Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $21.0400 (-4.88%) ($20.9800 - $21.9400) on Thu. Jun. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $21.0400(-4.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.46(-1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.15(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.91(0.62%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2012	24.22		21.15	21.46	21.53	21.79	21.04(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	90	-0	44	0.62	41%	-0.21	26.5	2.27%	0	0.2	61	0
2	Jun_20_2012	24.27	20.91	21.19	21.44	21.51	21.86	22.12(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	120	31	72	0.28	43%	-0.16	27.8	2.21%	0	2.2	66	0
3	Jun_19_2012	24.31	20.86	21.1	21.12	21.17	21.28	21.72(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	40	16	60	0.27	43%	-0.16	16.2	2.19%	0	1.8	65	0
4	Jun_18_2012	24.35	20.83	20.98	20.9	20.89	21.16	20.92(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	90	7	40	0.37	41%	-0.2	-0.5	2.14%	0	0.2	52	0
5	Jun_15_2012	24.4	20.82	20.95	20.82	20.78	21.06	21.5(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	90	13	34	0.34	42%	-0.2	-22.6	2.13%	0	1.5	56	0

6	Jun_14_2012	24.45	20.77	20.8	20.8	20.67	20.62	20.96(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-40	-3	17	0.22	40%	-0.2	-44.3	2.11%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Jun_13_2012	24.5	20.76	20.73	20.9	20.78	20.5	20.48(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-110	-18	10	0.28	40%	-0.2	-53.6	2.08%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	Jun_12_2012	24.55	20.78	20.7	21.09	21.06	20.72	20.66(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-120	-9	13	0.32	40%	-0.2	-60.4	2.1%	0	-0.3	42	0
9	Jun_11_2012	24.6	20.83	20.71	21.07	21.19	21.05	20.5(-4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-30	-7	6	0.35	40%	-0.2	-69.1	2.1%	0	-0.7	41	0
10	Jun_8_2012	24.65	20.92	20.74	21.08	21.08	21.4	21.4(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	110	18	18	0.15	43%	-0.12	-58.8	2.06%	0	0.8	59	0

11	Jun_7_2012	24.68	20.96	20.67	20.78	20.9	21.34	21.46(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	160	31	4	0.22	43%	-0.12	-67.6	2.1%	0	0.8	61	0
12	Jun_6_2012	24.71	20.99	20.6	20.54	20.48	20.75	21.42(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	80	23	-16	0.34	41%	-0.08	-81.1	2.11%	0	0.6	56	0
13	Jun_5_2012	24.73	21.04	20.58	20.26	20.27	20.47	20.56(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	70	4	-41	0.47	37%	-0.2	-87.6	2.1%	0	-0.6	44	0
14	Jun_4_2012	24.78	21.17	20.65	20.31	20.21	20.22	20.54(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10	-0	-45	0.5	37%	-0.12	-80.2	2.1%	0	-0.7	36	0
15	Jun_1_2012	24.81	21.27	20.66	20.36	20.28	20.08	19.92(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-28	-80	-14	-71	0.29	38%	-0.16	-84.6	2.05%	0	-1.4	23	0

16	May_31_2012	24.85	21.42	20.73	20.53	20.48	20.21	20.24(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-100	-16	-82	0.38	35%	-0.12	-84.2	2.08%	0	-1.2	24	0
17	May_30_2012	24.88	21.57	20.79	20.68	20.63	20.48	20.06(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-60	-20	-91	0.37	38%	-0.12	-80	2.07%	0	-1.5	26	0
18	May_29_2012	24.91	21.77	20.89	20.93	20.8	20.75	20.78(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-28	-40	-8	-89	0.23	39%	0.04	-64.9	2.09%	0	-0.9	26	0
19	May_25_2012	24.9	21.93	20.98	21.03	20.98	20.78	20.78(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-70	-1	-98	0.14	39%	-0.12	-51	2.07%	0	-1	23	0
20	May_24_2012	24.93	22.09	21.13	21	21.06	20.84	20.78(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-60	-6	-105	0.27	39%	-0.16	-48.7	2.09%	0	-1.1	34	0

21	May_23_2012	24.97	22.25	21.29	20.95	21.04	21.18	20.98(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	60	0	-113	0.22	39%	-0.16	-47.3	2.1%	0	-1	32	0
22	May_22_2012	25.01	22.39	21.4	20.92	20.98	21.27	21.34(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	110	14	-125	1.12	39%	-0.16	-48.4	2.09%	0	-0.9	32	0
23	May_21_2012	25.05	22.48	21.53	20.84	20.87	20.89	21.28(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	10	-0	-152	0.62	39%	-0.08	-56.2	2.09%	0	-1	27	0
24	May_18_2012	25.07	22.56	21.71	20.94	20.91	20.69	20.64(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-80	-23	-168	0.48	37%	-0.16	-58	2.05%	0	-1.7	21	0
25	May_17_2012	25.11	22.7	21.91	21.29	21.17	20.84	20.52(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-130	-31	-167	0.41	37%		-53.8	2.06%	0	-2.1	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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