	65	0
2	Jul_2_2012	23.82	21.19	21.38	21.42	21.52	22.4	22.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	300	40	44	0.24	44%	-0.17	41.1	2.59%	0	2.1	62	0
3	Jun_29_2012	23.86	21.08	21.2	20.96	20.97	21.51	22.62(8.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	29	180	32	18	0.64	43%	-0.21	21.4	2.57%	0	2.4	63	0
4	Jun_28_2012	23.91	20.94	21.06	20.71	20.5	20.64	20.86(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	20	0	-10	0.24	37%	-0.25	5.3	2.35%	0	-0.1	47	0
5	Jun_27_2012	23.97	20.92	21.08	20.75	20.69	20.43	20.68(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-100	-13	-18	0.18	37%	-0.29	1.4	2.34%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Jun_26_2012	24.04	20.89	21.07	21.04	20.92	20.36	20.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-27	-200	-30	-16	0.18	39%	-0.25	5.4	2.33%	0	-1	43	0
7	Jun_25_2012	24.1	20.92	21.12	21.32	21.37	20.96	20.32(-4.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-13	-130	-20	8	0.37	39%	-0.29	15.2	2.35%	0	-1	51	0
8	Jun_22_2012	24.17	20.94	21.12	21.44	21.67	21.48	21.38(1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-6	23	0.34	41%	-0.21	22.8	2.28%	0	0.8	58	0
9	Jun_21_2012	24.22	20.94	21.15	21.46	21.53	21.79	21.04(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	90	-0	44	0.62	41%	-0.21	26.5	2.27%	0	0.2	61	0
10	Jun_20_2012	24.27	20.91	21.19	21.44	21.51	21.86	22.12(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	120	31	72	0.28	43%	-0.16	27.8	2.21%	0	2.2	66	0

11	Jun_19_2012	24.31	20.86	21.1	21.12	21.17	21.28	21.72(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	40	16	60	0.27	43%	-0.16	16.2	2.19%	0	1.8	65	0
12	Jun_18_2012	24.35	20.83	20.98	20.9	20.89	21.16	20.92(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	90	7	40	0.37	41%	-0.2	-0.5	2.14%	0	0.2	52	0
13	Jun_15_2012	24.4	20.82	20.95	20.82	20.78	21.06	21.5(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	90	13	34	0.34	42%	-0.2	-22.6	2.13%	0	1.5	56	0
14	Jun_14_2012	24.45	20.77	20.8	20.8	20.67	20.62	20.96(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-40	-3	17	0.22	40%	-0.2	-44.3	2.11%	0	0.4	52	0
15	Jun_13_2012	24.5	20.76	20.73	20.9	20.78	20.5	20.48(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-110	-18	10	0.28	40%	-0.2	-53.6	2.08%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	Jun_12_2012	24.55	20.78	20.7	21.09	21.06	20.72	20.66(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-120	-9	13	0.32	40%	-0.2	-60.4	2.1%	0	-0.3	42	0
17	Jun_11_2012	24.6	20.83	20.71	21.07	21.19	21.05	20.5(-4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-30	-7	6	0.35	40%	-0.2	-69.1	2.1%	0	-0.7	41	0
18	Jun_8_2012	24.65	20.92	20.74	21.08	21.08	21.4	21.4(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	110	18	18	0.15	43%	-0.12	-58.8	2.06%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Jun_7_2012	24.68	20.96	20.67	20.78	20.9	21.34	21.46(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	160	31	4	0.22	43%	-0.12	-67.6	2.1%	0	0.8	61	0
20	Jun_6_2012	24.71	20.99	20.6	20.54	20.48	20.75	21.42(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	80	23	-16	0.34	41%	-0.08	-81.1	2.11%	0	0.6	56	0

21	Jun_5_2012	24.73	21.04	20.58	20.26	20.27	20.47	20.56(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	70	4	-41	0.47	37%	-0.2	-87.6	2.1%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Jun_4_2012	24.78	21.17	20.65	20.31	20.21	20.22	20.54(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10	-0	-45	0.5	37%	-0.12	-80.2	2.1%	0	-0.7	36	0
23	Jun_1_2012	24.81	21.27	20.66	20.36	20.28	20.08	19.92(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-28	-80	-14	-71	0.29	38%	-0.16	-84.6	2.05%	0	-1.4	23	0
24	May_31_2012	24.85	21.42	20.73	20.53	20.48	20.21	20.24(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-100	-16	-82	0.38	35%	-0.12	-84.2	2.08%	0	-1.2	24	0
25	May_30_2012	24.88	21.57	20.79	20.68	20.63	20.48	20.06(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-60	-20	-91	0.37	38%		-80	2.07%	0	-1.5	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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